What Is the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey 📊

The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey is a weekly poll of individual investors run by the American Association of Individual Investors. It asks a simple question: do you expect stocks to be higher, lower, or unchanged over the next 6 months. The result is published as the percentage of bulls, bears, and neutral respondents.

👀 Traders watch it because it shows how retail positioning is leaning at extremes. Very high bullish readings suggest optimism is crowded. Very high bearish readings show fear is building. On its own, it is not a timing tool, but it is useful context for market regime and sentiment stress.

Right now, the bearish share has risen to 46.4%, the highest reading since November 2025. That is well above the long-term average near 31.3%, which tells you pessimism has increased sharply in a short period 📈

This matters because the survey still has pattern value at extremes. Over the past 8 years, at the start of 3 bear markets, bearish sentiment moved above roughly 47%, and the market kept falling afterward, sometimes for months, as happened in 2022. So a high bearish reading is not automatically a buying signal just because fear is elevated.

👉 The practical use is simple. AAII helps answer whether fear is already washed out, still building, or becoming extreme. A bearish spike can mark stress, but it does not confirm the bottom by itself. It tells you sentiment is stretched, not that price is finished going down.

#FAQ

@Coin_Post

Here's a way to make money by reading market positioning of smart and dumb money 🔍

Hyperliquid is a fully transparent DEX, so every position and every wallet is public. Hyperdash pulls that data and sorts all traders into cohorts by all-time PnL.

📊 Extremely Profitable, Very Profitable, all the way down to Very Unprofitable and Rekt. You can see how each group is positioned right now, net long or net short.

The pattern worth paying attention to: the top cohort and the Rekt cohort are often on opposite sides of the same trade. When the best traders are long and the worst are short.

😱 Best time to check is during extreme sentiment. When everyone is euphoric or convinced it's over, go this dashboard and see where smart and dumb money actually sit.

Don't copy individual wallets and don't use this as your only input. But if your bias lines up with the top cohort and against the Rekt one, that's a decent confirmation. If you're on the same side as the losing traders, at least you know before you enter 🤷‍♀️

#earn

@Coin_Post

New Super Earn: High APR on BTC, BNB, XRP and ADA 💸

Binance announced new Super Earn campaign. If you're already holding BTC, BNB, XRP or ADA, you can deposit your crypto to Binance and then deposit it in the Super Earn pools to earn good APR paid in NIGHT tokens daily.

‼️ A few things to know before depositing. Funds lock for 9 days. Early withdrawal takes 3 days to process and forfeits all rewards. Pools open for deposits in 1 hour and the event runs until March 24.

If you don't hold any of the four assets but want exposure, you can buy those tokens on spot and hedge the same size on futures to stay market neutral while collecting the yield.

Register on Binance — LINK

#earn

@Coin_Post

BTC cleared $74k overnight and even touched $76k. I opened a small short at $75,700, looking for a 4-6% move down. I'll add with DCA slowly if it keeps pushing higher 🤷‍♀️

My read is that this is a bear market rally, not a reversal. 90% confidence. Nothing has changed on the macro side, and some things have gotten way worse. The broader structure is bearish.

🔍 The 2022 chart is worth studying. While BTC was grinding down 77.5% from its ATH over more than a year, there were four separate retracements of 25-45%. Two of them lasted for months. Each one looked like a bottom of the bear market to someone.

Violent pumps are a feature of bear markets, I've talked about it in this post 👈

@Coin_Post

5 Crypto Research Tools Worth Bookmarking 🔍

🔖 Google Trends: free tool from Google that shows search interest over time. In crypto, it's a quick way to gauge where retail attention is and how far along any narrative is in its hype cycle.

🔖 TokenUnlocks: tracks token unlock schedules for any project, with dates, volumes, and recipient addresses visible well in advance. Worth checking before entering any altcoin position.

🔖 DeFiLlama: aggregates TVL, real revenue, and capital flows across DeFi protocols. Makes it easy to separate projects with actual usage from ones that exist purely on incentive emissions.

🔖 Artemis and Token Terminal: fundamental analytics platforms that track revenue, active users, and developer activity over time. The fastest way to check whether a protocol is growing on its own or being artificially propped up.

🔖 Arkham Intelligence: de-anonymizes blockchain addresses and links them to exchanges, funds, project teams, and known whales. Lets you track where large capital is moving before it becomes public information.

📌 Save for later

@Coin_Post

The S&P 500 Just Landed on Hyperliquid 👍

S&P Dow Jones Indices, the official keeper of the most referenced benchmark in global finance, partnered with trade[XYZ] to launch the first official S&P 500 24/7/365 perpetual contract on Hyperliquid. Trade[XYZ] is not a separate exchange — it's a frontend interface built on top of Hyperliquid, the same DEX, the same liquidity, the same order book.

🕯 For 69 years the S&P 500 was accessible only through intermediaries, during specific hours, in specific jurisdictions. Today anyone with a wallet can get exposure to the world's most tracked index at 3am on a Sunday, backed by official index data from the institution that created it. Big day for DeFi 🥳

@Coin_Post

Claude: Anthropic's AI Assistant — What It Is and When to Use It 🤖

Claude is an LLM made by Anthropic. If you've used ChatGPT or Gemini, the idea is the same: you type a message, it responds. The difference is in how well it follows complex instructions and how rarely it makes things up.

👍 It's particularly good at writing, research, summarizing documents, and breaking down complicated topics. If you've ever had ChatGPT go off-track mid-task or give you confident but wrong answers, Claude handles both problems better on average.

There are extra tools on top of the basic chat:

🟠Artifacts let Claude generate things like charts, tables, or mini web pages that appear right inside the chat window.

🟠Skills are pre-loaded instruction sets that make Claude behave consistently for specific tasks — like always formatting research notes a certain way.

🟠Claude Code helps with programming.

🟠Cowork automates repetitive file and task work on your desktop, no coding required.

There are three model versions:

🟢Haiku is fast and lightweight.

🟢Sonnet is the default for everyday use.

🟢Opus handles heavy, complex tasks.

Free tier is available. Pro is $20/month and gives you more usage and access to stronger models 💸

#FAQ

Your Job Might Be More Replaceable Than You Think 🤖

🤖 Anthropic published a labor market study measuring how much AI has actually displaced workers so far.

The short answer: less than you'd think, but early signals are appearing in one specific group — workers aged 22-25 are getting hired into AI-exposed roles at a 14% lower rate than before ChatGPT launched. Not layoffs yet. Just fewer people getting in the door.

Here are the top 5 jobs most easily replaced by AI and the top 5 jobs least likely to be replaced:

Most exposed jobs today:

🔴Computer programmers

🔴Customer service reps

🔴Data entry keyers

🔴Financial analysts

🔴Telemarketers

Least exposed:

🟢Cooks

🟢Mechanics

🟢Lifeguards

🟢Bartenders

🟢Construction workers

Blue-collar work is almost entirely safe — physical presence, manual skills, zero AI penetration. White-collar office work is getting hollowed out quietly. The jobs that required years of education and pay the most are exactly the ones AI is best at automating ‼️

The data isn't theoretical anymore. Every company below cited AI as the reason for the cuts. Just in the last few months:

⏺Meta cut 16K people (21% of company)

⏺Oracle cut 30K (19%)

⏺Citigroup cutting 20K (10%)

⏺Amazon cut 30K

⏺Dell cut 11K (10%)

⏺UPS cut 30K

@Coin_Post

S&P 500 Loses Its Last Major Support 🔽

The S&P 500 dipped below its 200-day moving average for the first time since March 2025. This is the line that separates long-term uptrends from everything else.

📆 I've been saying that stock market is cooked since November. The distribution signals were there for months. Then the Iran war hit and accelerated everything.

⏺Energy prices started climbing, inflation fears returned

⏺Treasury yields spiked — 5-year above 4% for the first time since July, 10-year at 4.39%

⏺Fed cut expectations wiped out completely. Markets now pricing a 28% chance of a rate hike by October

⏺Metals got hit hardest. Silver is down 26%, Gold is down 16.5% since the start of March

I don't think 2026 will be a bullish year. This is a year for accumulation of long-term positions. Energy-driven inflation, a weakening job market, rates staying higher than expected — nothing here supports a bullish narrative.

🛒 That said, I started buying SPX-tracking ETFs today. Not because I think we've bottomed, but because these instruments go up over time as money supply grows. I plan to buy more as prices go lower.

I'll deploy even more capital if price drops into the green zone on the chart. The lower it goes, the better the entry.

🙅‍♂️ Buying crypto any time soon is a bad idea IMO. Not until there's a clear sign that stocks have bottomed and the Fed starts signaling easing again. Jumping into risk assets while the macro is still breaking is crazy.

@Coin_Post

$1,000 invested in Nvidia 10 years ago at $0.89 per share would be worth $216,800 today 😱

That's a 24,250% return — turning a four-figure investment into a life-changing amount without doing anything except not selling.

No gambling with leverage or playing zero-sum games, no options, no trying to sell the top and rebuy lower. Just hold a single stock of a great company for a decade 😨

@Coin_Post

What Are Veblen Goods 🛍

Veblen goods are products whose appeal can increase as the price increases. For normal goods, higher price reduces demand. For Veblen goods, higher price can strengthen demand because the price itself signals status, scarcity, and social rank.

This is why many people analyze them the wrong way. They look only at materials, production cost, or practical use and conclude the item is overpriced. That misses the point, because the buyer is often paying for visibility, exclusivity, brand meaning, and the ability to own something most people cannot or will not buy.

💸 A bag that looks like a basic trash bag seems worthless if you judge it only as a container. In a luxury setting, the product is not just the bag. The product is the brand, the attention, the statement, and the fact that it is absurd at a high price.

That same logic shows up in Hermès bags, Rolex and Patek watches, limited sneakers, luxury cars, art, and fine wine. In these categories, a lower price can actually weaken demand because the item loses some of its signaling power. The exclusivity matters as much as the object ❗️

This does not mean any expensive product is a Veblen good. It only applies when higher price directly adds to desirability. The key idea is simple: in some markets, price is not just a cost. It is part of the value.

#FAQ

Trump Just Gave Iran 48 Hours ⏳

Trump posted that if Iran doesn't fully open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, the US will strike its power plants, starting with the largest one.

📉 Markets priced in escalation immediately. Nobody believes Iran complies:

🔴BTC down 2.9%

🔴$232M in crypto longs liquidated in the last 1h

🔴Oil futures up 2.35%

@Coin_Post

If You're Trading Perps, You're Leaving Free Money on the Table 💸

Low activity periods, such as the current one, are when asymmetric opportunities appear. It doesn't mean you should go all-in by buying random altcoins and lose 90% as bear market goes on, but make some bets on the eventual return of speculative appetite. One of the easiest right now: farming points that convert into tokens in 6-12 months.

🤷‍♀️ If you're going to trade perps anyway, why do it on a CEX? Same trade, often higher fees, zero rewards. Perp DEXs are actively competing for users and paying out in future tokens.

DEXs worth using right now 👇

⏺Hyperliquid — token exists, #1 perp DEX, another airdrop is expected. Trade via trade[XYZ] to increase chances of potential rewards.

⏺Lighter — token exists, Season 3 ongoing, another airdrop coming

⏺Variational — no token yet, airdrop later this year

⏺Grvt — no token yet, airdrop confirmed

⏺Extended — no token yet, airdrop confirmed

#earn

@Coin_Post

99% of coins go down in a bear market. Most people assume that if a coin is in the top 100 by market cap it's somehow very different from the low-cap garbage — most often it's not 🙅‍♂️

Plenty of popular coins are dinosaurs from previous cycles that will never see a new ATH again, no matter how long you hold 📉

🍄 New video is out: 5 coins that will likely never give their holders new highs. Watch so you don't become a bagholder.

@Coin_Post

10 Jobs That Become More Valuable as AI Takes Over 🤖

AI is already hollowing out white-collar work, and physical automation is coming for warehouses and logistics next. Many careers that felt safe five years ago are not safe anymore.

Some jobs get harder to replace the smarter AI gets — physical presence, legal accountability, and human judgment are nearly impossible to automate. Here are 10 of them 👇

🟢Cybersecurity Engineer — AI creates new vulnerabilities faster than it patches them, and someone has to defend against attacks that AI itself is being used to launch.

🟢Robotics Engineer — physical AI needs humans to design, build, and maintain the machines. More robots means more robotics engineers.

🟢Surgeon / Nurse Practitioner — AI can read scans, but it cannot operate, comfort patients, or take legal responsibility for a treatment decision.

🟢Electrician / HVAC / Elevator Technician — every job site is different, hands in the wall are required, and Goldman Sachs estimates only 4-6% of trade tasks are automatable vs. 37-46% for white-collar work.

🟢Energy Infrastructure Engineer — someone has to build and maintain the grid that powers everything, even AI's own data centers.

🟢Aerospace & Defense Engineer — security clearances cannot be issued to an AI model, and the work involves physical hardware where failure is catastrophic.

🟢Therapist / Psychologist — mental health counselors score highest on AI resistance of any profession studied. Trust, human connection, and ethical judgment cannot be replicated.

🟢Biotech Scientist — AI accelerates drug discovery but humans still design the experiments, run trials, and navigate government approvals.

🟢Construction Project Manager — every site is unique, chaotic, and physically unpredictable. Someone has to stand there and make it happen.

🟢Trial Lawyer / Regulatory Counsel — routine legal work is already being automated. High-stakes courtroom strategy and AI regulation itself are growing fields that require personal accountability.

🔍 The pattern across all ten is the same: physical accountability, legal liability, or human trust. AI can optimize and assist, but it cannot be sued, arrested or responsible. The moment a role carries real-world consequences for failure, a human has to own it.

@Coin_Post

Farming Points on Genius Terminal — TGE Before April 12

Genius Terminal is a crypto trading platform — spot, futures, and a private transactions mode. Nothing revolutionary in terms of features, but the project background is worth paying attention to.

🔸 YZi Labs, the VC fund and startup incubator formerly known as Binance Labs, invested an eight-figure sum into the project. CZ himself has joined as a strategic advisor.

The airdrop has been talked about openly since launch. There's a points system, seasons, and a TGE confirmed for a random date no later than April 12.

👉 To participate: register, deposit, and accumulate trading volume. Points are distributed once a week and will convert into project tokens at TGE.

❗️ Important: points only count from spot trading. The cheapest way to farm volume is by swapping between stablecoins — the fee there is 0.05% versus the standard 0.3%. You get fewer points per swap, but the cost of generating volume is significantly lower — official documentation.

On fees: hitting $100K in volume drops your fee to 0.2%, and $1M drops it to 0.1%. This means running multiple accounts is a bad idea — better to concentrate all trading activity on one account 🤷‍♀️

#earn

@Coin_Post

Circle Stock Crashed 22.6% in a Single Session 🔽

The stock of USDC issuer Circle, had an insane drop today after a new draft of the US CLARITY Act proposed restricting or outright banning yield and rewards paid on stablecoins.

🤑 Circle's entire business model is built on earning treasury yield on USDC reserves and sharing some of that yield as product incentives. If regulators kill stablecoin yield, they kill Circle's growth moat.

🤑 Meanwhile Circle's biggest competitor is having a good week. Tether hired a Big Four accounting firm for its first-ever and long awaited full audit.

@Coin_Post

The Biggest Names in Finance Are Quietly Locking the Exits 😨

Private credit funds are pools where institutions lend money to companies outside of traditional banking — marketed to investors as higher-yield alternatives with some liquidity. The "some liquidity" part is now being tested.

Right now, investors are rushing for the exits all at once, and the funds can't pay everyone back. Here is the list of recent instances of liquidity problems 👇

⏺BlackRock — capped redemptions at 5% of net asset value (NAV) per quarter after investors requested $1.2B, paid out only 54%

⏺JP Morgan — started restricting lending to private credit funds, marking down software sector loans

⏺Morgan Stanley — limited withdrawals after investors tried to pull 11% of one fund in a single quarter

⏺Ares — capped redemptions at 5% after requests hit 11.6% of a $10.7B fund

⏺Apollo — same pattern, capped at 5% after 11.2% redemption requests

⏺Blackstone — injected $400M of internal capital to manage outflows

⏺Blue Owl — permanently halted redemptions on a $1.7B fund entirely

The restrictions themselves aren't the big problem — the problem is what they signal to everyone else. Each restriction tells other investors that liquidity is getting worse, which pushes more redemption requests, which forces more gates.

❗️ Where this ends is forced asset sales at prices that expose how far book values have drifted from reality — and the pension funds and endowments that spent years buying private credit as a bond substitute will take that hit first.

@Coin_Post