😇 Fed Rate Cuts Coming?

According to Goldman analysts, the Fed may go for three rate cuts in 2025. Such a move could have a major impact on the US dollar, stocks, and gold.

❓Do you think the Fed will actually cut rates three times?
👍 Yes, most likely, ❤️ No, at most once

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🔤🔤🔤🔤

☄️ Trump is pushing for a Putin–Zelenskiy summit within weeks, saying he sees a “reasonable chance” to end the three-year war, with talks potentially including 1,000 prisoner releases, $150B in US-Ukraine arms deals, and new security guarantees backed by Europe.

😁 Trump’s tariffs pushed China’s exports to the Global South up 100% in a decade, versus 28% to the US and 58% to Europe, now making up 50%+ of its surplus and 20% of partners’ GDP.

🇯🇵 Japan’s 20-year bond auction drew a 3.09 bid-to-cover ratio (vs. a 3.24 average), underscoring fiscal concerns after election losses and BOJ tapering, with yields near 1999 highs

🤖 #INTEL secured a $2 billion equity investment from SoftBank—buying shares at $23 each to become Intel’s sixth-largest shareholder with just under 2% stake—sending Intel’s stock up over 5% in after-hours trading (today’s price: $23.66)

🚗 #TESLA launched the six-seat Model Y L in China at 339,000 yuan ($47,182) with a 751 km range, directly challenging Li Auto’s L8 as it seeks to regain ground in the world’s largest EV market (today’s stock price: $335.16).

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 19.08.2025

🇨🇦 CPI m/m – 15:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 Median CPI y/y – 15:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 Trimmed CPI y/y – 15:30 GMT+3

If you are ready for a new trading session, put ❤️

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🇨🇭 USDCHF

🚩 The asset rebounded from the 50-MA, breaking below the symmetrical triangle and facing the 0.8060 support level.
The RSI crosses the mid-line, suggesting a bearish sentiment.

#TradeIdea

🔽 Sell #USDCHF ONLY after breaking 0.8060;
🎯 TP: 0.8000.

Hit ❤️ if you're going to take it!

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🔤🔤5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

🌐 US500 finally broke through the upward trend after updating its ATH. The lips crossed the teeth and almost crossed the jaw, and momentum fell below 100.0, making a drop to the global trend line possible.

#TradeIdea

🔽 We are considering selling #US500 if it falls below 6440 and the nearest fractal.
🎯 Target 1: 6400;
🎯 Target 2: 6375.

Click ❤️❤️❤️ if you agree with the analysis!

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🇯🇵 USDJPY

📉 The pair has once again hit strong resistance at 147.89, which coincides with the 200-day moving average, and failed to break through.

❗️ If this level is breached, further decline is likely.

#TradeIdea

🔽 Sell #USDJPY only after a break of 147.58;
🎯 TP: 146.93/

💬 Share your thoughts in the comments! 👇

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⚡️ XRPUSD

🪙For all crypto enthusiasts, let's take a look at Ripple:) The price broke through the upward trend line and fell to critical support and MA50. AO indicates bearish dominance.

📉 If #XRPUSD falls below 3.000 and the nearest fractal, we can expect a 6.50% drop!
🎯 Target: 2.8000.

Destroy 👍👍👍👍 if you also follow the world of crypto

@fbsanalytics

🐳 Paul Tudor Jones

🪙 He started as a cotton trader and, in the 1980s, founded Tudor Investment—honing tape-reading, risk control, and global-macro instincts.

💡 While the crowd celebrated, he built defense: short exposure, strict discipline, and explicit exit plans. The documentary “Trader” was filmed right before Black Monday—a rare look at how a master prepares.

💬 His core rule: “The most important rule of trading is to play great defense, not great offense.”

🍀 In 1987, he bet on the downside. His fund finished +125.9% after fees, and Jones personally made about $100M.

#Motivation

📝 You don’t need to see the future. Protect the downside, and let one right setup change your year.

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🪙 ETHUSD

✨ The price broke below the trendline and retested it.
The price faces the 20-MA as resistance at the 4320 resistance level. Breaking below the 38.2 Fibonacci will trigger a decline toward the golden Fibonacci pocket.

🔽 If the 4240 level is broken, a decline can be expected.
🎯 Target: 3880.

Are you waiting for the correction in crypto? Hit ❤️ if YES!

❗️ UBS Raises Gold Forecast ❗️

📈 UBS has increased its year-end June 2026 gold target to $3,700 per ounce (previously $3,500).

📌 Strong central bank demand, geopolitical uncertainty, and expectations of a dovish Fed continue to support the precious metal.

💬 Do you agree with the forecast? Smash ❤️!

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😎 Our private FBS Telegram chat is still open for verified members.

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🔫 One proposed resolution of the conflict envisions European troops deployed in Ukraine under US command, with the US providing only air support. Russia opposes the deployment of NATO forces in Ukraine.

📉 A seasonal correction is unfolding in US stocks. BofA notes that historically the weak period starts in August, with selling pressure peaking in mid-September. The US500 has dropped to 6,402.

🇳🇿 The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut its interest rate to 3.00%. If inflationary pressures continue to ease as projected, the committee does not rule out further rate cuts. NZDUSD fell to 0.5830.

❌ The number of corporate bankruptcies in the US has surpassed 2020 pandemic levels, Business Insider reports. The US Dollar rose to 98.22.

🖥 SoftBank announced a $2 billion investment in Intel, while the Trump administration is discussing the purchase of a 10% stake in the company. Intel shares rose 8% in pre-market trading.

🤖 US tech stocks came under pressure amid concerns over the future of the “AI boom” and a potential financial bubble. The US100 fell to 23,315.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.08.2025

🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting Minutes – 21:00 GMT+3

If you enjoyed the insight, click on ❤️!

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🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤

🇳🇿 NZDUSD fell to the lower trend line of the descending channel, and the price crossed the lower Bollinger band. %R also indicates significant oversold conditions, but there are two uncovered imbalances below.

#TradeIdea

🔽 A break below the lower trend line below 0.5820 will drop the price to 0.5760 and 0.5700;
🔼 A rebound from the trend line will return NZDUSD to 0.5900.

👍 — if you are bullish, ❤️— if you are bearish. Let's see who wins!

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🥈 XAGUSD May Fall

📉 #Silver formed a head-and-shoulders pattern, retesting its neck and 50-MA at the 37.20 support level. MACD histogram crosses the 0-line down, suggesting further decline.

#TradeIdea

🔽 Sell #XAGUSD when consolidates below 37.20;
🎯 Target: 36.00;

Hit 👍 if you are trading XAGUSD this week!

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🔤🔤1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

🐂 The price fell to the global trend line and critical support area after crossing the lower Bollinger band. CCI has moved out of the oversold zone, and there is an imbalance at the top, which makes it possible for the price to rise to a small trend line.

#TradeIdea

🔼 We are considering buying #US100 when it rebounds from the trend line.
🎯 Target: 23550.

Click ❤️❤️❤️ if you agree with the analysis!

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🔥TRADING STOCKS

📉 So, #MICROSOFT has rebounded from the upper trend channel, and Parabolic SAR confirms the possibility of a decline! RSI has already left the overbought zone, which makes a small correction possible.

🔽 We are considering selling #MICROSOFT if it falls below 505;
🎯 Target: 465.

Click ❤️ if you like unique ideas from FBS

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❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️

🥇Gold is testing the upper trend line of the falling wedge and extremely important resistance. MA50 is ready to cross MA200, forming a Dead Cross, but +DI has risen above -DI. Let's consider two scenarios:

#TradeIdea

🔼 A breakout above 3340 will open the way to 3370;
🔽 A rebound will drop #XAUUSD to 3315.

👍 - you're bullish, ❤️ - you're bearish! What is your target for today?

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🪙 Bitcoin Forecast

📆 On the weekly chart, Bitcoin is forming a double bearish divergence with the RSI.

Historically, each correction wave has triggered a ~30% drop.
If history repeats, #BTC could slide to 87K.

❓ Do you think #Bitcoin will really go that low?

👍 – Yes
🔥 – No

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