The analytical company Chainalysis presented a study on the global cryptocurrency adoption index

Ukraine and Russia are in eighth and tenth place in the global cryptocurrency adoption index for 2025.

India, the United States, Pakistan, Vietnam and Brazil are in the top five.

The top 10 also includes Nigeria, Indonesia and the Philippines.

Bitcoin remains the main entry point into the crypto economy.

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Another Bitcoin holder from 2012 has woken up

He moved a small part of the assets, his wallet still has ~479 BTC ($53 million).

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For the first time in 6 months, the correlation between BTC and gold became negative

This trend confirms that most investors do not consider Bitcoin a safe haven asset.

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The DXY dollar index falls to a record low

While gold and bitcoin have gained sharply amid a flight from government bonds in the US, UK, Australia and Japan. Yields have soared, and experts are calling what is happening an anomaly.

According to QCP Capital, the Fed's soft policy is increasing pressure on the dollar and pushing investors into safe haven assets. In the face of uncertainty, it is BTC and gold that are becoming the main hedge against inflation and risks for global capital.

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CryptoQuant Reports Reason for Market Pump

"BTC to Stablecoin Ratio on Binance is about to give a rare buy signal, as it has only given a buy signal twice since the last bear market."

This indicator worked in March when BTC was around $78k, and then managed to recover and update the ATH.

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Circle and Tether have printed ~$12bn worth of stablecoins in the last month.

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Investment company Tephra Digital stated that if Bitcoin's correlation with the M2 money supply and gold is maintained, the price of the first cryptocurrency in the medium term could reach $167,000–$185,000

Analysts point out that the growth of M2 provides an influx of liquidity to the markets, and the positive relationship with gold increases the likelihood of further upward movement.

They estimate the probability of the Fed's policy easing in September at almost 100%, which also plays in favor of the forecast.

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Analyst Joao Wedson believes that the current bull market will come to an end in autumn 2025

In the short term, BTC is still capable of dropping to $100,000 and then retesting a high above $140,000.

In the long term, within the bear market of 2026, he allows the price to fall to $50,000.

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After six years of inactivity, the trader has transferred all of his 58,938 ETH (around $254 million)

It is known that 21,178 ETH (around $91.5 million) of this amount went to Bitfinex, which may indicate a readiness for sale or large transactions.

The rest of the funds remain under his control in new wallets.

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Another lone miner mined block 913,593 on the Biktoin network

Thus his reward amounted to 3.13 BTC ($348,000).

The miner used equipment with a hash rate of 200 TH/s. And analysts noted that the chances of mining a block with such power were about 1 in 36,000 per day or once every 100 years.

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Stablecoin reserves on exchanges reached $68 billion

Binance controls $44.2 billion (67%), according to CryptoQuant data.

OKX is in second place with $9 billion (13.5% of the market), followed by Bybit with $4.2 billion (6.2%) and Coinbase with $2.6 billion (5%).

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Upbit has announced the launch of its own L2 network Giwa

It is built on the Optimism OP Stack and generates 1 block per second.

Giwa is currently on testnet.

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The longer you hold BTC, the lower the risk of loss - Glassnode and Bitwise data for 2010-2025

- Day trading → minus chance 47%;
- Month → 42%;
- Year → 24%;
- 3+ years → loss probability ≈ 0%.

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Apple unveiled an updated line of its main devices

However, immediately after the presentation, Apple shares fell by 1.5%.

Tim Cook, we have problems

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According to Santiment, many are expecting BTC to fall below $100,000 and ETH to fall below $3,500

However, the market usually moves in the opposite direction to the crowd's expectations.

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On Polymarket, a trader under the nickname JustWakingUp bet $15,000 that the Fed would cut the rate by 50 bps at once, to 3.75%.

This player is considered the largest on the platform, as his turnover exceeds $400 million, and his profit is $2 million. If his forecast is correct, he can earn about $226,000.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 bps cut is estimated at 91.8%, and a 50 bps cut is estimated at 10-14%.

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CryptoQuant analyst under the nickname said that Bitcoin has already entered the final phase of the "bullish" cycle

504 days have passed since the halving - in previous cycles, this is the period during which the market formed peaks.

According to him, long-term holders are selling assets gradually, not en masse. This is due to institutional demand: the market absorbs supply and stretches out the formation of the peak.

The expert predicts that the final growth will occur in October-November 2025.

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