Sigma crypto chad
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My name is Sigma. With 12 years in trading and a stellar crypto team. I'm starting a diary on my trades.

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The SEC and CFTC announce their readiness to create a regulatory framework for the crypto industry to support its development.

The agencies plan to sign a memorandum of cooperation and act within their current responsibilities. The SEC will focus on tokenized securities, while the CFTC will focus on digital assets classified as commodities.

The regulators are also discussing the CLARITY Act with Congress, which should clearly delineate their areas of responsibility.

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βš–οΈ Precious metals are showing weakness

- Silver posted its steepest decline since 2008 (-35%);
- Platinum: -24%
- Gold: -13%

According to current data, silver has lost almost 40% of its price in a single day.

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πŸ‘œ Another crypto user copied the "infected" address from the transaction history and gave the fraudsters $12,300,000.

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πŸ•― The indicator of the deviation of the current price of Bitcoin from the average is below the lows of the bear market in 2015 and 2018, as well as the collapse of 2022.

A metric value of less than -2 signals that the asset is oversold and that the correction phase is coming to an end, noted MN Fund founder Michael van de Poppe.

JPMorgan analysts believe that futures on the first cryptocurrency are also likely to be below fair value due to massive sell-offs. Silver and gold, on the other hand, have moved into overbought territory.

JPMorgan remains positive on gold in the medium term and expects it to rise to $8,000-8,500.

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πŸ₯ΆDue to bad weather in the US, local Bitcoin miners disconnected from the network

Against this backdrop, Glassnode recorded a 12% drop in hash rate over four months.

According to experts, mining revenues have fallen sharply amid declining prices and operational disruptions.

Daily revenue from cryptocurrency mining fell from $45 million to an annual low of $28 million in a matter of days, after which it only partially recovered to ~$34 million at present.

The situation points to extremely low profitability for mining companies in the current price environment and mining difficulty, even after numerous adjustments to the indicator, the researchers added.

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Bitcoin closed January with a 10% correction.

This marks the fourth consecutive month of decline and the worst streak since 2018.

The Ethereum price fell 17%.

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Trader Hyperunit whale recorded a $250 million loss after closing a long position on Ethereum.

According to Arkham, his Hyperliquid account balance was reduced to $53.

Hyperunit whale gained widespread notoriety in October 2025. He earned $192 million shorting Bitcoin and Ethereum just minutes before US President Donald Trump announced 100% tariffs on Chinese imports. The fortuitous timing raised suspicions of insider trading, but no evidence of wrongdoing was found.

However, according to Arkham, his other wallets still hold $2.5 billion in assets. However, Lookonchain's statistics for the platform's top players appear pessimistic. All eight traders who had previously made superprofits ultimately lost their deposits.

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Coinbase's CEO is considered "Wall Street's No. 1 enemy."

This is all due to its support for initiatives that allow exchanges to offer yields of 3.5% on stablecoins. According to the WSJ, this creates the risk of a massive outflow of funds from traditional banks, where yields remain below 0.1%.

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Bitcoin has become less volatile than gold - reports Bloomberg

The 30-day volatility of gold exceeded 44%, which was the maximum since the 2008 crisis, while BTC has this figure of about 39%.

During the day, gold lost about 21% (from ~$5,600 to ~$4400) - the sharpest drop in more than ten years, which calls into question its status as a "Defence asset", despite the correction of BTC by about 40% of the peak.

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The head of Bitwise's research department said that bitcoin will update historical highs this year

And yes, even in spite of the usual "four-year cycle" of the crypto market.

According to him, the long-term trajectory of BTC is determined by institutional demand, not by short-term market fluctuations.

Bitwise expects that within the next decade bitcoin will be able to reach $1 million if the inflow of capital from institutional players continues to accelerate.

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The focus of Bitcoin discussions has shifted from a possible rebound to speculation about how low the price could fall.

Blue bars β€” mentions of $50,000-59,000;
Red bars β€” mentions of $90,000-99,000.

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Bitcoin is testing a local low at $70,000.

The wave of liquidations is approaching $850 million in a day. Sentiment is negativeβ€”the Fear and Greed Index is in the panic zone (11).

The selloff hasn't only affected cryptoβ€”the stock market and metals are also slumping. Investors are posting significant losses.

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U.S. state pension funds suffer significant losses

This is related to investments in Strategy.

Against the background of the decline in the bitcoin exchange rate, the drawdown of 10 out of 11 funds exceeds 60%. According to some estimates, it's more than $300 million.

Strategy shares have falled from the peak by 76%. The paper loss of the bitcoin portfolio exceeded $3 billion.

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😭 Minus $4.4 billion vibe from Michael Sailor

The current drawdown of bitcoin directly hits the main rate of Michael Saylor's Strategy company.

The company's balance sheet now has 713,502 BTC with a total value of about $49.9 billion at the current price.

With an average entry price of Strategy of about $76,000, this gives an unrealised loss of about $4.4 billion.

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At night, bitcoin went down to $60,000

Thus provoking $2.5 billion in liquidations per day.

Ethereum was falling to $1750, BNB - $570, Solana - $68.

The index of fear and greed from Alternative collapsed to 9 points for the first time since 2022. CMC signals 5 points.

By morning, bitcoin quotations had recovered to $66,000.

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Whales sold over 80,000 BTC for $5.3 billion.

According to Santiment, over the past eight days, wallets with balances between 10 and 10,000 BTC sold 81,068 BTC (~$5.3 billion), bringing their share of the total supply down to a nine-month low of 68.04%.

While major players are unloading, retailers are buying.

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Bitcoin miners are shutting down their equipment en masse amid record losses

The hash price (revenue per unit of computing power) has fallen to 3 cents per terahash. For comparison, this figure was $3.50 in 2017.

Newhedge analysts predict a decline in mining difficulty of more than 13% at the next reset. This would be the largest drop since the cryptocurrency ban in China in 2021.

The situation has hit public miner stocks. On February 5, CleanSpark shares fell 10%, MARA by 11%, TeraWulf by 8.5%, and Riot by 4.8%.

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Analyst at JPMorgan estimated the long-term potential of BTC above gold

Nikolaos Panigirtsoglu believes that in the long run bitcoin may look more attractive than gold, despite the drawdown from ~$126,000 to ~$60,000 and the outflow of funds from spot ETFs.

According to the bank's estimates, bitcoin is now trading below the estimated cost of mining (~$87,000), and its volatility is gradually approaching gold - a historically rare phenomenon.

To equalise the volume of private investment with gold (~$8 trillion), bitcoin would theoretically need a price of about $266,000 per coin.

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