falcon
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Falcon Intelligence ๐Ÿฆ…

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- Virazh/Delta (knockoff)
- CCTV & Surveillance
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๐Ÿ”ฅA possible Ukrainian drone attack has occured at 'Tsimbulova drone launch site', Oryol region, Russia

๐Ÿ›ฐNASA FIRMS has detected fire/smoke in the area

Opinion: This looks to be minimal but further investigation has to be done
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๐Ÿ”ฅA possible Ukrainian drone attack has occured at 'Tsimbulova drone launch site', Oryol region, Russia ๐Ÿ›ฐNASA FIRMS has detected fire/smoke in the area Opinion: This looks to be minimal but further investigation has to be done
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๐Ÿ›ฐLooking at Sentinel-2 images from 17.09 - 02.10.2026 there looks to have been several attacks attempted at the site

โŒThose craters in the southwest area of the site are likely drones being tested (warheads) at the site or something else. Has nothing to do with Ukrainia attacks.
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๐Ÿ”ดThe Northern bridge in Kyiv has been struck by a Geran-5 drone moments ago
๐Ÿ”ดNew strike near or at the northern bridge in Kyiv
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๐Ÿ”ดNew strike near or at the northern bridge in Kyiv
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โŒNevermind, the bridge was hit.
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๐Ÿ“The drone missed the target it was aiming for
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๐Ÿ”ฅLarge fire in Chornomorsk port, Odesa region after a drone strike in the port
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โœˆ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บRussian TU-95MS strategic bombers are likely relocating to Olenya air base, Murmansk region during the night/morning

โœˆ๏ธUnknown number of aircraft (6-8)

~ Landings at Engels-2 air base, Saratov region can occur
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บRussian air defense has been operating in Kursk, Kursk region the past 30 minutes

๐Ÿš›โš ๏ธPantsir-1 and S-300 has been operating
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โœˆ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บRussian TU-95MS strategic bombers are likely relocating to Olenya air base, Murmansk region during the night/morning โœˆ๏ธUnknown number of aircraft (6-8) ~ Landings at Engels-2 air base, Saratov region can occur
Preliminary

๐Ÿ›ซSeveral TU-95MS took off from Ukrainka air base, Amur region about an hour ago, flying towards the western part of Russia

โ„น๏ธInformation will be confirmed in the morning
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆUkranian kamikaze drones are inching closer and closer towards central Moscow, Russia

๐Ÿ’ฅSeveral explosions has been observed near Zhukovsky International Airport which also houses military aircraft like โœˆ๏ธTU-160, โœˆ๏ธTU-95 and โœˆ๏ธTU-22M3

โ„น๏ธStill not confirmed if the airport is under attack
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Preliminary ๐Ÿ›ซSeveral TU-95MS took off from Ukrainka air base, Amur region about an hour ago, flying towards the western part of Russia โ„น๏ธInformation will be confirmed in the morning
โœˆ๏ธ4x TU-95MS flew to Olenya air base, Murmansk region

โœˆ๏ธ2x TU-95MS flew to Engels-2 air base, Saratov region

โœˆ๏ธTU-95MS that landed at Engels-2 air base, Saratov region will likely fly to Olenya air base, Murmansk region in the evening

๐Ÿ”ดA combat mission with all the aircraft is possible after midnight using up to ๐Ÿš€30x KH-101 cruise missiles together with โœˆ๏ธ3xTU-160M from the far east of Russia
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โœˆ๏ธ4x TU-95MS flew to Olenya air base, Murmansk region โœˆ๏ธ2x TU-95MS flew to Engels-2 air base, Saratov region โœˆ๏ธTU-95MS that landed at Engels-2 air base, Saratov region will likely fly to Olenya air base, Murmansk region in the evening ๐Ÿ”ดA combat missionโ€ฆ
โ„น๏ธThere are conflicting reports about these aircraft

1. No aircraft has landed at Engels-2
2. No landing at all has been observed yet

Reason is likely do to these aircraft still being in the air (took off around 05:00-06:00 Kyiv time). They should have landed or are landing now

(17:15)

Landing soon
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โ„น๏ธThere are conflicting reports about these aircraft 1. No aircraft has landed at Engels-2 2. No landing at all has been observed yet Reason is likely do to these aircraft still being in the air (took off around 05:00-06:00 Kyiv time). They should have landedโ€ฆ
Landings occured earlier today

๐Ÿ›ซ1x TU-95MS took off from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region (17:35 Kyiv time)
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๐Ÿ”ดEstimated timeframe of Russias large scale attack on Ukraine during the night/morning

๐Ÿ›ต/๐Ÿ›ต:
Drones will continue to be launched for several hours. The amount is unknown.

โœˆ๏ธ/โœˆ๏ธ:
TU-160M from Belaya air base, Irkutsk region should be in the air any moment now flying towards western Russia (Missile launches will occur between 03:30-05:00 Kyiv time).
๐Ÿ›ซCorrection: 3x TU-160M are in the air

TU-95MS from Olenya air base, Murmansk region will take off after midnight and launch missiles during the same time as the TU-160Ms from Belaya air base

๐Ÿšข/๐Ÿšข:
The Caspian Flotilla and Black sea fleet will be monitored for possible launches after midnight

๐ŸšŒ/๐Ÿš€:
Ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles will be launched between 00:30-02:00 Kyiv time

Other weapons:
Possible use of KH-59/69, Iskander-K, Banderol/Dan-T and others.

โ„น๏ธTimes can change
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โœˆ๏ธ1x TU-95MS took off from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region

- 01:02 Kyiv time

โšกHelicopters are also operating in the sky over Saratov due to Ukrainian drones
โœˆ๏ธ/โœˆ๏ธSU-30/34/35 are also taking off from Engels-2 air base, Saratov region

โ—๏ธThey are evacuating the air base
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