Sigma crypto chad
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My name is Sigma. With 12 years in trading and a stellar crypto team. I'm starting a diary on my trades.

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The Bull-Bear Cycle indicator has exited bearish territory and entered an early bull run

Similar signals previously appeared before the market rally in 2019 and 2023.

However, CryptoQuant analysts warn that there is no confirmation of a full-fledged bull cycle yet.

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21Shares Launches Hyperliquid Native Token ETF

THYP became the first HYPE ETF to hit the market, with trading volume on its first day reaching $1.8 million, according to Bloomberg analyst James Seyffarth.

By comparison, the XRP spot ETF raised $58 million on its debut in November, while Bitwise's Solana ETF raised $57 million.

Seyffarth predicts that Bitwise will be the next to launch a similar fund, as the company was the first to file for a HYPE ETF in the US.

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Tether reported freezing over $450,000,000 in crypto assets

They were linked to criminal schemesβ€”their T3 FCU works with law enforcement in 23 countries and primarily monitors shady transactions involving USDT and the TRON network.

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Jane Street significantly reduced its positions in Bitcoin ETFs in the first quarter

The company increased its investments in Ethereum funds from the same managers and also increased its positions in Riot Platforms, Coinbase, and Galaxy Digital.

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AI is shifting the balance of power in favor of attackers

Experts believe this is confirmed by a spate of hacks targeting DeFi protocols in 2025.

The increase in attacks is linked to AI tools that simplify vulnerability detection and allow successful hacks to be replicated on other protocols. Gu called this "unfair play." However, the expert acknowledged that no system can be completely free of vulnerabilities. He cited the "halting problem"β€”a theoretical limitation in computer science that prevents a program from predicting its behavior in all possible scenarios.

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The behavior of short-term whales will be decisive for Bitcoin's future movement

This was stated by CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV.

According to his observations, digital gold is trading near the cost level of this group for the third time since October – around $79,000–$80,000. The two previous tests, at the end of October 2025 and in January 2026, ended in capitulation.

Unlike long-term holders, short-term whales focus on price dynamics and risk management. Historically, when momentum loses, they quickly sell off positions and lock in losses.

Maintaining the price above the current level will reduce selling pressure. A breakout from historical data leads to a new wave of capitulation.

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Anthropic plans to teach Claude to anticipate user desires

The company stated that the next stage of AI development will be "proactivity." Claude will not simply respond to requests, but will also understand what a person is working on and automate some tasks without direct commands.

According to Anthropic, the industry is already moving from simple chatbots to full-fledged AI assistants for work, coding, and routine processes.

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BTC broke its 21-day moving average, continuing to demonstrate strength

Furthermore, Bitcoin remains resilient to rising US Treasury yields, and Bitcoin-based ETFs reached new highs in AUM and holder count.

Meanwhile, the Bitcoin/gold chart showed a significant RSI drop. Historically, this signal has triggered a bull market.

Van de Poppe allowed for a test of $70,000 if the correction continues, but is less likely to see deeper lows.

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The supply of long-term BTC holders reached 15.26 million BTC

Over the past 30 days, the indicator has increased by 316,000 BTC. For comparison: at the end of November, a decrease of 650,000 BTC was recorded for the same period.

Against this background, retail activity on Binance has dropped to a historical low.

The average monthly inflow of bitcoin from users with a balance of less than 1 BTC was 314 BTC. At the peak of the 2021 cycle, the indicator reached 2600 BTC, in March 2024 - about 1200 BTC. Since January 2024, the inflow has more than halved.

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CryptoQuant: Binance has once again amassed the bulk of its liquidity, with the exchange now boasting over $9 billion in BTC open interest

This is 73% more than its nearest competitor.

Additionally, Binance captured almost a third of the gains in BTC perks and holds nearly 67% of the CEX's USDT reserves. Simply put, large traders are flocking to markets with deeper order books and fewer execution issues.

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Pumpfun has resumed selling SOL after a nine-month hiatus

In just one day, they've already sold $25 million worth of SOL. Also, according to Goldman Sachs' Q1 earnings report, the company has completely divested the SOL ETF and XRP ETF, and reduced its ETH position by 70%.

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Donald Trump signed an executive order on integrating digital assets into the traditional financial system and revising the rules for crypto companies' access to the payment infrastructure

Within 90 days, financial regulators must analyze current regulations and determine which ones prevent companies from obtaining banking licenses and deposit insurance.

A separate section of the executive order concerns the Federal Reserve. The White House instructed the agency to evaluate within 120 days the feasibility of providing direct access to payment accounts and Reserve Bank services for "uninsured depository institutions and non-bank financial companies."

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Today, 500 BTC were moved, which had remained stagnant for about 10 years

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The anonymous P2P exchange RetoSwap, which traded Monero, was hacked

The hacker withdrew 7,000 XMR (~$2.7 million).

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Bitcoin fell below the "true average market price" - $78,300

Historically, this level divides bullish and bearish trends, Glassnode said.

To resume growth, the price needs to gain a foothold above this mark, but now it acts as a resistance.

The closest support area of analysts called the range of $71,400-76,500. A failure below these levels may signal the loss of confidence of short-term investors.

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