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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

๐ŸคFBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
๐ŸŒFBS website: https://fbs.com
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โ—๏ธChannel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ˜ Donald Trump is pushing to reopen the Strait of Hormuzโ€”handling ~20% of global oil (~17โ€“20M b/d)โ€”as ongoing attacks threaten supply, keeping energy prices and geopolitical risk elevated.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indiaโ€™s aggressive rupee defense (after FX lows) risks deterring $50B+ annual inflows as opaque RBI moves raise volatility and undermine currency stability.

๐Ÿ‘๏ธ A China AI firm disclosed $92M in restricted Nvidia server exposure as shares plunged โˆ’20%, highlighting tightening US export controls amid billions in alleged chip smuggling.

๐Ÿ“ˆ TSMC posted +35% revenue to NT$1.13T ($35.6B), beating estimates, as AI demand (from Nvidia, Apple) stayed strong despite war.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 10.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Employment Change โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Unemployment Rate โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core CPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CPI y/y โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ†• The US100 has broken through the upper trendline of the descending channel, and the price is poised to break out of the cloud. The Tenkan line is about to cross the Kijun line, which will signal a potential buy opportunity.

๐Ÿ“ˆ We are considering buying the US100 if it rises above 25,100;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 25,900.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US CPI Release ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โญ๏ธ Core CPI m/m
Actual โ€” 0.2%
Expected โ€” 0.3%
Previous โ€” 0.2%

โญ๏ธ CPI m/m
Actual โ€” 0.9%
Expected โ€” 1.0%
Previous โ€” 0.3%

โญ๏ธ CPI y/y
Actual โ€” 3.3%
Expected โ€” 3.4%
Previous โ€” 2.4%
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๐ŸŽ‰ Happy Friday, traders!

๐ŸŽ‰ Hope your week was full of green candles and smart moves. Take a well-deserved break, recharge, and get ready for new opportunities next week!

โ˜•๏ธ How was your trading week? Share in the comments๐Ÿ‘‡

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿช™ Union Bancaire Privรฉe is rebuilding gold exposure (from ~3% after cutting from ~10%) and sees prices potentially hitting $6,000/oz, signaling bullish long-term demand

๐Ÿ˜ Donald Trumpโ€™s Hormuz blockade (targeting flows tied to ~20% of global oil, ~17โ€“20M b/d) sent Brent/WTI sharply higher and equities lower

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Peter Magyar ended Viktor Orbanโ€™s 16-year rule, signaling policy shifts that could redirect billions in EU funding and reshape Hungaryโ€™s economic alignment.

โœˆ๏ธLufthansa faces a 2-day pilot strike (Apr 13โ€“14) hitting passenger and cargo flights, risking thousands of cancellations and multimillion-euro revenue losses.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 13.04.2026

๐ŸŒ IMF Meetings โ€“ Day 1

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธโ†ฉ๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฟ๏ธโ†•๏ธ

๐Ÿ’ด USDJPY is testing the upper trendline of the descending channel after breaking above the upper Bollinger Band. The CCI has already moved out of the overbought zone, confirming the potential for a pullback.

๐Ÿ”ผ A break above 159.800 will open the way to 160.400;
๐Ÿ”ฝ A pullback will push USDJPY down to 159.300 and 158.700.

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡Gold is forming a head-and-shoulders pattern on the M30 chart. The Parabolic SAR indicates a potential downtrend, and there is an imbalance on the downside.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAUUSD if the price falls below 4705 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 4685;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 4675.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Federal Reserve cut T-bill purchases to ~$25B/month (plus ~$15.5B reinvestments), a sharper liquidity pullback that could tighten short-term funding conditions.

๐Ÿ˜ Donald Trumpโ€™s Iran port blockade lifted oil but kept Brent/WTI below ~$100, reflecting risk premiums on ~20% of global supply (~17โ€“20M b/d) without full disruption.

๐Ÿฅ‡ Bitcoin rose to ~$74.9K (4-week high) on peace hopes, while Ether gained ~5% to ~$2.37K, reflecting stronger risk appetite.

๐Ÿ“ฆ BP reported exceptional trading gains as Brent surged >60% YTD amid Hormuz disruptions, boosting profits from energy market volatility.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 14.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core PPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ PPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

Useful insight? Hit โค๏ธ

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๐Ÿˆ The US30 has resumed its upward movement, and the trend is bullish once again, as confirmed by the MACD histogram. The Alligatorโ€™s lips have crossed above its jaws.

๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying the US30 only if it rises above 48,400 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 49,600.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿ™ƒ๐Ÿค—๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿฅˆ Silver has broken through the upper boundary of the descending wedge, and the Momentum indicator has risen above 100.0.

๐Ÿ“ˆ A rise above 78.00 and the nearest fractal will open the way upward for XAGUSD;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 82.00;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 84.00.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ On the hourly chart, Gold broke above the upper trendline of the descending channel, retested it, and bounced back.

๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4790;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4830.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทThe US and Iran seek new talks as Hormuz disruptions threaten ~20% of global oil (~17โ€“20M b/d), sustaining elevated prices and global energy market volatility.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บChristine Lagarde says eurozone growth has slipped below baseline due to higher energy costs, pushing the outlook toward adverse scenarios without yet triggering rate hikes.

โšก๏ธ Pimco bought 100% of a $400M Blue Owl Capital BDC bond deal amid wider spreads, signaling opportunistic buying in stressed private credit markets.

๐Ÿ–ฅ ASML raised 2026 sales guidance to โ‚ฌ36โ€“40B (from โ‚ฌ34โ€“39B) on surging AI-driven chip demand.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 15.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ECB President Lagarde Speaks โ€“ 22:30 GMT+3;

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๐Ÿ’ฐBitcoin tested the 75,000 level, absorbed liquidity, and bounced off the upper trend line after crossing the upper Bollinger Band. The CCI indicates a potential correction, and there is an imbalance at the bottom.

๐Ÿ“‰ A drop below 73,800 will send BTCUSD down to the lower trend line;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 72,500.

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๐Ÿ’ท GBPUSD has reached a key resistance zone and bounced off the trend line after crossing the Bollinger Band. %R is poised to exit the overbought zone.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling GBPUSD on a drop below 1.3550;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 1.3500;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 1.3480 (optional).

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๐Ÿ’ฅ Crypto vs. Forex: which is more intense?

Have you ever wondered how the crypto market differs from the familiar Forex market?

Here are a few facts that put everything into perspective:

๐Ÿ“† 24/7 market
Forget about weekends. Crypto is traded around the clock. A wave can come at 3 a.m. โ€” and you'd better be ready to react.

๐Ÿง  Volatility is off the charts
The BTC rate can jump 5โ€“10% in an hour. Altcoins? They're a roller coaster ride.

๐Ÿง  News = instant effect
Did Elon tweet something? The coin took off. Did the regulator say something bad? Dump. There is no delay โ€” the market reacts instantly.

๐Ÿ‘คWho controls the market?
On Forex, large banks and central banks.
In crypto โ€” whales, funds, memes, and the crowd. Sometimes there are opportunities in this chaos.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Where do you feel more confident โ€” in crypto or currency pairs? And why?
Let's discuss it in the comments
๐Ÿ‘‡

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ The European Central Bank is leaning toward an April rate hold, keeping policy steady as war-driven shocks test inflation and growth across the โ‚ฌ15T+ eurozone economy.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChinaโ€™s economy grew 5% y/y and 1.3% q/q in Q1, beating forecasts and showing resilience driven by exports and manufacturing despite global conflict.

๐Ÿ”ฅThe US and Iran are weighing a 2-week truce extension while the Strait of Hormuzโ€”handling ~20% of global oil (~17โ€“20M b/d)โ€”remains shut, sustaining supply risk and elevated prices.

๐ŸŸง Tesco guides ยฃ3.0โ€“3.3B profit (vs ยฃ3.15B prior), widening outlook due to war-driven cost uncertainty and pressure on consumer spending.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Claims โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ†• The US100 has set a new record high and is nearing the global trend line after breaking above the upper Bollinger Band. %R confirms overbought conditions.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We expect the US100 to pull back from the trend line;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 25,600;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 25,400.

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ So, guys, Gold has formed a wedge on the H4 chart. There is an imbalance at the top, but a divergence has formed on the RSI, so itโ€™s important to consider two scenarios:

๐Ÿ”ฝ A break below the trend line at 4790 will send XAUUSD down to 4700 and then to 4600;
๐Ÿ”ผ A rise above 4850 will open the way to 4975.

๐Ÿ‘ - you're bullish, โค๏ธ - you're bearish!

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