FBS Analytics

Black Monday: The Crash That Shook the World

📆 October 19, 1987 — the Dow Jones collapsed by 22.6% in a single day, the biggest one-day percentage drop in US history. Global markets followed, triggering chaos from London to Hong Kong.

💥

Why did it happen?
🔴Program Trading: Automated sell orders overwhelmed the market once prices started falling.
🔴Overvalued Markets: Stocks traded at high P/E ratios after a long bull run.
🔴Investor Panic: Fear spreads fast without social media — imagine today.
🔴Lack of Safeguards: No circuit breakers or trading halts at the time.

🔍

Consequences:
1️⃣ Led to introducing circuit breakers designed to pause trading during extreme moves.
2️⃣ Central banks, including the Fed, stepped in to restore confidence — laying the groundwork for the "Fed Put" mentality.
3️⃣ Showed how interconnected and fragile global markets had become.
4️⃣ A major wake-up call: Technology + psychology = explosive risk.

💭

What we learned:
❌ Even without a recession or war, a market can crash — fast. Risk management matters more than predictions.

❓

Would your strategy survive a day like Black Monday?

💬

📲

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FBS Analytics

What’s the nickname for a trader who never sells?

Anonymous Quiz

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FBS Analytics

🪙

The Next Reserve Currency?

⚠️ For over 500 years, the world has seen a succession of reserve currencies held by various countries. Here's how it was:

🇵🇹 The Portuguese were the first to set the trend, with their currency being the world's reserve currency between 1450 and 1530. Portuguese real was in demand as the country dominated world trade and exploration

🇪🇸

Spain took over as the world's reserve currency from 1530 to 1640 as they became dominant in world trade and held vast amounts of gold and silver.

🇳🇱 The Dutch took over from 1640 to 1720 because of their economic and financial strength, including their dominance in the financial industry.

🇫🇷

France's currency took over from 1720 to 1815, largely due to their military and economic power.

🇬🇧 After Napoleon's defeat, the British pound took the leadership from 1815 to 1920 due to Britain's status as the world's economic powerhouse and its vast colonial empire.

🇺🇸 The United States then became the boss from 1920 to the present day. This change occurred mainly due to the growth of the US economy after World War I and the United State's role as a dominant military power.

🇨🇳 However, China is about to take the US's place, with its yuan becoming the next candidate.

#Education

❔

What do you think, will it happen?

📲

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☀️

Good morning!

⚡️ Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating to Aa1 has reignited market fears over ballooning federal deficits, pushing 30-year Treasury yields to 5% and sparking a selloff in equities and the dollar.

💵 BNP Paribas announced the launch of its €1.08 billion share buyback program approved by the ECB, with purchases running through June 20 — today's stock price: €79.39.

🇨🇳 China's industrial output beat expectations with a 6.1% rise in April, but weaker-than-forecast retail sales growth of 5.1% underscored lingering consumer caution amid tariff uncertainty and economic headwinds.

🔪 Diageo plans to cut $500 million in costs over three years to offset US tariff impacts, while reaffirming full-year guidance and reporting stronger-than-expected Q3 sales — today's stock price: £2,152.00.

🖥 Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang unveiled new AI hardware and software at Computex to strengthen the company's dominance in the AI chip market amid growing global competition — today's stock price: $135.40.

#MarketNews

📆

CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 19.05.2025

🇨🇭 SNB Chairman Schlegel Speaks - 19:30 GMT +3;

💬 How are you preparing for today’s trading session?

📲

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🗓

Important events to look forward to this week:

Tuesday, May 20:
🇦🇺 AUD - Cash Rate - 07:30 GMT+3;
🇦🇺 AUD - RBA Monetary Policy Statement - 07:30 GMT+3;
🇦🇺 AUD - RBA Rate Statement - 07:30 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 CAD - CPI m/m - 15:30;
🇨🇦 CAD - Median CPI y/y - 15:30;
🇨🇦 CAD - Trimmed CPI y/y - 15:30;

Wednesday, May 21:
🇬🇧 GBP - CPI y/y - 09:00 GMT +3;

Thursday, May 22:
🇪🇺 EUR - French Flash Manufacturing PMI - 10:15 GMT +3;
🇪🇺 EUR - French Flash Services PMI - 10:15 GMT +3;
🇪🇺 EUR - German Flash Manufacturing PMI - 10:30 GMT +3;
🇪🇺 EUR - German Flash Services PMI - 10:30 GMT +3;
🇬🇧 GBP - Flash Manufacturing PMI - 11:30 GMT +3;
🇬🇧 GBP - Flash Services PMI - 11:30 GMT +3;
🇺🇸 USD - Unemployment Claims - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 USD - Flash Manufacturing PMI - 16:45 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 USD - Flash Services PMI - 16:45 GMT+3;

Friday, May 23:
🇬🇧 GBP - Retail Sales m/m - 09:00 GMT +3;
🇨🇦 CAD - Core Retail Sales m/m - 15:30;
🇨🇦 CAD - Retail Sales m/m - 15:30;

#weeklydigest

A brief overview of important assets:

💵 USDollar after testing the 101.69 resistance level and MA-50, the price declined to the 100.55 support level. If the asset does not consolidate below the support, we should expect the growth back to the resistance level, however, if the price consolidates below the support level, the decline will continue to 99.09;

👉

🥇

🇻🇦

👈Gold fell below 3235 and is testing this level from below. The graph shows a double-top pattern. If the asset manages to break through the resistance level of 3235, growth will resume to 3350. However, if the price fails to break the support level, the decline will continue to 3130;

👉

🗽

🕛 The index shows steady growth. The asset has confidently consolidated above MA-200, indicating buyers' strength. The price is testing the resistance level of 5950. If the resistance level is broken, the growth will continue to 6140. However, if the price fails to break through this level, it is worth waiting for a decline to 5785.

💬 What setups are you keeping an eye on this week?

📲

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FBS Analytics

☄️USDJPY

💴A head and shoulders pattern formed on the chart, and the price broke the neckline. USDJPY fell below the TEMA, and the Chaikin fell below 0.

🟢

Hedge funds boosted long yen positions to 24,741 contracts—the most since 2019—ahead of the G-7 meeting, as USD/JPY fell 0.6% amid rising bets on a stronger yen.

#TradeIdea

🔽 We consider selling #USDJPY on consolidation below 145.000 and the nearest fractal;
🎯 Target 1: 144.000;
🎯 Target 2: 143.000 (assuming further decline)

👍 - if you are also waiting for the fall!

📲

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FBS Analytics

⚡️ XAUUSD SMART MONEY (ICT)!

🌉

#Gold navigates within a double-bottom pattern, facing the 3245 resistance zone.
200-MA gives a robust resistance for the gold, while the MACD oscillator is going upwards, aiming to break above the 0-line, with the potential of growth to the FVG zone.

#TradeIdea

🔼 We will buy #XAUUSD on a breaking above the 3245;
🎯 Target: 3310.

Hit 👍👍👍 if you are waiting for a rise, too!

📲 Start Trading with FBS

📍

Local TG channels:
🇹🇷TR 🇪🇸ESP 🇮🇩ID 🇵🇹PT 🇵🇸AR

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🥇

BTCUSD

💲 Bitcoin is moving sideways, but the price fell to the global trend line and bounced back. Tenkan is above Kijun on Ichimoku, and Stochastic is still indicating oversold.

#TradeIdea

🔼

If #BTCUSD breaks out of the cloud above 103500, it will start to rise;
🎯 Target 1: 105000;
🎯 Target 2: 106000;

👍— if you think Bitcoin will reach ATH soon!

📲

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🇨🇦 USDCAD

🇺🇸

The chart clearly shows a series of declining highs and lows - a clear signal of buyers' weakness. The MACD indicator confirms the probability of further decline. The price has fallen below MA-50 and is testing a critical support level at 1.3943.

#TradeIdea

🔽 Sell ONLY after the breakdown of 1.3943;
🎯 TP: 1.3912.

💬 What are your thoughts on further USDCAD movement?

📲

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👉🇪🇺🇻🇦🚀👈EURUSD Rising!

📈 On the H4, EURUSD formed a descending channel pattern, and the price broke the upper trend line and MA200. The lips crossed the jaw of the Alligator, and the price rose above the nearest fractal.

🟢 The daily chart clearly shows that a bullish flag pattern has formed, and the price has broken the upper boundary.

🔼 We consider buying #EURUSD on consolidation above 1.1280;
🎯 Target: 1.1380;

❓

Do you agree? What's your target, guys?

📲

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⚡️

1 Hour to Go: Live with Adetola Freeman!

⚡️

⬆️ Ready to level up your trading game?

Join Adetola Freeman live for:
🟢 Real-time market insights.
🟢 Battle-tested strategies.
🟢 Smart takes you won’t find on the news.

👉

Watch here: https://t.me/fbsanalytics?livestream

Got questions?

❓

Drop them in the comments — Adetola will answer live!

💬

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❗️The US economy is plunging into a zone of high uncertainty ❗️

🤷‍♀️ The confidence index in policy and macro guidance is declining, and markets are losing familiar footholds. Investors and traders are increasingly confronted not with facts but with assumptions - and trading in an environment of heightened turbulence.

❓

How do you operate in such an environment?

📲

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Which moving average reacts faster to price changes?

Anonymous Quiz

30%

〰️ SMA (Simple Moving Average)

46%

⚡️ EMA (Exponential Moving Average)

⚖️ WMA (Weighted Moving Average)

📊 VWAP

📈 MA Ribbon

12%

❌ None – they’re all lagging

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FBS Analytics

☀️

Good morning!

📉 Strong outflows are occurring from the world's largest gold ETF, #GLD, according to Goldman data. Gold is now trading at the 3200 level.

📊 JPMorgan notes that retail investors now buy a record amount of US equities. US500 is trading at 5950.

📊 After the US downgrade, Moodys downgraded the leading US banks: JPMorgan, BofA, and Wells Fargo. UsDollar declined to 100.15.

💸 ETH and BTC supply on exchanges continues to decline: BTC supply is at an 8-year low, and ETH supply is at a 10-year low. BTC is trading at 105000.

🇦🇺 Australia Delivers Rate Cut, Sending Currency Lower. AUDUSD is down to 0.6420.

#MarketNews

📆

CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.05.2025

🇨🇦 CAD - CPI m/m - 15:30;
🇨🇦 CAD - Median CPI y/y - 15:30;
🇨🇦 CAD - Trimmed CPI y/y - 15:30;

💬

Which assets are on your radar this session?

📲

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👉

🇻🇦

🇨🇭

🛸👈USDCHF Ready to Fall!

🐻 In the daily timeframe, USDCHF has formed a honey flag pattern, and the price tests the lower boundary of the flag and AMA. At the same time -DI crossed +DI on ADX!

#TradeIdea

🔽 We consider selling #USDCHF only when the lower boundary and AMA are broken;
🎯 Target 1: 0.8210;
🎯 Target 2: 0.8120;

Agree? Then destroy 👍👍👍

📲

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