Sigma crypto chad
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My name is Sigma. With 12 years in trading and a stellar crypto team. I'm starting a diary on my trades.

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Santiment believes that crypto traders are not yet showing enough fear to confirm a local bottom.

According to experts, Bitcoin could still fall below $75,000.

The current ratio of positive to negative comments is approximately 1.29 to 1โ€”the middle of the spectrum. Analysts noted that extremely negative sentiment is a more reliable signal than neutral sentiment.

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โค2
The price of AAVE fell amid selling by one whale

Someone sold 230,350 AAVE and bought 5,869 stETH ($17.52 million) and 227.8 WBTC ($20.07 million).

The price of AAVE responded by falling by ~10%.

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โค2
Two whales recorded losses of nearly $27 million

One investor sent 16.86 million ENA to Coinbase Prime. The tokens were purchased about a year ago for $18.5 million and sold for approximately $3.5 million, resulting in a loss of $15 million, or -81%.

Another trader completely exited PUMP. From September to November, he accumulated tokens worth $19.5 million and sold them for approximately $7.3 million, recording a loss of more than $12 million, or -62%.

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๐Ÿ“‡ CoinEx Research analyst Jeff Ko stated that the market will no longer see the usual "everything grows" model

Liquidity will become selective and will only go to "blue chips" with real applications, rather than the entire altcoin market.

According to him, the influx of capital will not lift all assets at once. He also notes that after the launch of spot ETFs, the correlation between Bitcoin and money supply growth (M2) has weakened significantly, which changes the logic of cycles.

CoinEx's baseline scenario for 2026 is for BTC to rise to ยฃ180,000, but without a classic alt season.

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๐Ÿ’ถAn Ethereum ICO participant transferred all 2,000 ETH ($5.9 million) to a new wallet after 10 years of inactivity.

In 2015, the user spent only $620 on coins.

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๐Ÿฅ‡Analyst Timothy Peterson compared the current dynamics of Bitcoin with the end of 2022

At that time, BTC was trading at around $16,000.

The charts show the same December weakness and protracted consolidation.

If the seasonal pattern works again, the market may start to grow after 7 January, as it did in early 2023.

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๐Ÿ€ Market maker Wintermute points to capital concentration in Bitcoin and Ethereum

According to experts, the dynamics are in line with the market consensus that an initial impulse from the flagships is needed to start a new sustainable rally in altcoins.

Key price benchmarks are now determined by the derivatives market, where uncertainty reigns. Funding rates remain relatively low even amid sell-offs. This indicates the absence of extremely overheated long positions.

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๐Ÿ‘CoinGlass reported that, on average, investors lost $400-500 million daily through 2025, while the total loss was $150 billion.

Trading volume in the cryptocurrency derivatives market reached $85.7 trillion, with the daily average being approximately $264.5 billion.

The peak daily trading volume, as well as liquidations, occurred on October 10th โ€“ $748 billion and $19 billion, respectively.

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โค1
Trader optimism is waning on the Deribit exchange ๐Ÿ˜ฑ

This is due to the upcoming annual expiration of $28.5 billion worth of contracts.

A significant volume of call options, worth $21.7 billion, is at risk of being wiped out.

Investors were betting that Bitcoin would hold above $100,000, but November's performance failed to meet expectations. According to the exchange, only 6% of open positions have a strike price of $92,000 or lowerโ€”the remaining bets were too far off the actual price.

High concentration is also observed in the range between $100,000 and $125,000. The maximum "pain point" is at $95,000โ€”the level at which holders will suffer the greatest losses.

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๐Ÿ˜ฎ The Trust Wallet team has confirmed a vulnerability in the browser version of the wallet, version 2.68.

It's best not to open the vulnerable version until the update is available.

Changpeng Zhao will cover $7 million in customer lossesโ€”that is, the full amount.

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โค2
๐ŸŽ… Economist Peter Schiff believes that the era of dollar dominance is coming to an end

Gold will take its place as the key reserve asset of central banks.

In his opinion, this will lead to a fall in the dollar and an end to the United States' "free ride" at the expense of the global financial system.

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We all know a good and simple rule: whoever enters earlier gets more ๐Ÿง 

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The main thing is not to miss the chance to become an early manager and get your coins ๐Ÿช™

We are writing about the first chance to secure your status and position, while others think that places are limited! Earn more thanks to CDUST โ†—๏ธ
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โš–๏ธ Pantera Capital junior partner Jay Yoo shared his personal forecast for the development of the crypto industry in 2026

He highlighted the main areas that, in his opinion, will shape the market.

Among the key points are the continued growth of RWA, the development of agency commerce, the transformation of AI into an interface for crypto applications, and the strengthening of the role of stablecoins in international settlements.

He separately mentioned the risks of "quantum panic" around Bitcoin and the future consolidation of crypto exchanges, as well as the widening gap between tokens and shares of companies without legal rights to do business.

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๐Ÿ”ฝThe FLOW token price unexpectedly plummeted by almost 40%.

From ~$0.17 to ~$0.10, the price bottomed out at $0.08 on Binance.

The Flow Foundation announced an investigation into a potential "security incident affecting the Flow network."

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โค2
Amid a local correction in gold and silver, BTC is trading near $90,000 again.

Ethereum is holding near $3,000, while altcoins are mostly in positive territory. The Fear and Greed Index remains in the extreme fear zone at 24.

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๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธAccording to defioasis's analysis, Polymarket user profitability indicates strong insider dominance and a lottery among retail traders.

Thus:

- of over 1.73 million addresses, approximately 70% suffered losses.
- of the 30% that were profitable, approximately 25% earned up to $1,000.
- 0.0385% of addresses accounted for over 70% of all profits.

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๐ŸŽฎ The GameFi sector performed worst in 2025

Funding declined by more than 55% year-on-year, and a number of anticipated launches disappointed the market.

The audience remains small due to bot activity and challenges with player retention following a reduction in incentives.

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๐Ÿค”Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas linked the multiple corrections in BTC to tax-motivated transactions towards the end of the year

He is confident that they have nothing to do with real investor sentiment.

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โค1
๐Ÿ“Š The Trust Wallet team has completed its assessment of the Browser Extension v2.68 incident.

This confirms 2,520 affected addresses and approximately $8,500,000 in losses.

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