Coin Post – Money, Investments, Bitcoin
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Simple, plain, and fast crypto digests. Since 2017

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Reasons to be bearish 🐻

If you want to make money, you need to focus on facts. What happened, what’s likely to happen, and what probably won’t. The market doesn’t care about your feelings or hopes.

🤔 To be objective, always ask yourself, what if I’m wrong? Even if you’re bullish, search for reasons to be bearish to avoid bias.

Here are three recent developments worth noting 👇

1️⃣Hedge funds are shorting at the fastest pace since April, especially in tech. Goldman Sachs data shows aggressive de-risking even as indexes hover near highs. Big funds are clearly hedging against weaker earnings or a revaluation of overpriced growth stocks.

2️⃣Michael Burry, the man behind “The Big Short,” placed 80% of his portfolio in puts against Nvidia and Palantir. His view is that AI might be real, but valuations aren’t. When someone who predicted 2008 bets this heavily on a correction, it’s worth noting.

3️⃣Warren Buffett is sitting on a record $381B in cash while selling stocks. When the world’s most famous and patient investor refuses to buy, it’s not bullish. He’s clearly waiting for better prices and a reset.

All this is happening while crypto moves in lockstep with U.S. equities and often underperforms. If the AI narrative breaks and the S&P corrects, crypto won’t be spared 🔽

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The situation for the average consumer in the U.S. is getting worse and worse 📉

Trump wants to fix housing with 50-year mortgages. The logic is simple: smaller monthly payments so more people can “afford” homes. But it results in lifetime debt.

🧮 Let’s do the math: Average U.S. home: $512,000, down payment (20%): $102,000, loan: $409,600, rate: 7% fixed, term: 50 years:

➕ Monthly payment ≈ $2,770
➕ Total paid ≈ $1.66 million
➕ Interest ≈ $1.25 million

Let's say you are 30 years old now and want to buy a house. You’ll pay the bank three times for the same house and still own it fully only at 80

At the same time here is what people think of the economy:

🔴Consumer sentiment index is lowest in 30 years, that's worse than during the 2008 financial crisis.
🔴53% of Americans say their finances are getting worse
🔴Recession in 2026 odds: ≈40–45%

People feel poorer, and the data agrees. Society is quietly accepting that upward mobility is dead. When you can’t buy a home or build savings, you either revolt, vote for politicians who promise miracles like communists, or gamble.

That’s why populism rises. And that’s why crypto is here to stay. Because most people treat it as a big digital casino 🎰

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Coinbase has announced the launch of its ICO platform, which will enable projects to conduct token sales 🌀

😮 The first project to be launched on this new platform is the highly anticipated Monad blockchain. The token sale is scheduled for 17 Nov. More details can be found in their announcement.

7.5% of the $MON supply is going to be sold at $2.5 billion valuation. Right now, this token is trading at $5.4 billion in the pre-market. So, you could get more than 2x on your investment through this ICO. It's definitely worth getting involved 💰

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🇪🇺 The European Union confirmed that cash payments above €10,000 will be banned, every crypto transfer over €1,000 will require full ID, and privacy coins like Monero, Zcash, and Dash will disappear from all regulated platforms.

The goal, they say, is “transparency.” What it really does is end the idea of anonymous finance inside the EU

🇬🇧 At the same time, the Bank of England proposed a £20,000 cap on how much stablecoin any individual can hold.

The reason given is to “protect banks” from losing deposits as people move into digital money. In practice, it limits your ability to exit the system when the system itself feels unsafe

👀 The trend is clear. They will not stop until every transaction is tracked, every wallet tagged, every alternative cut off. Privacy and autonomy are treated as threats, not rights.

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A Bitcoin mining farm in Inner Mongolia went offline because stray cats, drawn to the warmth, were blocking the cooling systems 🥺

The amount of heat generated by mining farms is actually insane. I know a guy who saves on heating costs in the winter by strategically placing mining machines in his house 🟠☀️
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There are around 57.3 million people in the world worth over $1 million 💸

Now imagine at least half of them wanting to own just 1 Bitcoin to flex on their rich friends. They couldn’t. Because there will never be more than 21 million BTC.

📉 And the real supply is even smaller. Around 3.5–4 million BTC are lost forever. That's lost wallets, forgotten keys, Satoshi holdings, deaths.

📈 Meanwhile, the number of dollars (and millionaires) keeps growing. Why? Because the denominator — the dollar — keeps losing value.

So you have an infinite supply of dollars chasing a finite and shrinking supply of BTC 🪙

What happens when infinity meets scarcity? The price goes up. Forever


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Perhaps we went too far with mass adoption 😂
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The POPCAT memecoin, which has a market capitalization of $132 million, fell 44% in just 30 minutes 🔽

This quick dump appears to have been caused by manipulation intended to rob the Hyperliquid Liquidity Provider vault, which held a significant long position on this coin at the time.

🫡 As a result of this, the Hyperliquidity Provider lost $5 million in just 15 minutes. Exchange paused deposits and withdrawals on Arbitrum for maintenance right after this.

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Bybit’s security lab found that 16 blockchains can freeze user funds, and 19 more could enable it with minor code changes. Many of these networks sell decentralization but hide centralized switches inside their systems.

🔍 BNB Chain, VeChain, and XDC have hardcoded blacklists built into their core software. Harmony, Sui, and Waves use validator config files that can be quietly changed. Huobi Eco Chain relies on smart contracts to stop transfers when someone decides it’s “necessary” 🤔

😂 If a blockchain can decide who moves money and who doesn’t, it’s not decentralized. It’s just a database with good branding.

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Crypto Fear & Greed Index just crashed to 14 — Extreme Fear. The lowest since April 😱

Historically, this level of panic has marked strong buy zones. But context matters. Extreme fear can last for months while prices keep sliding. It’s not a guaranteed bottom — it’s a warning that sentiment is at its lowest point.

💸 This is the kind of environment where patient investors quietly build positions while everyone else runs for the exits. But timing still matters. Watch liquidity, funding rates, and momentum before acting.

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What is a Crypto P2P Triangle Scam? 💻

A P2P triangle scam is a fraud where a scammer uses you as a payment middleman. You think you are doing a normal P2P trade. The victim thinks they are buying a product. In reality, you are receiving money from the victim and sending crypto to the scammer.

How the scam works step by step 👇

1️⃣The scammer posts a fake product ad, for example an iPhone at a very low price.

2️⃣The victim agrees to buy and asks for payment details.

3️⃣The scammer goes to a P2P exchange and opens a buy order with you. Instead of paying you, the scammer gives the victim your bank details.

4️⃣The victim sends money to your bank account, believing it is payment for the product.

5️⃣You see the money, think it is from your P2P counterparty, and release crypto to the scammer.

6️⃣The scammer disappears. The victim gets no product. You are the one the bank or police calls, because your account received the money.

👉 How to avoid it: Only accept payments from accounts under the buyer’s verified name. If funds come from an unknown sender, don’t release crypto and contact support. Trade only with verified users who have long histories of trades and many completed orders ❗️

#FAQ

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There's a very rare chart pattern on the BTC/USD today. The price action is absolutely nasty 🤣
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Bitcoin has been bleeding ever since the October 6 all time high. On the 1D chart the entire move has formed a clean falling wedge and both the daily and 4 hour RSI hit 30, which tells you the market is stretched and tired 😣

📉 The real driver is outside crypto. US tech stocks took a hit after traders started doubting a December rate cut and crypto moves almost one to one with big tech. When equities get punched in the face, Bitcoin usually flinches too.

So the only thing worth tracking here is relative strength. If BTC starts showing some life this weekend while stocks stay weak, it opens the door for a wedge breakout and maybe even another run at new highs.

If it keeps lagging and tech keeps sliding, then we might already be sitting at the front door of a proper crypto bear market and that story ends badly for nearly every altcoin on the board 🤔
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Why You Should NEVER Trade When You’re Bored 🤨

Boredom trades are some of the most expensive trades you will ever make. When you are bored, you are not looking for good setups. You are looking for stimulation. That mindset pushes you into random positions, forcing trades, chasing noise, and convincing yourself that “something is better than nothing.” It never is.

🧠 Many traders lose money because they can’t sit still. When there is no clear direction, yet the urge to “do something” takes over. You open a position with no edge, no plan, and no real reason. Later you ask yourself why you even entered and start begging to break even.

🎮 This is also why videogames are pretty popular among many successful crypto traders I know. Games give their brain the stimulation it is looking for without putting money at risk.

They keep your hands off the exchange during hours when you feel restless and tempted to click buttons. Many traders would save a lot of money by simply distracting themselves instead of forcing a trade.

If you’re bored, step away, go outside, literally do anything that keeps you from opening positions you don’t actually believe in. Trust me, this will save you money ‼️

#FAQ

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JPMorgan thinks Bitcoin may have already hit its bottom around $94k. Their reasoning is simple. BTC rarely stays below its production cost, and that cost is currently estimated around $94k 🔍

They also say Bitcoin’s volatility relative to gold keeps falling, which points to a possible repricing toward $170k in 2026 if BTC continues to act like digital gold.

One of the biggest banks in the world is basically calling bottom and predicts 77% upside over the next year 🟠

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Everything you need to know about crypto influencers giving advice on what to do in this market, in one screenshot 😂
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What is a Death Cross? ☠️

📉 A death cross happens when a short term moving average falls below a long term moving average. Traders usually watch the 50 day MA crossing under the 200 day MA. When that happens, it signals that momentum has shifted down and that sellers have control.

It does not guarantee a crash, but people believe it shows that the trend has weakened and that the market is no longer in an uptrend. Many big drawdowns in stocks and crypto started after a death cross appeared, which is why traders pay attention to it.

📆 Since 2023 we were in a bull market and death crosses have consistently signaled the market bottom after a correction.

However, it is impossible to say with certainty whether the same thing will happen this time. The death cross that appeared on the chart yesterday, may be similar to the one in January 2022, after which Bitcoin dropped by 68%.

Nobody knows what will happen and you should be read for anything 😨

#FAQ

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How key price support levels have held up over the last few weeks 😂
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Eliyahu Weinstein got hit with 37 years in prison. This man is unbelievable 🤣

Back in 2013 he ran a real estate ponzi scheme that caused more than $200 million in losses, and got a 24-year sentence, then he got pardoned by Trump in 2021.

💰 A few months later he changed his name to “Mike Konig” and went right back to stealing money. This time, another $41 million gone before the feds caught on.

At this point he’s doing it for the love of the game...

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Bitcoin fell as low as $91,200, liquidating $540 million worth of longs BUT finally closing the CME gap that formed back in April 🤑

So, maybe now bulls will finally be able to catch their breath, and we'll see a recovery? What do you guys think? 🤔

Are you buying the dip? Or have you sold everything already? Are you waiting for the price to drop even more? 💬
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