I understand that every market moves up/down its okay. And no matter how terrible this market looks right now, Bitcoin and altcoins will eventually recover. The real question is: from these levels, or from much lower?
The second question is even more important. Looking at many altcoins, I honestly believe their charts will never recover even 50% of their previous all-time highs.
It feels like venture capital funds spent the last few years draining every last drop of liquidity from the market. Since 2022, every token unlock has looked like another opportunity to dump into the market without hesitation. Almost as if they knew regulation was coming and decided to empty the casino before the rules changed. And honestly... they pulled it off.
Some people will say, "Relax, crypto has always had brutal corrections." That's true. The problem is that this decline hasn't really stopped since 2021.
If you entered crypto in 2024 or 2025, today's market probably doesn't seem that bad. But if you've been here since the COVID era, you know how dramatically this industry has changed. And I'm not talking about money printing, pumps, or market cycles. I'm talking about the industry itself.
The arrival of institutional capital completely changed the game. They brought new rules, a new distribution of liquidity, and many of the models that crypto veterans relied on for years simply don't work the way they used to—not even for Bitcoin.
Even if Bitcoin perfectly follows some mathematical four-year cycle, it's difficult to argue with liquidity. Liquidity is what ultimately moves prices. And liquidity isn't controlled by miners or block rewards. It's controlled by real money, media influence, and massive capital.
And that capital is no longer in the hands of crypto natives.
It's like new DJs have taken over the booth. It may still be your house, and it may still be your sound system—but now they're choosing the music, whether you like it or not.
The most frustrating part isn't that the market will eventually recover. It probably will. And it isn't even the money that was lost.
The most valuable thing that was lost is time.
Money can always be earned back.
Time can't.
Countless hours spent researching projects that turned out to be irrelevant. Endless fundamental analysis. Watching charts for hours. Tracking macroeconomic data that pointed in one direction, only for the market to move the opposite way because the biggest players decided otherwise.
That's the real cost.
Anyway, we keep moving forward.
In my next post, I'll share the rules and principles that are now permanently part of my spot investing strategy after everything I've learned over the past few years.
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The second question is even more important. Looking at many altcoins, I honestly believe their charts will never recover even 50% of their previous all-time highs.
It feels like venture capital funds spent the last few years draining every last drop of liquidity from the market. Since 2022, every token unlock has looked like another opportunity to dump into the market without hesitation. Almost as if they knew regulation was coming and decided to empty the casino before the rules changed. And honestly... they pulled it off.
Some people will say, "Relax, crypto has always had brutal corrections." That's true. The problem is that this decline hasn't really stopped since 2021.
If you entered crypto in 2024 or 2025, today's market probably doesn't seem that bad. But if you've been here since the COVID era, you know how dramatically this industry has changed. And I'm not talking about money printing, pumps, or market cycles. I'm talking about the industry itself.
The arrival of institutional capital completely changed the game. They brought new rules, a new distribution of liquidity, and many of the models that crypto veterans relied on for years simply don't work the way they used to—not even for Bitcoin.
Even if Bitcoin perfectly follows some mathematical four-year cycle, it's difficult to argue with liquidity. Liquidity is what ultimately moves prices. And liquidity isn't controlled by miners or block rewards. It's controlled by real money, media influence, and massive capital.
And that capital is no longer in the hands of crypto natives.
It's like new DJs have taken over the booth. It may still be your house, and it may still be your sound system—but now they're choosing the music, whether you like it or not.
The most frustrating part isn't that the market will eventually recover. It probably will. And it isn't even the money that was lost.
The most valuable thing that was lost is time.
Money can always be earned back.
Time can't.
Countless hours spent researching projects that turned out to be irrelevant. Endless fundamental analysis. Watching charts for hours. Tracking macroeconomic data that pointed in one direction, only for the market to move the opposite way because the biggest players decided otherwise.
That's the real cost.
Anyway, we keep moving forward.
In my next post, I'll share the rules and principles that are now permanently part of my spot investing strategy after everything I've learned over the past few years.
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IMX Price Prediction. Immutable X From GameFi to AI Narrative?
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Our community next cycle =) 🙂
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AI is scaling three times faster than previous "technological booms" in IT.
This growth has been maintained at all stages of implementation since 2022.
It's pretty clear that the AI bubble will eventually burst. Many AI projects offer little real value, and over time the market will go through a major shakeout. Companies will cut back on AI investments, countless projects won't survive, and many smaller startups will either disappear or be acquired by larger players, leading to greater market concentration.
The question that matters most to us, however, is whether that liquidity will eventually flow into the crypto market. At this point, nobody knows the answer.
That's why, even if AI stocks and the broader equity market reach extreme valuations while Bitcoin is still trading more than 50% below its all-time high, it's difficult to argue that the crypto market itself is equally overheated.
The main issue is that Bitcoin has yet to prove itself as a true hedge or "digital gold." In periods of market stress and risk-off sentiment, it still tends to react much more aggressively than traditional assets, often experiencing sharper and faster drawdowns.
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This growth has been maintained at all stages of implementation since 2022.
It's pretty clear that the AI bubble will eventually burst. Many AI projects offer little real value, and over time the market will go through a major shakeout. Companies will cut back on AI investments, countless projects won't survive, and many smaller startups will either disappear or be acquired by larger players, leading to greater market concentration.
The question that matters most to us, however, is whether that liquidity will eventually flow into the crypto market. At this point, nobody knows the answer.
That's why, even if AI stocks and the broader equity market reach extreme valuations while Bitcoin is still trading more than 50% below its all-time high, it's difficult to argue that the crypto market itself is equally overheated.
The main issue is that Bitcoin has yet to prove itself as a true hedge or "digital gold." In periods of market stress and risk-off sentiment, it still tends to react much more aggressively than traditional assets, often experiencing sharper and faster drawdowns.
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By 2035, the volume of tokenized assets could reach $88 trillion (BCG estimate)
I’m not sure if this is good or bad, but it feels like our future.
Right now, the trading volume of tokenized stocks and metals on crypto exchanges is already larger than altcoins in some cases — and this is just the beginning.
What it seems like is happening is that with the arrival of institutional players, they didn’t try to reinvent the wheel or dive deep into individual crypto projects to figure out which altcoins are promising or not. Instead, they made a genius move.
They are simply using the existing crypto exchange infrastructure as a foundation to trade familiar traditional assets — but now on blockchain rails, 24/7.
They don’t even care about the price of the underlying networks anymore. It doesn’t matter to them whether Solana is $1 or $100. The only thing that matters is being able to trade tokenized assets like Tesla or gold.
They don’t need 100x gains to make money.
And from here, you can already imagine how many more tokenized assets will be added to exchanges over the next few years.
Exchanges don’t really care either — their priority is fees. And trading fees from high-volume tokenized stocks will likely be far more profitable than a few million dollars of volume in some “fundamentally questionable” altcoin.
I think the next 5 years will look completely different compared to what we see today.
People who are still stuck in 2017–2020 crypto market models will have to accept this new reality… whether they understand it or not.
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I’m not sure if this is good or bad, but it feels like our future.
Right now, the trading volume of tokenized stocks and metals on crypto exchanges is already larger than altcoins in some cases — and this is just the beginning.
What it seems like is happening is that with the arrival of institutional players, they didn’t try to reinvent the wheel or dive deep into individual crypto projects to figure out which altcoins are promising or not. Instead, they made a genius move.
They are simply using the existing crypto exchange infrastructure as a foundation to trade familiar traditional assets — but now on blockchain rails, 24/7.
They don’t even care about the price of the underlying networks anymore. It doesn’t matter to them whether Solana is $1 or $100. The only thing that matters is being able to trade tokenized assets like Tesla or gold.
They don’t need 100x gains to make money.
And from here, you can already imagine how many more tokenized assets will be added to exchanges over the next few years.
Exchanges don’t really care either — their priority is fees. And trading fees from high-volume tokenized stocks will likely be far more profitable than a few million dollars of volume in some “fundamentally questionable” altcoin.
I think the next 5 years will look completely different compared to what we see today.
People who are still stuck in 2017–2020 crypto market models will have to accept this new reality… whether they understand it or not.
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All the fans of the 4-year cycle and Bitcoin patterns are going to hate this, come up with excuses, and in the end they'll still be proven wrong.
Remember the long-standing myth that many people treated as an absolute truth—that Bitcoin never falls below the previous cycle's all-time high during a bear market? That narrative was broken in 2022.
Back then, people rushed to find excuses: "It was FTX," "It was Binance," and countless other explanations.
Well... Bitcoin has now done it for the second time.
Yes, during Bitcoin's early years this pattern held. But back then Bitcoin was still in its infancy, behaving more like a high-growth speculative asset and exploding in value every cycle.
Today, the rules of the game have changed.
Yet many followers of the 4-year cycle and other historical patterns still can't accept that old models eventually stop working. The reason is simple: the human brain is constantly searching for structure and predictability. It hates chaos.
A clean, repetitive Bitcoin cycle felt like a cheat code. People loved the idea that the market always behaved according to the same script because it made the future feel predictable.
But once that structure starts breaking down, many Bitcoin maximalists and cycle believers become frustrated. They expect the model to keep working because it's the only framework they've ever trusted. They struggle to adapt when the market evolves.
Bitcoin's next moves are going to surprise a lot more people.
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Remember the long-standing myth that many people treated as an absolute truth—that Bitcoin never falls below the previous cycle's all-time high during a bear market? That narrative was broken in 2022.
Back then, people rushed to find excuses: "It was FTX," "It was Binance," and countless other explanations.
Well... Bitcoin has now done it for the second time.
Yes, during Bitcoin's early years this pattern held. But back then Bitcoin was still in its infancy, behaving more like a high-growth speculative asset and exploding in value every cycle.
Today, the rules of the game have changed.
Yet many followers of the 4-year cycle and other historical patterns still can't accept that old models eventually stop working. The reason is simple: the human brain is constantly searching for structure and predictability. It hates chaos.
A clean, repetitive Bitcoin cycle felt like a cheat code. People loved the idea that the market always behaved according to the same script because it made the future feel predictable.
But once that structure starts breaking down, many Bitcoin maximalists and cycle believers become frustrated. They expect the model to keep working because it's the only framework they've ever trusted. They struggle to adapt when the market evolves.
Bitcoin's next moves are going to surprise a lot more people.
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That's a nice comparison, but it's a bit misleading to compare the entire stock market with just a single asset.
It would make much more sense to compare the crypto sector as a whole against the stock market.
There's also another interesting question: How will tokenized stocks be classified in the future? Will they count as part of the traditional stock market, or will they be included in the crypto sector? That's something worth thinking about.
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It would make much more sense to compare the crypto sector as a whole against the stock market.
There's also another interesting question: How will tokenized stocks be classified in the future? Will they count as part of the traditional stock market, or will they be included in the crypto sector? That's something worth thinking about.
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So, the statistically worst 10-day period of the year is coming to an end. It feels like we’ll manage to hold the $60K level, rally toward $72K–$75K in July, then revisit sub-$55K levels in August or September. And after that, heading into the U.S. elections, I think we’ll be presented with a new narrative. Hopefully, a bullish one.
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I think many of you know about prop firms and prop trading. As you know, I like testing everything new in Web3 and the crypto industry in general. I tried one crypto prop firm… and if nothing changes on my account over the weekend or by Monday–Tuesday (even though it’s supposedly fully transparent on the Arbitrum blockchain), I’ll make an interesting video about scams in prop firms!
Make yourself comfortable — this might get interesting.
Make yourself comfortable — this might get interesting.
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CRYPTO 4 LIGHT
I think many of you know about prop firms and prop trading. As you know, I like testing everything new in Web3 and the crypto industry in general. I tried one crypto prop firm… and if nothing changes on my account over the weekend or by Monday–Tuesday (even…
Okay! Not a scam got my account back) But ill make a video about it and show you interesting case + if prop firm is ok, and you have a some issues or bugs always save all info and open case in support! Video will be very interesting
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My $10,000 Prop Firm Account FAILED... Because of a glitch? 😳
▶️ https://youtu.be/nD_z7cBlpeQ
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Sonic ($S) Price Prediction: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?
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The number of unprofitable UTXOs has fallen to a minimum of the current bearish cycle and reflects the beginning of a widespread capitulation.
The last time the indicator dropped so low was in the middle of 2023
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The last time the indicator dropped so low was in the middle of 2023
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Re Protocol Coin Price Analysis. Levels to watch NOW (updated first video - everything by iap model plan)
▶️ https://youtu.be/N2ZFdMxTUdQ
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At the moment, this is the most unsuccessful halving cycle in Bitcoin's history! But no no no, cycle lovers say this time is not different)))
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I hope everyone realizes that Hayes is once again shilling a token $SYN that has already surged from $0.02 to $0.60 and is currently under Binance Monitoring, meaning there's a real possibility it could be delisted.
This is exactly why we need stronger regulation—to prevent people like Hayes from manipulating millions of followers into buying tokens simply so they can unload their own bags onto retail investors.
Making a bad call once or being wrong is one thing. But when this happens repeatedly, at specific times, following the exact same pattern of using followers as exit liquidity, it's no longer just a mistake—it's a systematic scheme.
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This is exactly why we need stronger regulation—to prevent people like Hayes from manipulating millions of followers into buying tokens simply so they can unload their own bags onto retail investors.
Making a bad call once or being wrong is one thing. But when this happens repeatedly, at specific times, following the exact same pattern of using followers as exit liquidity, it's no longer just a mistake—it's a systematic scheme.
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This isn't about crypto, but I can't help thinking that organizations like the UN, the Security Council, the Human Rights Council, the Red Cross, NATO, and many international alliances often end up looking like massive bureaucratic money pits.
Just think about how many people are employed, how many summits are held every year, how much funding, sponsorship, and investment flows through these institutions. Yet when a real global crisis happens, the only response often seems to be "we are deeply concerned."
Now, because of the extreme heat, they couldn't even organize a meeting dedicated to addressing the heat itself.
It reminds me of crypto teams that spend years promoting the "strong fundamentals" of their scam projects—endless presentations, promises, and marketing, but very little real-world impact. 🙂
Just think about how many people are employed, how many summits are held every year, how much funding, sponsorship, and investment flows through these institutions. Yet when a real global crisis happens, the only response often seems to be "we are deeply concerned."
Now, because of the extreme heat, they couldn't even organize a meeting dedicated to addressing the heat itself.
It reminds me of crypto teams that spend years promoting the "strong fundamentals" of their scam projects—endless presentations, promises, and marketing, but very little real-world impact. 🙂
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I think you also noticed how in June the top gainers were mostly junk—either random meme tokens or almost all coins that are under monitoring and close to being delisted.
This is another side of the crypto market that nobody really talks about.
You almost never see random pumps in top-tier projects, because exchanges know it’s not easy to pump something like AVAX without retail immediately taking profits at breakeven or slightly above.
It’s much easier to pump low-cap shitcoins, trap people with green candles, and then dump them later. Low-cap tokens are easy to manipulate up and down, and then everything gets rotated into more “risk-on” assets.
In this way, they accumulate more stablecoins, because later they need liquidity to buy those same top-tier tokens—which are also, in essence, scams. The only difference is that the first group is an obvious scam, while the second is a slower, stretched-out version of the same thing.
Then this liquidity is used to flow into tokens again, backed by paid narratives about fundamentals, upgrades, market recovery, and institutions finally “discovering” the potential of these technologies.
But there’s another catch: with small caps, they can easily exit after +500–1000% moves (projects like Portal, Syn, Rave, HEI, EDU, etc.).
With large caps, that doesn’t work the same way. They usually start distributing around +100%, which you can clearly see with certain indicators like MP. Then, during the news-driven phase of the rally, they gradually sell the remaining 50% and effectively extract “free money” from the market.
Genius.
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This is another side of the crypto market that nobody really talks about.
You almost never see random pumps in top-tier projects, because exchanges know it’s not easy to pump something like AVAX without retail immediately taking profits at breakeven or slightly above.
It’s much easier to pump low-cap shitcoins, trap people with green candles, and then dump them later. Low-cap tokens are easy to manipulate up and down, and then everything gets rotated into more “risk-on” assets.
In this way, they accumulate more stablecoins, because later they need liquidity to buy those same top-tier tokens—which are also, in essence, scams. The only difference is that the first group is an obvious scam, while the second is a slower, stretched-out version of the same thing.
Then this liquidity is used to flow into tokens again, backed by paid narratives about fundamentals, upgrades, market recovery, and institutions finally “discovering” the potential of these technologies.
But there’s another catch: with small caps, they can easily exit after +500–1000% moves (projects like Portal, Syn, Rave, HEI, EDU, etc.).
With large caps, that doesn’t work the same way. They usually start distributing around +100%, which you can clearly see with certain indicators like MP. Then, during the news-driven phase of the rally, they gradually sell the remaining 50% and effectively extract “free money” from the market.
Genius.
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Today I came across a post saying:
"The current correction is one of the mildest in history. For example, in 2011, holders experienced a 5-month decline of -93%."
Posts like this never stop amazing me.
People are comparing Bitcoin's behavior from 15 years ago to today's market. Back then, Bitcoin had a market cap of just a few million dollars. Today, it's worth over a trillion. Not to mention how dramatically the world has changed over the past 15 years.
The most misleading part is the implication behind these posts: "See? Bitcoin fell 93% back then, then went from $2 to $64,000. So if it drops 70–80% now, we'll all become incredibly rich when it eventually reaches $5–10 million per coin."
That's simply not how markets evolve.
I'll say it again: with every year and every cycle—call it whatever you want—Bitcoin behaves less and less like it did in previous cycles.
As the asset matures and grows in size, both its upside and downside become more limited. We've already been seeing this trend for years.
Expecting Bitcoin to repeat the exact same patterns from a tiny, illiquid market 15 years ago is, in my opinion, one of the biggest mistakes investors can make.
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"The current correction is one of the mildest in history. For example, in 2011, holders experienced a 5-month decline of -93%."
Posts like this never stop amazing me.
People are comparing Bitcoin's behavior from 15 years ago to today's market. Back then, Bitcoin had a market cap of just a few million dollars. Today, it's worth over a trillion. Not to mention how dramatically the world has changed over the past 15 years.
The most misleading part is the implication behind these posts: "See? Bitcoin fell 93% back then, then went from $2 to $64,000. So if it drops 70–80% now, we'll all become incredibly rich when it eventually reaches $5–10 million per coin."
That's simply not how markets evolve.
I'll say it again: with every year and every cycle—call it whatever you want—Bitcoin behaves less and less like it did in previous cycles.
As the asset matures and grows in size, both its upside and downside become more limited. We've already been seeing this trend for years.
Expecting Bitcoin to repeat the exact same patterns from a tiny, illiquid market 15 years ago is, in my opinion, one of the biggest mistakes investors can make.
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2 weeks ago...Mike Novogratz in podcast (BTC 70% likely will go to 70k and road to 1 million in a future)
Today Mike Novogratz - BTC will go to 45k...
damn...this guys inside the fin system, they should know more insiders info, have a amazing analytics skills, use the best data for analysis, deep analysis, understand the macro...but no! Every week just random "predictions" like from the average guy on pumpfun
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Today Mike Novogratz - BTC will go to 45k...
damn...this guys inside the fin system, they should know more insiders info, have a amazing analytics skills, use the best data for analysis, deep analysis, understand the macro...but no! Every week just random "predictions" like from the average guy on pumpfun
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