FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!πŸš€

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🌐FBS website: https://fbs.com
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❗️Channel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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πŸ’£ Default

πŸ“‰A sovereign default happens when a government can’t meet its debt obligations anymore. In simple terms: the state β€œgoes bankrupt.”
But unlike a company, a country can’t just disappear β€” the fallout spreads through global markets.

πŸ“œ History remembers:

🟠In 2001, Argentina defaulted on over $100B, the largest sovereign default at that time. Riots broke out, the peso devalued massively, and the economy plunged into crisis.
🟠In 2012, Greece restructured €200B of bonds β€” the biggest debt restructuring in history. It triggered years of austerity and sent shockwaves through the eurozone.

πŸ•― Impact on markets:
When a country defaults, its currency usually collapses, bonds lose most of their value, and inflation often explodes.

✨ Investors rush into safe havens β€” gold (XAUUSD), the US dollar (DXY), or even Treasuries. At the same time, global risk assets (stocks, EM currencies, commodities) suffer from panic and contagion.

πŸ’΅ Default is not just local news. It triggers capital flight, re-pricing of risk worldwide, and sometimes global liquidity shocks. For traders, this means opportunities: shorting overvalued assets, buying safe havens early, or playing the recovery once restructuring begins.

Hit ❀️ and save this post to remember it.

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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

πŸ’» Nvidia secured a $500B AI infrastructure financing commitment from major firms including Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs, and KKR to fund AI projects.

πŸ’» Intel is reportedly increasing its share sale to $20B, with pricing around $95 per share, a 6.5% discount to the previous close.

πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊThe RBA kept its cash rate at 4.35% for a second straight meeting, citing persistent inflation despite a weakening labor and housing market.

πŸ˜’ Anthropic reportedly signed a $9.1B, 20-year cloud infrastructure deal with Riot Platforms, securing 191 MW of AI data center capacity.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 11.08.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Existing Home Sales – 17:00 GMT+3

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πŸ’° Bitcoin is falling rapidly and is now testing a key support level after dropping below the 200-day moving average (MA200). If it breaks out of the cloud, a further decline can be expected.

πŸ”½ If BTCUSD consolidates below 63,800, the downtrend may continue;
🎯 Target 1: 63,300;
🎯 Target 2: 62,800.

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πŸ“ˆ CADJPY bounced off the downtrend line and rose above the 200-day moving average, so the price may break through the resistance level above.

πŸ”Ό A rise in CADJPY above 114.400 will open the way higher;
🎯 Target: 115.700.

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πŸ‘‰πŸ₯‡πŸ‡»πŸ‡¦πŸš€πŸ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

πŸ₯‡ Gold has bounced off the lower trendline of the upward channel, and the Stochastic has moved out of the oversold zone, making it possible to close the imbalance.

πŸ“ˆ We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4383;
🎯 Target: 4403.

Click❀️ if you are bullish

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⛽️ After a sharp rally, natural gas began to pull back after breaking above the upper Bollinger Band. There is a gap below that is acting as a magnet for the price.

πŸ“‰ If the price falls below 2.780, consider selling XNGUSD;
🎯 Target: 2.700.

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πŸ‘Ά New Trader vs. πŸ₯· Pro Trader

πŸ“ˆ Trading Approach:
New Trader: Uses various strategies for quick wins.
Pro Trader: Adheres to a proven strategy, adaptable to market conditions.

🧠 Mindset:
New Trader: Easily shaken by volatility, prone to changing decisions.
Pro Trader: Thrives on volatility, remains calm, and trusts analysis.

πŸ’Ό Risk Management:
New Trader: Often risks excessively, leading to significant losses.
Pro Trader: Masters in risk management, prioritizing capital preservation.

πŸ“† Time Horizon:
New Trader: Seeks quick profits, overlooks long-term gains.
Pro Trader: Values consistent gains maintain a long-term perspective.

🌐 Community and Sharing:
New Trader: May hesitate to collaborate or share knowledge.
Pro Trader: Actively engages with the trading community, sharing insights and learning from peers.

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πŸ’» Nvidia eased credit market concerns by limiting its own capital commitment while securing over $500B in financing from major Wall Street firms for AI infrastructure.

πŸ’΄A policy split between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japan’s Sanae Takaichi over BOJ rate hikes threatens to undermine their joint efforts to support the yen.

πŸ‡³πŸ‡΄Norway’s $2.3T sovereign wealth fund returned 9.4% in H1, outperforming its benchmark by 22 bps, driven by gains in US technology stocks.

🌬 Vestas raised its 2026 profit margin guidance to 7–9% (from 6–8%) and announced a share buyback after strong growth in turbine orders.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 12.08.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core CPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core CPI y/y - 15:30 GMT+3;
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ CPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ CPI y/y - 15:30 GMT+3;

Useful insight? Hit ❀️

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πŸ“‰ NZDUSD is trading sideways, testing the lower boundary, and the MACD histogram indicates the start of bearish dominance. There is an imbalance at the global trend line below.

‡️ If NZDUSD falls below 0.5860, consider selling;
🎯 Target: 0.5825.

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πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ USDCHF on the H2 chart is poised to test resistance for the third time, and the price has crossed above the upper Bollinger Band, although there is an FVG at the top.

πŸ“ˆ Consolidation above 0.8130 will open the way to 0.8160;
πŸ“‰ A pullback will bring USDCHF back to 0.8100 and then to 0.8090.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US CPI Release πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ

⭐️ Core CPI m/m
Actual β€” 0.2%
Expected β€” 0.2%
Previous β€” 0.0%

⭐️ Core CPI m/m
Actual β€” 2.5%
Expected β€” 2.5%
Previous β€” 2.6%

⭐️ CPI m/m
Actual β€” 0.1%
Expected β€” 0.1%
Previous β€” -0.4%

⭐️ CPI y/y
Actual β€” 3.4%
Expected β€” 3.4%
Previous β€” 3.5%
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πŸ’Έ On the EURUSD daily chart, following the release of the US CPI, the pair is actively testing the upper boundary of the descending wedge, although the CCI has moved out of the overbought zone.

↗️ A break above the trend line at 1.1570 will open the way to 1.1800;
πŸ“‰ A pullback will send the EURUSD down to the 1.1360 support level.

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πŸ˜’ Anthropic is reportedly in talks to acquire AI startup Decart for about $6B, gaining technology that could reduce AI training costs and improve chip efficiency.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈThe Trump administration is shifting back toward sanctions and a naval blockade of Iranian oil exports after its military campaign failed to force Tehran to capitulate.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan’s government reportedly supports a faster BOJ rate hike, with the next increase likely in September or October.

πŸ’» Lenovo shares surged 22% after quarterly revenue jumped 43%, beating estimates; the stock is now up 280%+ YTD.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 15.08.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core PPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ PPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;

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πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί AUDUSD has broken through the lower boundary of the ascending wedge and is testing the 50-day moving average (MA50); the Parabolic SAR confirms the start of a downtrend.

πŸ”½ Consider selling AUDUSD if it falls below 0.7045;
🎯 Target 1: 0.7025;
🎯 Target 2: 0.7015.

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πŸ†• US100 has formed an ascending triangle pattern. The 50-day moving average (MA50) has crossed above the 200-day moving average (MA200), forming a golden cross.

πŸ“ˆ We are considering buying US100 if it rises above 29900;
🎯Target 1: 30300;
🎯Target 2: 30700 (ATH)

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πŸ”₯TRADING STOCKS

πŸ›’ #AMAZON opened with a gap on the daily chart, and after liquidity dries up and the price crosses the upper Bollinger Band, it may pull back, as the CCI has moved out of the overbought zone.

🀩😎πŸ₯³Consider selling #AMAZON if it falls below 265.00;
🎯 Target: 245.00

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⚑️European Indices

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊEU50 is hitting new highs on the weekly chart, and the price has consolidated above the 161.8 Fibonacci level, with the bulls remaining in control, which makes the next targetβ€”the 261.8 Fibonacci levelβ€”a possibility.

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ ES35 has also consolidated above the 161.8 Fibonacci level, so we see the potential for a rise to the 261.8 Fibonacci level.

πŸ‘†Consider buying the EU50 if it rises above 6600;
🎯Target: 7300;

πŸ‘† We are also considering buying ES35 if it rises above 20400;
🎯Target: 22300.

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