FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!🚀

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💶 Quick analysis of EURUSD on the M30 chart! The price has crossed the upper Bollinger Band, and the CCI has moved out of the overbought zone, making a decline with a break of the Imbalance level possible.

🔽 We are considering selling EURUSD if it falls below 1.1425;
🎯 Target: 1.1410.

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💰 Bitcoin is testing an important support level on the H2 chart, and the MACD histogram suggests a potential drop to the previous low if the price consolidates below the fractal.

📉 If the price falls below 62,500, BTCUSD will plummet;
🎯 Target: 61,700.

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🛢Oil broke through the upper boundary of the descending channel and emerged from the cloud. There is a gap at the top, which acts as a magnet for the price.

👆We are considering buying XBRUSD with growth above 80.00;
🎯Target: 85.80

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⚡️ Traders raised the odds of a 25 bp Fed hike in July to ~50%, up from below 10%, while the 2-year Treasury yield held above 4.25%.

😐 Donald Trump reinstated a US blockade on Iranian shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and proposed a 20% charge on other cargo transiting the waterway, escalating tensions with Iran.

🛢 BP expects a $1B Q2 writedown tied to its gas and low-carbon business as it shifts focus back to oil and gas.

⌨️ Liang Wenfeng’s net worth rose from $16.7B to $36B after DeepSeek’s latest funding round, making him the world’s richest AI founder.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 14.07.2026

🇺🇸 Core CPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 Core CPI y/y - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 CPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 CPI y/y - 15:30 GMT+3;

Useful insight? Hit ❤️

@fbsanalytics
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👉🥇🇻🇦🛸👈XAUUSD ALERT!

🥇 Gold on the H1 chart has formed a bearish flag pattern and is testing the lower boundary. The CCI has moved out of the overbought zone.

🔽 Consider selling XAUUSD on a break below the trend line at 4015;
🎯 Target: 3990.

@fbsanalytics
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🇺🇸 US CPI Release 🇺🇸

⭐️ Core CPI m/m
Actual — 0.0%
Expected — 0.2%
Previous — 0.2%

⭐️ Core CPI m/m
Actual — 2.6%
Expected — 2.8%
Previous — 2.9%

⭐️ CPI m/m
Actual — -0.4%
Expected — -0.1%
Previous — 0.5%

⭐️ CPI y/y
Actual — 3.5%
Expected — 3.8%
Previous — 4.2%
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🇨🇳 China’s Q2 GDP grew 4.3% YoY, below the official 4.5%–5.0% target range and economists’ 4.5% forecast, marking the weakest growth in over 3 years.

💻 ASML raised its 2026 sales outlook to €43B–€45B, up from €36B–€40B, citing strong AI-driven chip demand.

🌟 Donald Trump dropped the proposed 20% fee on cargo through the Strait of Hormuz after pressure from Gulf allies, opting instead for promised investment commitments.

😺 OpenAI is developing its first consumer device: a screen-free, portable AI speaker designed as a ChatGPT-powered home companion for smart-home control, messaging, media, and everyday assistance.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 15.07.2026

🇺🇸 Core PPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 PPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 BOC Monetary Policy Report - 16:45 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 BOC Rate Statement - 16:45 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 Overnight Rate - 16:45 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 Fed Chairman Warsh Testifies - 17:00 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 BOC Press Conference - 17:45 GMT+3;

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🆕 US100 on H2 reached a critical resistance zone, gathering liquidity after crossing the upper Bollinger Band, and then rebounded. The Stochastic oscillator has already exited the overbought zone, and a decline toward the trend line is possible.

🔽 We are considering selling the US100 if it falls below 29750;
🎯 Target 1: 29,580;
🎯 Target 2: 29,480.

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FBS Analytics
😛☺️🤗🍎😜 🛢Oil broke through the upper boundary of the descending channel and emerged from the cloud. There is a gap at the top, which acts as a magnet for the price. 👆We are considering buying XBRUSD with growth above 80.00; 🎯Target: 85.80 @fbsanalytics
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🛢 Oil has reached our previous targets and crossed above the upper Bollinger Band, and may begin to correct, as the Parabolic SAR indicates a potential downtrend with an imbalance overlap at the bottom.

🔽 We are considering selling XBRUSD if it falls below 83.20;
🎯 Target: 80.60.

@fbsanalytics
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🌉 Gold on the H4 chart is testing the upper boundary of the downtrend channel and the 200-period moving average (MA200), creating two possible scenarios.

⤴️ A break above the upper trend line at 4070 will open the way to 4130;
⤵️ A pullback will bring XAUUSD back to 4025 and 3990.

👍 - you're bullish, ❤️ - you're bearish!

@fbsanalytics
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💰 Goldman Sachs (#GS) posted a record quarterly performance, helping fuel Wall Street’s strongest start to a year in 2026.

😒 Anthropic is holding investor meetings ahead of a potential October IPO, as the Claude maker prepares for a major AI-driven public listing.

😎 TSMC will expand its US investment to $265B, adding $100B for 4 new chip plants, bringing its planned US footprint to 10 fabs and 2 packaging facilities.

⌨️ ASML is reportedly considering price hikes for chipmaking tools, facing pushback from key customer TSMC.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.07.2026

🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims – 15:30 GMT+3

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💵 Following the release of inflation data, the USDollar broke through the minor trend line, and -DI crossed below +DI. If the USDollar falls below the nearest fractal and 100.300, we can expect:

😛🤓😜Consider buying EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD;
🤩😎🥳Consider selling USDCHF, USDCAD, and USDJPY.

@fbsanalytics
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💰 Bitcoin on the H4 chart has bounced off the upper trendline of the ascending channel, and the %R indicator suggests that the price may correct the imbalance on the downside and reach the lower boundary.

🔽 A consolidation of BTCUSD below 64,000 could cause the price to plummet;
🎯 Target 1: 63,000;
🎯 Target 2: 62,600

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🇪🇺 Economists expect the European Central Bank to hold rates next week before a final 25 bp hike in September, taking the deposit rate to 2.5%.

💰 JPMorgan: Strategy’s $3B cash reserve and institutional Bitcoin futures inflows are bullish for Bitcoin.

🛢Brent holds near $85 for a fourth day, supported by expectations of a potential Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure.

📊 Citi recommends shorting CMA CGM bonds, expecting shipping rates to fall as capacity increases later this year.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.07.2026

🇺🇸 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment - 17:00 GMT+3;

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🆕 US100 bounced off the lower boundary of the downtrend channel after crossing below the lower Bollinger Band, and a minor correction can be expected. %R confirms strong oversold conditions.

👆 We are considering buying the US100 if it rises above 28,600;
🎯 Target 1: 28,800;
🎯 Target 2: 29,000.

@fbsanalytics
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📉 Recession

💵 A recession is a broad and sustained decline in economic activity. It shows up in GDP, jobs, industrial output, consumer spending, and investment.

📝 Historically, the US has experienced 12 recessions since WWII. On average, they last about 10–11 months. The longest was the 2007–2009 Great Recession (18 months), while the shortest was the COVID collapse in 2020 (2 months, but record-breaking in depth).

⚡️ Key features to watch:

🟠GDP contracts across several quarters.
🟠Unemployment rises, usually with a lag.
🟠Consumer spending, which makes up ~70% of US GDP, declines.
🟠Credit markets tighten, business investment falls.

🕯 For traders, a recession reshapes the entire market. Cyclical stocks stumble while defensives hold up better. Safe havens like USD, gold, and Treasuries attract flows, while oil and industrial metals usually suffer. Volatility rises across every asset class.

💡 The nuance! Markets anticipate recessions. They often fall before the economy is officially declared in recession and recover before the data improves. That’s why monitoring early signals like the yield curve, PMI, or credit spreads is essential.

Tap🔥🔥🔥 if this was useful — and save it to revisit when the next recession signal flashes.

@fbsanalytics
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☄️ The US launched a ninth straight night of strikes on Iran after American troops were killed, escalating the conflict while targeting Tehran’s military and Hormuz capabilities.

🤖 TSMC said its $265B US investment is driven by strong AI demand and competition, with the company still struggling to meet customer orders.

🚀 SpaceX plans the next Starship test flight for July 23, with elevated volatility expected as short interest has reportedly risen to about one-third of the free float.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.07.2026

🇨🇦 CPI m/m – 15:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 Median CPI y/y – 15:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 Trimmed CPI y/y – 15:30 GMT+3

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🔥Bitcoin is testing the lower boundary of a symmetrical triangle after crossing the lower Bollinger band. Nevertheless, %R has already moved out of the oversold zone.

⤵️A breakdown of the lower trend line below 63800 will drop BTCUSD to 62800;
⤴️a rebound will bring the price back to 64800.
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🇦🇺 AUDUSD is testing the downtrend line, and the lips have crossed the jaw on the Alligator.

🔼 If the trend line is broken above the nearest fractal and 0.7020, consider buying AUDUSD;
🎯 Target 1: 0.7075;
🎯 Target 2: 0.7130.

@fbsanalytics
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