Coin Post – Money, Investments, Bitcoin
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Simple, plain, and fast crypto digests. Since 2017

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DefiLlama's AI tool is free, for now 😮

DefiLlama temporarily opened access to LlamaAI, their AI layer built on top of the platform's DeFi data. It was previously locked behind a $49/month Pro subscription. No word on when it closes.

📊 The tool lets you query DeFi data in plain language and get charts, breakdowns, and comparisons without touching a spreadsheet. I tested it. Asked it to chart trading fees across the top perpetual DEXs and it worked just fine. As you can see Hyperliquid is in a different weight class...

Worth trying while it's open. Next time you have a niche question like "what are the fastest growing lending protocols above $100M TVL" — just ask it

#AI

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How Options Work ⚰️

An option is a contract that gives you the right to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price by a certain date. A call is a bet on upside. A put is a bet on downside. You pay a premium upfront for that right.

🔍 The 2 key terms are strike and expiration. The strike is the price written into the contract. Expiration is the date when the option stops existing. If the move happens after expiration, the option does not care.

“In the money” means the option already has intrinsic value. “Out of the money” means spot has not reached the strike price yet, so the option still depends on future movement.

⏱ Out of the money options are cheaper, but they need both direction and enough magnitude before time runs out.

👉 A simple example: BTC is at $70k and you buy a 1-month $80k call for a $1.5k premium. That means you paid $1.5k upfront for the right to buy BTC at $80k before expiry:

🔴If BTC expires at $78k, you were right on direction, but the option still expires worthless because spot never got above the $80k strike. You lose the full $1.5k premium.

🟢If BTC expires at $85k, the option has $5k of intrinsic value because spot is $5k above strike. Your profit is not $5k though. Since you paid $1.5k for the option, your net profit is $3.5k.


This is why timing matters so much. Options lose value as expiration gets closer, especially if they are still out of the money. So you can be right on direction and still lose because the move was too small or too late.

#FAQ
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One guy built a $1.8B company with Claude, Grok and ChatGPT 🤖

Matthew Gallagher grew up in a trailer park, dropped out of university, and spent 20 years figuring it out the hard way. He built a viral URL tool that got millions of hits and made $0 from it.

🖥 Then, in 2024, he spent 2 months and $20K building Medvi, a GLP-1 telehealth platform, from his house in LA. Claude, Grok and ChatGPT wrote the code. Midjourney generated the ad visuals. ElevenLabs handled customer calls. No co-founder, no outside funding, no office.

Year one: $401M in revenue on 250,000 customers, with a 16.2% net margin. Hims & Hers, his closest competitor, did $2.4B last year with 2,442 employees and a 5.5% net margin. Gallagher runs 3x the margin with a headcount of 2. He's on track for $1.8B this year. His first hire was his brother 🤗

I've been saying for a while that AI is collapsing the cost of building companies to near zero. This is the clearest proof I've seen. One person, a clear idea, the right tools.

That combination never existed before. It does now. The best part is that you have access to the same AI tools as him 🤗

@Coin_Post
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How Attention Cycles Work in Crypto 🔄

In crypto, opportunities usually appear when attention is low, not when everyone is watching. Right now, Crypto Twitter activity is down 93% from the September peak, falling from more than 6% to below 0.4% of daily social dominance 📉

Google Trends for “crypto” have also dropped back to levels seen near the 2023 market bottom.

Attention and opportunity feed into each other. When prices fall and easy money disappears, attention fades because fewer people see a reason to stay. But that same drop in attention reduces competition, and lower competition is exactly what allows new asymmetric opportunities to appear.

Here is how this cycle works 👇

1️⃣Apathy comes first. Attention is low, competition is low, and overlooked opportunities start to appear. This is usually where the best asymmetry forms.

2️⃣Then early winners emerge. A few people receive huge airdrops, get 100x on good tokens and so on. Their results start pulling outside attention back in.

3️⃣Next comes crowding. More users chase the same trades, pricing gets more efficient, and upside gets compressed. The trade can still work, but the easy part is gone.

4️⃣After that, saturation hits. Too many people are positioned in the same ideas, quality drops, and late entrants get trapped. That is usually where disappointment begins.

5️⃣Then the cycle resets. Interest fades, activity collapses, and most people leave. That dead phase is often where the next good opportunities start forming.

#FAQ
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What Is the Yield Curve and Why It Matters 📊

Thought for a couple of seconds

People buy or sell bonds based on what they expect from the economy and central banks.

If investors fear higher inflation, they usually sell bonds because fixed bond payments become less attractive in real terms. That pushes bond prices down and yields up.

If they expect stronger growth, they may also sell bonds because money moves into riskier assets and markets start pricing higher interest rates. That also pushes yields higher.


The yield curve shows the difference between short-term and long-term government bond yields. In normal conditions, longer bonds usually yield more than shorter ones. That means the curve is upward sloping.

👆 This chart shows one simple version of it: the 10-year Treasury yield minus the 1-year Treasury yield. When the spread is above 0, long-term yields are higher than short-term yields. When the spread drops below 0, the curve is inverted.

An inversion matters because it usually means the bond market expects weaker growth ahead. Short-term yields stay high because current policy is tight, while longer-term yields fall as investors start pricing slower growth, lower inflation, and future rate cuts.

🔍 That is why traders watch it as a recession signal. As the chart shows, inverted yield curves have appeared before each of the last 7 recessions. It is not a timing tool, but it has been one of the most respected macro warning signs.

#FAQ
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Variant-backed prediction market opened its waitlist 👀

Melee is a decentralized prediction market where anyone can create markets on any event: sports, politics, crypto, whatever. The project raised $3.5M from Variant and DBA.

👉 To get in, go to their website and sign up for the waitlist. There's a daily check-in at the bottom of the page to build a streak. If you want to create your own markets, hit "Be a Creator" and fill out the form.

#earn
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What Is Modern Monetary Theory: Part 1/2 🏦

Most people have no idea that their understanding of how the modern monetary system works is based on a lie

Modern Monetary Theory, or MMT, is a framework for understanding how a modern fiat currency system works. It starts from a simple point: a government that issues its own currency, borrows in that currency, and has a central bank behind it can always create more money to meet obligations denominated in that currency 🤑

That means such a government does not operate like a household or company. A household has to earn money before it spends. A sovereign currency issuer can spend first, because it controls the unit in which spending happens.

The government doesn't need your taxes to operate. They tax you so you can't spend much, literally.


In MMT, taxes mainly do 3 things:

🔴They create demand for the currency.

🔴They remove money from circulation.

🔴They help control inflation.

Bond issuance also looks different here. Instead of being viewed as borrowing because the state “needs the money,” bonds are treated more like a tool for managing liquidity, interest rates, and private sector balance sheets.

🤔 The real constraint in this system is not whether the government can make the payment. The constraint is whether the economy has enough real capacity to absorb that spending. If the state keeps creating money while labor, energy, housing, goods, and production are already stretched, prices rise.

The question is not “can the government pay for it?” but “can the economy absorb it without hyperinflation?” Once you understand that, modern fiscal policy starts to look very different ❗️

#FAQ

React with 🐳 if you want to see the next part
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"A whole civilization will die tonight" 😨

Trump posted that today as his 48-hour deadline for Iran runs out. The demand was simple: open the Strait of Hormuz or face a large-scale strike on Iranian infrastructure. The deadline expires tonight ⏳

The post caps days of escalating rhetoric aimed directly at Iranian leadership. Trump says he doesn't want a civilization to die, but "it probably will."

🙅‍♂️ Markets are pricing it as a bluff. S&P 500 is down only 0.3% on the day. Oil up 0.84%. The consensus trade is that tomorrow brings either a deal outline or a deadline extension.

Hoping for the best
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Coin Post – Money, Investments, Bitcoin
"A whole civilization will die tonight" 😨 Trump posted that today as his 48-hour deadline for Iran runs out. The demand was simple: open the Strait of Hormuz or face a large-scale strike on Iranian infrastructure. The deadline expires tonight ⏳ The post…
Trump suspended the Iran strike. Markets are up hard 🔼

Tonight Trump announced a 2-week ceasefire with Iran, contingent on the full and immediate opening of the Strait of Hormuz.

🤝 He posted it directly on Truth Social, saying Pakistan's Prime Minister and military chief asked him to hold off, and that the US has already met its military objectives. Iran submitted a 10-point peace proposal, and Trump called it a workable basis for a long-term agreement.

S&P 500 futures jumped 2.58% on the news. Bitcoin moved too, now trading around $71,600, but is visibly underperforming equities.

🗓 Here's where it gets strange. Exactly one year ago, April 7, 2025, markets bottomed and reversed after Trump initial tariff war escalation.

Yesterday was again April 7 — 04/07 in the American date format. Trump is the 47th president and has made a habit of weaving that number into his posts and public statements across the past year.

💰 After hitting bottom last year, the S&P 500 rose by 44.5% over the following months. Let's hope the same thing happens again this time!

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Americans lost $20.9B to internet crime in 2025 💰

The FBI's Internet Crime Complaint Center crossed 1 million complaints in a single year for the first time in its 25-year history. Total losses hit $20.877B, up 26% from 2024. In 2001, that number was only $17.8M.

😵 Crypto fraud accounted for $11.4B of that, up 22% year over year. The biggest slice was pig butchering — fake investment platforms built on fake relationships — at $7.2B. Americans over 60 lost $4.43B through crypto alone.

The operations behind that $7.2B are based out of compounds across Southeast Asia, staffed by victims of human trafficking forced to work the phones around the clock.


Then there's the second hit. Americans lost another $1.4B paying fake lawyers and fake government agents to recover money already stolen from them.

😐 A few numbers that are hard to sit with. Gold courier scams averaged $430K per victim — people physically handing gold and cash to strangers at their door. The FBI called victims to warn them they were being scammed, and 78% had no idea it was happening.

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Coin Post – Money, Investments, Bitcoin
What Is Modern Monetary Theory: Part 1/2 🏦 Most people have no idea that their understanding of how the modern monetary system works is based on a lie Modern Monetary Theory, or MMT, is a framework for understanding how a modern fiat currency system works.…
What MMT Means in Practice: Part 2/2 🏦

If a state issues its own currency, it is not sitting there waiting for tax revenue before it can function. It can keep funding deficits, bailouts, wars, subsidies, and public programs by creating more money and more debt inside its own system.

This system is rigged against you


This is why fiscal deficit talk is pretty much fake. For a sovereign currency issuer, the danger is not “running out of money.” The danger is pushing money creation so far that the currency loses value too quickly and public confidence starts breaking down.

📈 For ordinary people, this matters because the cost often shows up indirectly. Governments do not need to openly take money from your account to make you poorer. They can expand the money supply, support spending, backstop losses, and let inflation reduce the purchasing power of your savings over time.

Inflation = taxation = systemically stealing from you


Slow currency debasement is a feature not a bug. It is needed under modern fiat regimes. If your money buys less every year, that is how the system absorbs pressure, shifts costs, and keeps functioning without open default.

🫵 The point is not that governments can print without consequences. They never can. But the consequences are transferred to normal people who hold currency. In this system, the state keeps operating, the programs keep running, but the bill gets paid by anyone holding cash and bonds.

We live in MMT system where fiat is doomed to lose value, while scarce assets will rise when priced in it. Gold, real estate, equities, cannot be printed out of thin air. So over long periods, charts in fiat are structurally programmed to go up and to the right 📈

#FAQ
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CZ is offering a $1B bet that he's officially divorced 💰

The founder of Binance went public today challenging Star — the founder & CEO of OKX exchange to take the wager — any amount, any terms — after being accused of lying about his marital status in his new biography.

🤔 The reason anyone cares: CZ's famous origin story — selling his apartment for $900K to buy Bitcoin at $400 — apparently has a version he doesn't tell. The down payment on that apartment came from his wife's elderly parents.

The OKX founder is also questioning whether CZ's stake in Binance was ever legally divided in the divorce, the way Bezos and Gates handled their asset splits.

Star didn't take the bet. Instead he pivoted to asking whether Binance's regulators would consider a $1B public wager "professional conduct." 😂

CT is watching the drama with popcorn. This is what happens when you let Chinese founders on X

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Rate cuts are off the table for 2026 😇

CPI jumped from 2.4% to 3.3% in a single month. Markets have now priced cut probability below 5% at every FOMC meeting this year — except December, where it sits at 30% 📊

War in Iran has effectively killed the rate cut narrative for the entire year. The Fed has nothing to work with here.

😢 For risk assets, this matters. Liquidity-driven rallies in equities and crypto have largely been priced around the assumption that cuts were coming.

That assumption is gone. If you were positioned for a loose Fed, this is a good moment to reassess.

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Cloudflare down 27% in 3 days 😱

$NET dropped 13% today after Anthropic launched Claude Mythos, an AI model that finds and exploits software vulnerabilities. Cloudflare is core infrastructure company of global internet — and it just lost more than a quarter of its value in 3 days 🔽

This keeps happening. One AI model release and an entire software category gets repriced overnight.

😨 The market is treating every AI launch as a potential extinction event for whoever sits downstream

I considered buying the $IGV ETF because I thought the software sector was oversold. However, it seems this is one of those cases where the changes are structural and the decline could continue for a long time 🤔

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Iran mined the Strait of Hormuz and now can't find all the mines it laid 🤣

Trump is demanding the strait open immediately. Iran's foreign minister said it will open "with due consideration of technical limitations." The technical limitation is that they lost their own mines.

💥 Removing sea mines is harder than placing them, and Iran apparently didn't keep great records of where it put them. Some were laid haphazardly. Others drifted.

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SanDisk's chart is one of the craziest on the entire market right now 🔼

$5,000 invested in $SNDK a year ago is worth roughly $143,600 today. That's a 2,772% return in 12 months, from a company most people hadn't heard of before 2025.

🤖 AI data centers need massive volumes of NAND flash storage and SanDisk is one of the few companies that can supply it at scale. Data center revenue was up 76% year-over-year in recent quarters.

NAND flash storage is a type of non-volatile memory that retains data even when the power is off, commonly used in devices like USB drives, SSDs, and memory cards


A structural NAND shortage is expected to last until at least 2028, and SanDisk is running at full capacity with multi-year contracts already locked in with AI clients.

📈 NAND prices are up 50-75% in recent quarters and SanDisk raised them another 10%+ in April 2026.

On top of all that, yesterday Nasdaq announced that SanDisk is joining the Nasdaq-100. So now it's getting forced buying from every passive fund that tracks the NDX.

All stars aligned for this insane rally

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Bybit is paying 100% APR on tokenized stocks ☝️

Bybit launched fixed earn products on 4 tokenized stocks: TSLAX, GOOGLX, NVDAX, and CRCLX, all at 100% APR for a 3-day term.

Entry requires at least $1,000 USDT deposited via Mantle Chain during the event period!


➕ 100% APR is annualized. Over 3 days that's roughly 0.82% of your position. On $1,000 that's $8. On $10,000 it's $82. in 72 hours, locked yield, no guesswork.

1️⃣Register on Bybit

2️⃣Go to Earn, pick the product, lock for 3 days

#earn
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Blockade of the blockade 😵

US-Iran peace talks lasted 21 hours and collapsed. Iran refused every core demand on the table: nuclear dismantlement, missile curbs, proxy cuts, unconditional strait reopening.

😱 Trump responded with a full US Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and orders to interdict every ship that paid Iran a toll.

The obvious question: for months the US was coordinating with NATO and Gulf states to pressure Iran into reopening the strait. Now the US is closing it themselves. What is going on?

Three things are happening at once:

1️⃣Cut off and control China's oil suppliers one by one.

2️⃣Stop Iran from becoming a regional nuclear power with the leverage that comes with it.

3️⃣End Iran's ability to tax global oil shipping at will. A country that controls the strait and sets its own tolls is a direct threat to the petrodollar system.


This is one chapter in a longer strategy. Control of energy flows is a pillar of global dominance, and it is inseparable from the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency. Oil and the dollar are the same system. Venezuela, Iran, and whoever comes next. The sequence is not random.

🇨🇳 The real pressure lands on China, it can't sustain this standoff as long as the US can, and it holds more leverage over Iran than it publicly admits. If it becomes painful enough for China, they will push Iran to accept the US's terms. Meanwhile a wave of empty tankers is already moving toward American ports to load up crude for Hormuz-starved markets.

Remember, China imports around 72% of its oil consumption, while the US accounts for roughly 25% of global petroleum exports. Higher oil prices from a closed strait are not that big of a problem for the US.

📉 The situation rhymes with last year's tariff wars. Futures are already pricing in the S&P 500 gapping 2.7% lower on Monday's open.

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Coin Post – Money, Investments, Bitcoin
Why You Shouldn’t Short Obvious Scams During Bull Market ❓ 📉 Some tokens are clearly overvalued. They look like pump-and-dump schemes destined for zero. The temptation is strong: short them and make easy money. But shorting scams is one of the fastest ways…
The MYX 2.0 is here 😂

Remember $MYX? I posted about that token back in September when it was being pumped to an absurd market cap through obvious manipulation. It's down 99% since. $RAVE looks like the same script.

🔼 The token nobody had heard of a week ago is up 4,563% and now sits at an $11.6B FDV, landing it in the top 35 by market cap. 4 wallets control 93% of the supply. The top 10 hold 97%. We are witnessing a coordinated manipulation. A coin where nearly the entire supply is held by insiders is listed on most tier-1 CEXs and is available on perps.

$11.6B makes no sense for what this thing actually is. But that's exactly what makes it dangerous to short. Did you think this vaporware wasn't obviously overvalued at a $2B FDV? Or $5B? Of course it was. But anyone who shorted it there is already down 300-500% on the position, if they haven't been liquidated outright ❗️

The people who see an obvious short here are right about the fundamentals but can be wrong about the timing. MYX took a while to collapse, and everyone who sized in early got liquidated or sat bleeding for days while the pump kept going.

👉 If you're going to trade this at all, use isolated margin only, no cross-positions. One bad night and a cross account is gone.

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Bulls are back 🐂

S&P 500 fully erased its February selloff and is sitting 1% from an all-time high. Crypto followed. $490M in shorts got liquidated in the last 24 hours.

🔼 Bitcoin is up 5.72% and pressing into the $76K resistance it couldn't break on March 17. That level matters. Whether it clears it this time tells you a lot about where sentiment actually is.

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