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❗️The US economy is plunging into a zone of high uncertainty ❗️

🤷‍♀️ The confidence index in policy and macro guidance is declining, and markets are losing familiar footholds. Investors and traders are increasingly confronted not with facts but with assumptions - and trading in an environment of heightened turbulence.

❓ How do you operate in such an environment?

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☀️ Good morning!

📉 Strong outflows are occurring from the world's largest gold ETF, #GLD, according to Goldman data. Gold is now trading at the 3200 level.

📊 JPMorgan notes that retail investors now buy a record amount of US equities. US500 is trading at 5950.

📊 After the US downgrade, Moodys downgraded the leading US banks: JPMorgan, BofA, and Wells Fargo. UsDollar declined to 100.15.

💸 ETH and BTC supply on exchanges continues to decline: BTC supply is at an 8-year low, and ETH supply is at a 10-year low. BTC is trading at 105000.

🇦🇺 Australia Delivers Rate Cut, Sending Currency Lower. AUDUSD is down to 0.6420.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.05.2025

🇨🇦 CAD - CPI m/m - 15:30;
🇨🇦 CAD - Median CPI y/y - 15:30;
🇨🇦 CAD - Trimmed CPI y/y - 15:30;

💬 Which assets are on your radar this session?

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👉🇻🇦🇨🇭🛸👈USDCHF Ready to Fall!

🐻 In the daily timeframe, USDCHF has formed a honey flag pattern, and the price tests the lower boundary of the flag and AMA. At the same time -DI crossed +DI on ADX!

#TradeIdea

🔽 We consider selling #USDCHF only when the lower boundary and AMA are broken;
🎯 Target 1: 0.8210;
🎯 Target 2: 0.8120;

Agree? Then destroy 👍👍👍

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🥇 BTCUSD

🎉THE PREVIOUS TARGET ACHIVED! Now, Bitcoin has formed an ascending channel pattern, and the price has bounced off the upper trend line. It crossed the AMA, and the %R came out of the overbought zone.

#TradeIdea

🔽 If #BTCUSD consolidates below 105000, it will start a small decline;
🎯 Target: 103000;

❤️❤️❤️ if you are trading crypto this week!

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🚀 #Crypto Total Market Cap (Excluding #BTC) Update!

📈 The #altcoin market shows signs of growth as it meets the crucial 200-day moving average (200-MA).

🎢 If total capitalization breaks above the long-term descending trendline, we could see a move toward the $1.35 trillion level at the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.618).

Is this a sign of ALTSEASON?

👍 = Yes
🔥 = No

⚡️ XAUUSD ALERT!

🥇 Gold navigates within a bearish rising wedge and faces the 3240 resistance.

☠️ The 50-MA crosses the 200-MA, indicating a Death Cross pattern, suggesting a further decline.

#TradeIdea

🔽 We will short #XAUUSD only on a breaking below the pattern;
🎯 Target: 3150.

Click 👍👍👍 if you are bearish!

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📍 Local TG channels:
🇹🇷TR 🇪🇸ESP 🇮🇩ID 🇵🇹PT 🇵🇸AR

🇦🇺 AUDUSD 🇺🇸

The asset continues to show weakness:

📌 Price fails to update local highs.
📌 A close below MA-200 strengthens the bearish scenario.
📌 A bearish engulfing candlestick pattern is formed on the chart.
📌 Also, MACD and Parabolic SAR indicators indicate a decline.

All these factors point to the dominance of sellers and the potential continuation of the decline. If the support at 0.6413 is broken, further downward movement can be expected.

🔽 Sell #AUDUSD ONLY after consolidation below 0.6413;
🎯 TP1: 0.6390;
🎯 TP2: 0.6367.

💬 What do you think about this setup?

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👉🇻🇬🇻🇦🛸👈It’s A Short Time for GBPUSD!

💸 GBPUSD started to correct after a robust rise, breaching below the Double-Top pattern.
The price faces the 50-MA support while the Momentum crosses the 100-line down, signaling a bearish sentiment.

#TradeIdea

🔽 We are considering selling #GBPUSD on consolidation below 50-MA;
🎯 Target: 1.3300.

Agree? Smash 👍👍👍

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🥇 China’s Gold imports rose to an 11-month high! 🥇

🇨🇳 China maintains strong demand for gold despite recent price declines.

📈 This investment demand shows gold remains a key asset amid global economic uncertainty.

What’s your closest outlook for XAUUSD?

🗿 - Up
🐳 - Down

🌉 Gold Trading: What you must know and remember

🥇 Gold is trading around 3250$, following a brief correction after hitting record highs above $3,500/oz in April. This underlines the critical importance of risk management in trading!

💡 Key influencing factors:

🪙 Fed monetary policy: The gold market is reacting to expectations that the Fed may begin cutting rates as early as Q3 2025, though policymakers remain cautious amid mixed economic signals
🇺🇸The political situation in the US: President Trump's implementation of steep tariffs—averaging 27% and reaching up to 145% on Chinese imports—has heightened economic uncertainty.
🟠 The recent downgrade of the US credit rating and rising global debt ($36 trillion in the US alone) have sparked renewed demand for gold as protection against systemic risks.
💰 Central banks added 244 tonnes of gold in Q1 2025. China, India, Poland, and Kazakhstan remain among the top buyers.

⚠️ Risk Management Recommendations:

🟢 Position Size Control: Limiting the size of the deposit per trade to 2-10% of the total portfolio helps minimize potential losses.
🟢 Stop-loss orders: Don't forget to use them to protect capital from unexpected market movements!!!
🟢 Portfolio Diversification: Reduce overall risk by trading in a variety of assets.

⚡️Gold Trading Strategies:

🟠 Utilize long-term trends to determine when to buy or sell. Sometimes, it pays to trade strictly on the trend. Considering the current situation, we are in a trending market.
🟠 Technical analysis tools such as moving averages, RSI, and MACD are used to identify potential entry and exit points. Detailed usage can be found in the articles below.
🟠 Attention to correlations with currency pairs, such as AUDUSD, is vital for gold-producing countries.

#Education

🍀 Save this post and share with your friends!

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❌ George Soros: The Man Who Broke the Markets!

🌍 Who is George Soros?
Soros, a legendary hedge fund manager and philanthropist, is best known for his bold macro trades and deep understanding of global markets. High-profile successes and influential financial theories have marked his career.

🎓 Key Trading Philosophy:
🟢 Strong emphasis on macroeconomic analysis
🟢 Success requires understanding both economics and human psychology
🟢 Markets are affected by the biases and actions of participants (market reflexivity)
🟢 Patience and adaptability are critical

🏆 Famous Trades:
1️⃣ 1992: Shorted the British pound, betting it was overvalued, and earned over $1 billion in a single day from this trade.
2️⃣ Predicted the UK would exit the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM).
3️⃣ His trading speculation was probably the cause of the Asian Tom Yam Crisis, although the causes were multifaceted.

🎯 Lesson to Learn:
Patience, timing, and a thorough understanding of market psychology and macroeconomics are critical to success.

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☄️USDJPY

💴On the H4, USDJPY breaks below the expanding channel and the 200-MA, signaling a robust bearish movement.

✍️ Japan's 20-year bond auction received the weakest demand since 2012. Analysts expect further monetary tightening - RTRS survey

#TradeIdea

🔽 Sell #USDJPY;
🎯 Target: 142.40;

👍 - if you are also bearish!

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👉🇪🇺🇻🇦🚀👈EURUSD Rising!

💶EURUSD formed a descending channel pattern, and the price broke the upper trend line. The Tenkan crossed the ascending Kijun at Ichimoku, and the price exited the cloud. At the same time, the AO is indicating the growth of bullish sentiment.

#TradeIdea

🔼 We consider buying #EURUSD only if it consolidates above 1.1340
🎯 Target: 1.1560;

Click 👍 if you agree with the analysis!!!

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👉🇻🇬🇻🇦🚀👈GBPUSD ALERT!

⚡️ Well, the Pound has reached last year's high! The price formed a bullish flag pattern, and the price broke the upper boundary and consolidated above the AMA. Chaikin has risen above 0, confirming the rise!

#TradeIdea

🔼 We consider buying #GBPUSD only when consolidating above 1.3420;
🎯 Target: 1.3670;

❗️Guys, wait for consolidation above resistance as this is a strong level!

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