☢️ Following up on the uranium sector post. For now, I’ve singled out the URA ETF (uranium miners + reactor & component manufacturers). It’s currently in a 36% correction 📉 – not interesting yet, I’m waiting for a 50–65% dip.

🔹 There’s also the URNM ETF (pure-play mining and physical uranium). It’s down 40%, still not attractive enough. Needs to drop further, especially since it’s purely a bet on physical uranium itself, so who knows how it’ll perform isolated from the broader industry.

🔹 The Company – Cameco. It holds the largest allocation in both URA and URNM portfolios (up to 20–24%). This is the fundamental backbone of the entire Western uranium industry... Currently in a 30% correction. Still waiting.

🔹 Microreactors
The whole microreactor narrative requires a deeper dive and honestly feels like hype right now. Even though companies like OKLO (microreactors) have dumped hard, they have zero earnings – it’s a pure speculative bet on placing reactors near data centers 🖥️

So for now, we wait for a better entry point, plus we’ll need to check the overall market macro context later on.

What do you guys think about the microreactor play? Sounds promising or nah? 🕑

Trump has backed down on Iran once again, canceling new massive strikes because he was urged to do so and promised that the Strait of Hormuz would be opened.

This is an almost textbook play on the TACO indicator. Remember us mentioning that Donald would go for de-escalation by the end of July? On July 26, Trump ordered a halt to strikes on Iran, and by August 2, he was already talking about a new peace deal.

What convinced Donald:
▪️ A 60% probability of a Fed rate hike at the next meeting
▪️ 30-year Treasury yields hitting their highest level since 2007
▪️ The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve shrinking for 18 consecutive weeks, now at its lowest since 1983
▪️ Retail investors setting a record for daily sales of US tech stock – $316M

Markets will definitely love this de-escalation, and Monday is expected to be green, but so far there is no confirmation of real negotiations or moves toward peace. What we are seeing now is Donald manipulating market sentiment to keep the US economic situation afloat.

And manipulation can reverse at any moment, triggering wild volatility. For instance, if Iran hits US tankers or military bases again, Donald will be forced to respond 😱

Tweet volume for Bitcoin and Ethereum is at an all-time low. The last time we saw a lull like this was right before the 2021 bull run.

Overall, everything adds up. The only real question is: which crypto projects will actually survive to see it? 😱

AI revenues aren’t growing fast enough to cover the investments 💸

The Economist calculated that at the current rate of AI investment, companies would need to generate $2.5 trillion in annual revenue just to break even. That’s more than the combined revenue of the entire tech sector.

Right now, the total AI revenue for Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft, SpaceX, and Meta sits at around $150 billion.

Interestingly, AI usage peaked in mid-2025; since then, the percentage of employees using AI in companies has dropped from 46% to 33%. Rather than an outright abandonment of AI, this data likely reflects a shift toward free models, which are more than enough for the simple tasks most employees face.

💬 OpenAI and Anthropic might go public before the end of this year, which means they’ll have to show real AI revenue. And it’s crucial for those figures to look realistic in terms of return on investment.

Oil prices are plummeting, the S&P 500 is hitting a new all-time high, and Bitcoin is, as always 🕯

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed progress in negotiations with Iran; the Strait of Hormuz may indeed be fully reopened tomorrow.

🔴 Brent crude – $80 (↓3.78%)
🟢 S&P 500 – 7 674 (↑0.98%)
⏺ BTC – $64 012 (↑0.89%)

⚠️ Iran continues to demand control over the Strait of Hormuz, along with the right to charge tolls for passage.

But if Trump figures out how to spin this as yet another victory and agrees to this concession, then oil will rebound to $70, the fund will continue to rise, and BTC will have a chance for a local rally to $67k.

Donald won’t let us down, will he 🇺🇸

Following up on the Palantir post: back in 2022-2023, no one believed in the company either, and then the stock surged by 3 200% 🔼

In this post about the Palantir stock, people wrote to us saying that it’s overheated, has a crazy P/E ratio, that the admin is dragging people into the stock market at all-time highs, and so on 🕑

They advised us to pay attention to IBM instead, claiming the price looks good right now. OK, challenge accepted 🤔

Comparing IBM and Palantir clearly illustrates the classic battle between a mature, debt-burdened value company and an aggressive, hyper-efficient growth company.

Below is a detailed breakdown of the key metrics for both companies. Spoiler: lots of text 👇

1. Financial Health. In this category, Palantir is the undisputed winner, boasting one of the safest balance sheets on the market.

• Cash-to-Debt: PLTR: 37.87, IBM: 0.13. For every dollar of debt, Palantir has nearly $38 in cash and cash equivalents, whereas IBM has critically low cash relative to its debt burden ($7.17 billion in cash vs. $58.73 billion in long-term debt).

Palantir effectively carries no debt burden, while IBM relies heavily on debt financing.

• Debt-to-Equity: PLTR: 0.03 (minimal debt level). IBM: 1.90 (high reliance on borrowed capital).

• Growth Rates. Palantir shows overwhelming superiority when it comes to business scaling dynamics: Revenue Growth (1-year): PLTR: +62.7%, IBM: +6.6%. EBITDA Growth (1-year): PLTR: +348.6%, IBM: +35.0%.

2. Profitability & Capital Efficiency. Palantir leads in return on sales, but most importantly, Palantir generates economic value far more efficiently. Operating Margin (%): PLTR: 38.13%, IBM: 18.39%.

Palantir's software business model enables it to keep over 42 cents of operating profit for every dollar of revenue, whereas IBM's figure is half that.

3. Capital Efficiency (ROIC vs WACC). Palantir's Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) stands at an astronomical 151.19% against a Cost of Capital (WACC) of just 14.65%. The business is generating massive added value. IBM: ROIC is 8.71%, which is less than its Cost of Capital (WACC at 8.83%).
IBM is effectively operating in the negative when it comes to creating economic value, as its return on investment doesn't even cover the cost of raising capital.

The only area where IBM wins is dividends:
Dividend Yield: IBM: 2.92%. PLTR: 0.00%. Palantir pays no dividends, reinvesting all profits back into technology development—which is completely fine for a business like this. Who needs a measly 3% a year from IBM anyway?

� IBM is a textbook representative of conservative value. It is bought purely for a predictable dividend stream and stability, but beating even the S&P 500 index with it is unlikely.

� Palantir is a powerful growth driver. It has an impeccable balance sheet and phenomenal growth rates. Could Palantir drop by 30%? Easily—and if it does, that just means it's time to buy more. In fact, I'm waiting for it.

Could it deliver multi-fold returns (multi-bagger) and outperform other companies? Given this momentum, it would be foolish to think otherwise ✊

The number of users looking to stake ETH is mirroring the 2023 trend right before the surge from $1 600 to $4 900 🤑

If history repeats itself, Ether will see a parabolic rise, though the price could drop below $1 700 before the pump kicks off.

5 short AI prompts that perform the work of a $200k hedge fund analyst

▶️ Narrative Scanner – identifies and evaluates current trends in the crypto market

Act as a crypto research analyst at a top fund. Identify the 5 strongest narratives forming in the market right now. For each one give me: the 3 tokens leading it with market caps, the specific catalyst driving attention, which stage of the attention cycle it's in (insiders only / CT discovery / retail euphoria / exhausted), how much upside is realistically left, and the one event that would kill the narrative overnight. Rank them by risk-adjusted opportunity, not hype.

▶️ Tokenomics Breakdown – a detailed analysis of tokenomics with a buying verdict

Perform VC-level due diligence on [token]. Cover: circulating vs total supply and what % unlocks in the next 12 months with exact dates, who the top 10 holders are and their cost basis if findable, emission schedule and who receives it, whether the token has real cash flow or manufactured utility, and how insiders exit if they want to. Then give me a verdict in one sentence: would a professional buy this, farm this, or fade this, and why.

▶️ Smart Money Tracker – tracks where whales deposit funds before a pump

Teach me to track smart money like an on-chain analyst. Give me a full workflow using free tools only: how to find the wallets that bought [token] before it moved, how to check what else those wallets hold right now, how to set alerts for their next moves, and the 4 patterns that separate real accumulation from a team wallet building exit liquidity. Format it as a repeatable 15-minute routine I can run every Sunday.

▶️ Thesis Destroyer – tests your investment idea

Here is my trade: [entry, target, stop, reasoning]. Your job is to make me not take it. Argue against my thesis like a skeptical senior trader with 15 years of experience: the 3 strongest reasons this fails, the data I'm ignoring, what the other side of my trade knows that I don't, and exactly what price action would prove me wrong. If the thesis survives your attack, tell me the optimal way to size and structure it.

▶️ Risk Assessment – creates a custom risk management system for your portfolio

Build my complete risk management system for a $[X] portfolio. Include: position sizing formula based on stop distance, maximum portfolio heat at any time, rules for when I'm allowed to add to winners, a drawdown circuit breaker that forces me to stop trading, conditions for rotating to stables, and a 5-point checklist I must pass before every entry. Make it strict enough that following it feels annoying. One page, ready to pin.

Save these prompts for later, and don't forget to add a condition to answer in your preferred language before using them.

Drop some serious heat 🔥 and we'll post Part 2 with 5 more prompts!

Buffett is buying again! Berkshire Hathaway bought more shares in Q2 than it sold for the first time in 3.5 years – totaling $19.8 billion in purchases 💸

Buffett stepped down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, retaining his position as Chairman of the Board. Since January 1, Berkshire has been led by Greg Abel, who isn't hesitant to spend the cash reserves accumulated by Buffett – during Q2, the cash pile dropped from $397.4 billion to $365.5 billion.

The last time Buffett was a net buyer of stocks was 3.5 years ago, right at the tail end of the 2022 correction; since then, the S&P 500 has gained 114%.

The question is: did Berkshire Hathaway change its market strategy after the CEO handover, or has the market itself shifted to where waiting for better prices no longer makes sense? 🤑

Over the past 30 years, the S&P 500 has continued to rise after reaching an ATH (All-Time High) in 13 out of 17 cases – gaining an average of +6.3% over the following six months. That is precisely what Wall Street bankers are pricing into their forecasts: between 7,900 and 8,100 points by the end of the year 🔼

The story about the AI bubble being a major risk factor doesn't look convincing, as U.S. pre-tax corporate profits as a percentage of GDP have hit a record 14%. The numbers behind company stock growth may look bubble-like, but unlike in 2000, there is a solid underlying foundation in the form of hundreds of billions in investments and revenue.
PrimeXBT.

However, the S&P 500's path to 8,000 won't necessarily be a straight line. Here is what could go wrong:

▶️ U.S. autumn congressional midterm/special elections, which traditionally trigger a market correction

▶️ Escalation in the Middle East if the war spreads across the entire region. Today, Yemeni Houthis struck Saudi Arabia again

▶️ A revaluation of the AI sector, despite strong revenues, Big Tech has issued $200 billion in debt bonds since the start of the year (double the amount for the whole of 2025)

Where does BTC go in that scenario? If triggered, any of these factors could easily push the crypto market to a bottom below $55k. The subsequent resolution of these issues, however, could be the very positive catalyst that puts an end to the crypto winter 🤑

US inflation continues to decline (3.4% in July), despite the closed Strait of Hormuz and total uncertainty as to when this will end 🇺🇸

The stock market is reacting positively in anticipation of an extended Fed rate hike pause at the September 16 meeting. Especially given that the three previous S&P 500 pullbacks since summer 2023 were completely bought up, yielding an average return of 19%.

30-year statistics show that the S&P 500 hit a new high after passing the peak in 13 out of 17 cases over the following 6 months. CFRA analysts have already raised their 12-month target for the index to 8,650 (+11%).

💸 This is happening because the AI sector, as the main driver of stock growth, continues to deliver strong earnings reports. Meanwhile, the Strait of Hormuz situation is having less and less impact on global markets; the only remaining risk factor in the Middle East right now is a full-scale regional war.

We previously discussed the lack of liquidity in the markets, which is restraining stock growth and completely preventing Bitcoin from turning around. A potential future rise in the S&P 500 will support BTC, but it won't trigger a full bull market on its own. For that, we need either a major positive catalyst, like real and lasting peace in Iran, the passage of the Clarity Act, a new major buyer like Saylor, or perhaps all of the above.

Without these factors, the crypto market is left waiting for an influx of liquidity, which could nevertheless begin before the end of the year.

Therefore, the current situation for BTC looks as follows:
🔴 We cannot confirm that the bottom is in
🔴 We cannot promise an imminent "to the moon"
🟢 We cannot advise staying out of the market, as the current price is definitely a good entry point for building spot positions for growth in 2027–2029