💬 "The first rule is not to lose. The second rule is not to forget the first rule." — Warren Buffett

❓Sounds easy — but is it?

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤

🇺🇸 Donald Trump signals no ceasefire extension while keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed, sustaining risks to ~20% of global oil (~17–20M b/d) and prolonging trade disruption.

🍎 #APPLE names John Ternus CEO, succeeding Tim Cook after a 15-year run that built a ~$4T company, marking a major leadership shift.

📱 #AMAZON is investing $5B (potentially up to $25B total) into Anthropic at a $350B valuation, intensifying the high-stakes AI capital race.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 21.04.2026

🇺🇸 Core Retail Sales m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 Retail Sales m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;

@fbsanalytics

ℹ️🔽3️⃣0️⃣

🈁 US30 has completed its correction and is poised to rise toward an all-time high (ATH), following the US100 and US500’s new record highs. The +DI is above the -DI, confirming the potential for an uptrend toward the Order Block.

👆 We are considering buying the US30 if it rises above 49,600;
🎯 Target: 50,300.

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤

💸 So, Bitcoin has broken through the upper boundary of the descending channel, and the price has already moved out of the cloud; Tenkan is above Kijun. Everything points to the start of a reversal following a sharp decline.

🔼 A rise above 78,000 and the nearest fractal will pave the way for further gains for BTCUSD.
🎯 Target: 84,000.

@fbsanalytics

✂️🅰️ℹ️ℹ️🔽⏺️

🥇 Gold is breaking through the upward trend line and is poised to fall below the nearest fractal. A divergence has formed on the RSI, which only confirms the likelihood of a decline.

🔽 A drop below 4740 will send XAUUSD tumbling;
🎯 Target 1: 4670;
🎯 Target 2: 4600.

❗️The market situation is extremely unpredictable, so use SL!

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤

😁 Donald Trump extended the Iran ceasefire indefinitely while keeping the Strait of Hormuz blockade after peace talks collapsed.

🇬🇧 UK inflation rose to 3.3% y/y (from 3.0%) as war-driven energy costs pushed petrol prices higher.

🇩🇪 Deutsche Telekom is weighing a full merger with T-Mobile, where it already holds ~53%, in what could become the largest-ever public M&A deal.

✈️ Lufthansa will cut 20,000 flights (~1% capacity) to save ~40,000 tons of fuel as jet fuel prices have doubled since the war.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 22.04.2026

🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks – 20:30 GMT+3;

@fbsanalytics

❗️❗️❗️❗️

🌉 On the H1 chart, gold is testing the upper boundary of the downtrend channel. Meanwhile, the Stochastic oscillator has moved out of the overbought zone, suggesting a potential decline.

⤴️ A break above the trend line at 4770 would open the way to 4830;
⤵️ A pullback would push XAUUSD down to 4700 and 4680.

👍 - you're bullish, ❤️ - you're bearish!

@fbsanalytics

😛☺️🤗🍎😜

🛢 Brent broke through the upper boundary of the descending channel, retested it, and broke out of the cloud; the Tenkan line crossed the Kijun line.

🔼 A rise in XBRUSD above the 95.70 level will open the way upward;
🎯 Target: 99.50.

@fbsanalytics

🙈 Do you remember your first time?

💬 First profit on a real account is a memory that will last forever. Share your stories!

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤

🎁 Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell to near zero after Iran seized at least 2 vessels, with only 1 ship moving and others aborting transit.

🏎 Tesla will spend >$25B in 2026 capex (up from ~$20B, ~3× y/y) to scale AI and robotics, signaling aggressive reinvestment into future growth.

⌨️ TSMC will delay use of ASML’s €350M+ high-NA EUV machines until 2029, highlighting cost pressures in advanced chip production.

🍫Nestlé posted +3.5% organic sales growth, with snacks and coffee offsetting a recall impacting 60+ countries.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 23.04.2026

🇪🇺 German Flash Manufacturing PMIs - 10:30 GMT+3;
🇪🇺 German Flash Services PMI - 10:30 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 Flash Manufacturing PMI - 11:30 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 Flash Services PMI - 11:30 GMT+3;

@fbsanalytics

😛😂🤗🍏😜

💷 GBPUSD has formed a descending triangle pattern on the H4 chart and is testing the lower boundary. There is an FVG at the bottom, and the MACD histogram confirms bearish dominance.

🔽 We are considering selling GBPUSD if it falls below 1.3480;
🎯 Target: 1.3390.

@fbsanalytics

✂️🅰️⏩️ℹ️🔽⏺️

🥈 Silver has retested the previously broken upward trend line of the ascending channel. The price has broken out of the cloud, and the Kijun line has crossed below the Tenkan line, falling below the nearest fractal.

🔽 A drop below 74,500 will push XAGUSD even lower;
🎯 Target: 70,000.

@fbsanalytics

💰 BTC correlation with indices

Bitcoin was once considered an alternative to the stock market — “digital gold”, unaffected by global risks. But the most attentive traders and investors see the opposite.

🟠 BTC is increasingly moving in unison with indices, especially the US100 and US500
🟠 During important macroeconomic events (Fed decisions, inflation reports, NonFarm, etc.), the behavior of cryptocurrency almost mirrors the dynamics of the stock market

Why is this important?
✔️ If BTC reacts as a risk asset rather than a defensive one, this changes the logic of entries and exits
✔️ Correlation with indices can help traders predict BTC movements based on stock market dynamics
✔️ But during periods of “crypto shock” (ETFs, halving, major disruptions), BTC can sharply deviate from the overall picture

📌 BTC can be both an indicator of stock market sentiment and a wild beast with its own rules.

🎯 The ability to track Correlation with the US100 or US500 can be a key tool in BTC trading.

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🇪🇺 Euro-area PMI fell to 48.6 (from 50.7; vs 50.1 est.), signaling contraction for the first time since late 2024 as services weaken.

🤔 Donald Trump’s messaging and blockade are stalling weeks-long talks, risking disruption to trade flows across multiple regional ports.

☕️ Starbucks is scouting a new tech hub (US or abroad) after cutting $100M in costs over 90 days to further streamline spending.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 24.04.2026

🇬🇧 Retail Sales m/m – 9:00 GMT+3

@fbsanalytics

👉🥇🇻🇦🛸👈XAUUSD ALERT!

🥇So, gold has formed a bearish flag pattern, and the price has broken below the lower boundary. The Parabolic SAR confirms the downtrend, and the Chaikin Oscillator is below 0.

🔽 If XAUUSD falls below 4660, the decline will continue;
🎯 Target: 4550.

@fbsanalytics

😛🤗😅🍎😜

🇨🇭USDCHF bounced off the uptrend line after breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. The DeMarker is poised to exit the oversold zone, confirming the potential for a correction.

🔼 We are considering buying USDCHF if it rises above 0.7870;
🎯 Target: 0.8000.

@fbsanalytics

☀️ Have a Good Weekend, everybody!☀️

💡Taking a break to reflect, but ready to make smarter moves next week!

@fbsanalytics

🌍 FOREX SESSIONS

🕯 The FX market operates 24 hours a day, 5 days a week. Liquidity, volatility, and market behavior change as different financial centers open and close.

🇦🇺 SYDNEY SESSION (22:00 – 07:00 UTC)

🟢 Liquidity is thin, spreads can widen, and price moves slower — but this session often sets the initial tone for the market.
🔥 Best for: catching weekend gap closes and trading AUD & NZD pairs before Tokyo takes over.

🇯🇵 ASIAN SESSION (23:00 – 08:00 UTC)

🟢Pairs like USDJPY, AUDUSD, NZDUSD take the spotlight. Price moves slower, ranges are tight, and levels hold beautifully. Perfect for range traders & scalpers.
⚠️ Watch out: Asia often retraces late US moves – overnight traders get trapped all the time.

🇬🇧 LONDON SESSION (07:00 – 16:00 UTC)

🟢 Over 35% of all FX volume flows through London. This is where the market wakes up – EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF explode with liquidity.
🟢 Breakouts from the Asian range happen here – but beware of the London fakeout in the first hour.
✅ Smart traders wait for the real move before jumping in.

🇺🇸 NEW YORK SESSION (12:00 – 21:00 UTC)

🔥 Big news – NFP, CPI, Fed speeches – can rip through the charts. Sometimes NY pushes the London trend further, sometimes it kills it instantly.
🟢 After 20:00 UTC, liquidity fades & spreads widen.

📈 THE OVERLAPS — 12:00 – 16:00 UTC (London + New York) – the prime time of Forex. Stop hunts, breakouts, trend launches – this is where the action is.

💡 Pro Tip from FBS Analysts:
🟠 Mark the high & low of the Asian range before London opens.
🟠 When London breaks out – wait for the first false move (the “fakeout”) to trap weak traders.
🟠 Enter in the opposite direction after the trap is cleared – ride the real move into the London/NY overlap.

Hit ❤️ and save this post — so you’ll never trade blind to the sessions again!

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🌍 The Federal Reserve and G7 peers are set to hold rates steady this week across 5 major economies, watching energy-driven inflation risks.

🇩🇪 Friedrich Merz faces a weakening outlook as Germany halves its 2026 growth forecast despite heavy stimulus, with rising energy costs and inflation derailing recovery.

🪙 HSBC is reviewing a $38K-per-child school fee perk in Hong Kong as part of broader cost-cutting and global benefits standardization.

💰Bitcoin nears $80K as ~$2B ETF inflows and ~$3.9B monthly buying by Strategy Inc. fuel demand, supporting a steady recovery.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 27.04.2026

🇬🇧 CBI Realized Sales – 13:00 GMT+3

@fbsanalytics

📊 Wick in Trading. Powerful Signal or a Trap?

In the price action world, wick refers to a sharp price spike — either upward or downward — followed by a quick reversal. It visualizes liquidity grabs and can be a strong signal when analyzing the chart.

🔍 What is a Wick and How to Identify It?
A wick is a long candle shadow with a relatively small body. It shows that price briefly moved beyond a key level — triggering stop orders or collecting liquidity — then reversed sharply.
This could indicate:
- A liquidity grab beyond highs/lows
- A false breakout
- Smart money activity (large institutional players)

🧠 How to Use a Wick as an Entry Point?
There are two classic approaches:
1️⃣ Enter from the start of the wick (the price level where the wick begins)
2️⃣ Enter from the 0.5 level of the wick — the equilibrium price
✅ This level often acts as a reaction zone
✅ Provides a better risk-to-reward setup

📌 Place your stop-loss beyond the wick, as a return beyond it may signal a structure break.

🧩 On lower timeframes, a wick is often a full-bodied engulfing candle, which can be identified as an order block.

A wick on higher timeframes may align with internal structures on lower timeframes, such as accumulation zones or local reversals.

📈 Example
Price approaches a key level (e.g., a previous high), breaks it with a wick, triggers stop-losses of long positions, and then reverses downward. This creates a solid short entry from the 0.5 wick level.

@fbsanalytics