Sigma crypto chad
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My name is Sigma. With 12 years in trading and a stellar crypto team. I'm starting a diary on my trades.

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Yesterday, before media reports about a potential agreement to end the conflict between the US and Iran, someone opened short positions on oil worth approximately $920 million.

Immediately after the article was published, oil prices plummeted by almost 12%, and the traders who opened those positions earned over $125 million.

The CFTC has become interested in the situation; the regulator is investigating possible manipulation and insider trading.

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Optimism around bitcoin has reached a maximum in 4 months

According to Santiment, one bearish comment now accounts for 1.37 bullish.

Analysts warn that when the market overflows with FOMO, it often happens in the late stages of growth and can lead to sharp volatility.

At the same time, CryptoQuant believes that to confirm a full-fledged reversal, bitcoin needs to gain a foothold above $88,880.

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Bitcoin hasn't reached a local low

The price still has to break through several resistance zones with a high concentration of losing positions. This is the conclusion reached by CryptoQuant contributor IT Tech.

The analyst identified three groups of long-term holders who bought the cryptocurrency near local highs:

β€’ Investors with a 3-6 month horizon: average entry price of $88,888;
β€’ 12-18 months: $93,450;
β€’ 6-12 months: $111,850.

These levels act as barriers to growth. As the price approaches the entry point, market participants seek to break even, creating selling pressure.

IT Tech cites $88,880 as the key price level. A consolidation above this level will return recent buyers to profit and reduce pressure on the market.

As long as Bitcoin trades below this level, the analyst views any rise to the $85,000–$88,000 range as a temporary rebound. He believes that talk of a bottom remains theoretical, as the data doesn't support it.

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Garrett Jin (BitcoinOG) deposited another 78,077 ETH ($178 million) on Binance an hour ago

His total wallet balance now stands at 303,618 ETH (approximately $692.5 million).

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Zcash to Release Quantum-Recoverable Wallets

Developers report that the network will transition to a post-quantum architecture within 12-18 months. The first step is the launch of quantum-recoverable wallets by June 2026.

These wallets should allow users to restore access to their funds even in the event of threats from quantum computers.

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Amid Bitcoin's roughly 20% rise in April, holders accelerated profit-taking

Over the 30-day period, the figure exceeded 20,000 BTC. However, this figure is far from the 130,000-200,000 BTC range historically associated with a transition to a bull market. Therefore, the analyst classified the cryptocurrency's current positive trend as a "bear market rally."

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A Bitcoin whale transferred 500 BTC ($40.6 million) to a new address for the first time in 12 years.

According to Arkham, the transaction took place on May 11. The coins had been stored at the address "1KAA8...d882j" since November 27, 2013, when 500 BTC were worth approximately $457,000. Over the past 12 years, the asset has appreciated approximately 89-fold.

The reason for the transfer is unknown. Such transactions often precede coin sales.

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Today, the Indian stock market lost approximately $78 billion.

This suggests that investors have begun selling off due to the surge in oil prices and concerns about geopolitical conflicts.

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Top 10 tokens by whale activity growth this week, - Santiment

1. PancakeSwap (CAKE)
2. Jasmy (JASMY)
3. Ethereum Name Service (ENS)
4. Starknet (STRK)
5. CoW Protocol (COW)
6. Optimism (OP)
7. Ondo (ONDO)
8. Yearn finance (YFI)
9. 0x Protocol (ZRX)
10. Polygon (POL)

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MARA's net loss rose to $1.3 billion in the first quarter (compared to $533 million a year earlier)

The miner's revenue fell 18% year-over-year to $174.6 million, missing Wall Street's expectations of $192.7 million.

The company's total hashrate increased by 33%, from 53.3 EH/s to 72.2 EH/s.

From January to March, MARA mined 2,247 BTC without purchasing a single coin. Meanwhile, the company's total digital gold reserves decreased by 26% to 35,303 BTC.

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Michael Burry warns about the bubble

According to him, the market has ceased to respond logically to economic data, and stocks are growing simply because they have "already grown". The main driver is the excitement around AI.

He also compared the current growth of the SOX semiconductor index with the dynamics of the techno market before the collapse of 2000. Since the beginning of 2026, the index has already grown by 65%.

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The Bull-Bear Cycle indicator has exited bearish territory and entered an early bull run

Similar signals previously appeared before the market rally in 2019 and 2023.

However, CryptoQuant analysts warn that there is no confirmation of a full-fledged bull cycle yet.

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21Shares Launches Hyperliquid Native Token ETF

THYP became the first HYPE ETF to hit the market, with trading volume on its first day reaching $1.8 million, according to Bloomberg analyst James Seyffarth.

By comparison, the XRP spot ETF raised $58 million on its debut in November, while Bitwise's Solana ETF raised $57 million.

Seyffarth predicts that Bitwise will be the next to launch a similar fund, as the company was the first to file for a HYPE ETF in the US.

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Tether reported freezing over $450,000,000 in crypto assets

They were linked to criminal schemesβ€”their T3 FCU works with law enforcement in 23 countries and primarily monitors shady transactions involving USDT and the TRON network.

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Jane Street significantly reduced its positions in Bitcoin ETFs in the first quarter

The company increased its investments in Ethereum funds from the same managers and also increased its positions in Riot Platforms, Coinbase, and Galaxy Digital.

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AI is shifting the balance of power in favor of attackers

Experts believe this is confirmed by a spate of hacks targeting DeFi protocols in 2025.

The increase in attacks is linked to AI tools that simplify vulnerability detection and allow successful hacks to be replicated on other protocols. Gu called this "unfair play." However, the expert acknowledged that no system can be completely free of vulnerabilities. He cited the "halting problem"β€”a theoretical limitation in computer science that prevents a program from predicting its behavior in all possible scenarios.

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The behavior of short-term whales will be decisive for Bitcoin's future movement

This was stated by CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV.

According to his observations, digital gold is trading near the cost level of this group for the third time since October – around $79,000–$80,000. The two previous tests, at the end of October 2025 and in January 2026, ended in capitulation.

Unlike long-term holders, short-term whales focus on price dynamics and risk management. Historically, when momentum loses, they quickly sell off positions and lock in losses.

Maintaining the price above the current level will reduce selling pressure. A breakout from historical data leads to a new wave of capitulation.

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Anthropic plans to teach Claude to anticipate user desires

The company stated that the next stage of AI development will be "proactivity." Claude will not simply respond to requests, but will also understand what a person is working on and automate some tasks without direct commands.

According to Anthropic, the industry is already moving from simple chatbots to full-fledged AI assistants for work, coding, and routine processes.

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