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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ’ฌ Goldman Sachs: a September Fed hike is โ€œvery unlikelyโ€ after July retail sales fell 0.6%, the economy lost 23K jobs, and CPI slowed to 3.4% YoY.

๐ŸŽฎ Nvidia disclosed stakes worth $21B in SpaceX and $30B in Intel, holding 122.8M and 214.8M shares, respectively.

โš™๏ธ CXMT overtook Tencent as Chinaโ€™s most valuable company with a $500B+ market cap, while Unitreeโ€™s IPO attracted retail demand exceeding supply by 5,500ร—.

๐Ÿ› Alibaba is selling Lingxi Games for at least $1.5B to Trustar Capital, sharpening its strategic focus on AI.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Median CPI y/y โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Trimmed CPI y/y โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ˜›โ˜บ๏ธ๐Ÿค—๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ’ถ EURUSD has broken through the downtrend line, and the price has moved out of the cloud. This marks a Break of Structure, so further upside is possible.

๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying EURUSD if it rises above 1.1610;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.1800.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ท GBPUSD has broken through the upper boundary of the descending wedge, triggering a BOS, which signals the start of a potential reversal.

โคด๏ธ If the pair consolidates above 1.3580, consider buying GBPUSD;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 1.3630;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 1.3750.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ตThe USDollar has finally broken through the uptrend line and is now actively testing the 200-day moving average. A drop below the nearest fractal could trigger a significant decline.
๐ŸŸขFurthermore, with the release of U.S. economic data, traders do not expect a rate hike, which only increases the likelihood of a decline.

๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค“๐Ÿ˜œConsider buying EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD;
๐Ÿคฉ๐Ÿ˜Ž๐ŸฅณConsider selling USDCHF, USDCAD, and USDJPY.

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๐Ÿ—ฃ "Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." - John Maynard Keynes.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ’ฐ Global long-term bond yields are surging: US 30Y yields hit the highest since 2007, France since 2008, Germany since 2011, while UK yields approach 6%.

๐Ÿ’ต Jane Street suffered a massive $15B loss in July, exposing the scale of the firmโ€™s hedge-fund-like risk taking.

๐Ÿš— Stellantis is recalling nearly 1M vehicles, including 850K in the US, over a software issue affecting backup cameras.

๐Ÿ˜’ Anthropicโ€™s annualized revenue hit $65B by end-July, up more than 7ร— from end-2025, ahead of its planned IPO.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 18.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Pending Home Sales m/m โ€“ 17:00 GMT+3

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ1๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿ†• On the H4 chart, the US100 has broken below the lower boundary of the uptrend channel and is testing the 50-period moving average (MA50). The -DI has crossed below the +DI on the ADX, suggesting a potential decline.

๐Ÿ”ฝ Consider selling the US100 only if it consolidates below 29,700;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 29,200.

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold on the H2 chart has lost momentum and rebounded again; the MACD confirms the possibility of a decline toward the uptrend line.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAUUSD only if it falls below 4390;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4360.

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๐Ÿ”ฅTRADING STOCKS

๐Ÿ“‰ #MICROSOFT rebounded from the trend line after a sharp rally and may begin to correct, given the two large gaps on the downside. The RSI has also moved out of the overbought zone, which could trigger a 12% correction.

โคต๏ธ Consider selling #MICROSOFT if it falls below 475.00;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 415.00.

Click โค๏ธ if you like unique ideas from FBS

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ 47% of fund managers expect European stocks to outperform US equities over the next year โ€” the highest share since before the Iran war.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งUK inflation accelerated to 2.9% in July from 2.6%, a four-month high, slightly above the BOEโ€™s 2.8% forecast.

๐Ÿค– China has invested $14.8B+ in humanoid robots in 2026, targeting a global market that Morgan Stanley estimates could reach $5T by 2050.

๐Ÿ‘‚ Trump said there are no ongoing talks with Iran, while the 60-day US-Iran truce framework has expired with no plans for an extension.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 19.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FOMC Meeting Minutes โ€“ 21:00 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโบ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUDUSD is testing the uptrend line, while the MACD histogram indicates bearish dominance and the possibility of a breakout.

๐Ÿ”ฝ A break below the trend line at 0.7070 will push AUDUSD down to 0.7045 and then to 0.7025;
๐Ÿ”ผ A rebound will push the price back to 0.7110 and then to 0.7125.

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๐Ÿ›ข XBRUSD has formed an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart, and the price is actively testing the neckline. The Tenkan line is poised to cross the Kijun line, and if the price breaks out of the cloud, an uptrend toward the psychological level may begin.

๐Ÿ“ˆ We are considering buying XBRUSD if the price rises above 91.00;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 95.00;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 100.00.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ ๐Ÿ”ผโฌ†๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโญ๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold is surging following the announcement that the U.S. Treasury is increasing the volume of buyback operations for government bonds with a nominal coupon yield and longer maturity.

๐ŸŸขA Break of Structure has occurred, the Parabolic SAR indicates the start of an uptrend, and +DI has crossed above -DI.

โ†—๏ธ We are considering buying XAUUSD ONLY if it rises above 4460;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4530 (161.8 Fibonacci)

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๐Ÿ”ฎ Tarot Spread for Gold โ€” August 19

๐Ÿฆ Overall Energy โ€” Strength
Gold is showing resilience after the recent pullback. Bulls are still in the game, but momentum needs confirmation.

๐ŸŒ™ Hidden Influences โ€” The Moon
Fed expectations, Treasury yields, the US dollar and geopolitical risks could create sudden shifts in sentiment.

โšก๏ธ Obstacle โ€” The Tower
Volatility remains the main threat. Sharp moves and false breakouts are possible as the market reacts to fresh macro signals.

โญ๏ธ Support โ€” The Star
A softer dollar and renewed safe-haven demand could give gold another opportunity to recover toward recent highs.

โš–๏ธ Advice โ€” Two of Pentacles
Stay flexible. This is not the moment to become emotionally attached to one direction โ€” manage risk and react to confirmation.

๐Ÿ“† Weekly Outlook

๐ŸŸขIf buyers keep the price above $4,300, gold could retest $4,390. A sustained breakout above this level may open the way toward $4,505.
๐ŸŸ However, if gold breaks below $4,300, bearish pressure could increase, with $4,200โ€“$4,150 becoming the next downside area to watch.

With the FOMC minutes due later today, volatility could rise sharply โ€” so confirmation at the key levels will be especially important.

Hit โค๏ธ if you use Tarot in your market analysis!

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japanโ€™s exports grew at the fastest pace since 2022, driven by strong chip and auto demand and a 40-year low in the yen.

๐Ÿ”† OpenAI reportedly plans an IPO in 2027, while rival Anthropic could go public in September 2026 at a $2T valuation, potentially the largest IPO ever.

๐Ÿ“น Apple remains on track to launch camera-equipped AI AirPods in 2027, marking a major push into AI wearables.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bitcoin whales bought ~43K BTC worth $2.75B in 60 days, returning to accumulation as prices approached $60K.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Claims โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ*๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ USDCAD is falling rapidly and is currently testing the Fibonacci golden pocket; a break below this level could send the price down to the global trend line.

๐Ÿ“‰ Consider selling USDCAD only if the price consolidates below 1.3790;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.3700.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ธ On the daily chart, Bitcoin has broken through the upper boundary of the descending wedge and has consolidated above the 200-day moving average. Bullish sentiment is growing, which may indicate the start of a reversal.

๐Ÿ”ผ If it consolidates above 73000, BTCUSD may continue to rise toward the high;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 82000.

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FBS Analytics
โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ ๐Ÿ”ผโฌ†๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโญ๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold is surging following the announcement that the U.S. Treasury is increasing the volume of buyback operations for government bonds with a nominal coupon yield and longer maturity. ๐ŸŸขA Break of Structure has occurred, the Parabolicโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold fell just short of yesterdayโ€™s target and has already begun to pull back, which could resolve the imbalance on the downside. The upper Bollinger Band has been broken, and the RSI has moved out of the overbought zone.

๐Ÿ“‰ If XAUUSD falls below 4473, consider selling;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4445.

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โ“ How to Spot an Emerging Trend?

Most traders join the move too late โ€” they jump in at the top or end up taking a loss. To avoid this, itโ€™s crucial to learn how to catch the early signals of a new trend.

๐Ÿ‘‡ Hereโ€™s what to watch for on the chart ๐Ÿ‘‡

1๏ธโƒฃ Higher lows start forming
The price stops making new lows โ€” this means selling pressure is decreasing.

2๏ธโƒฃ Increasing volume on price growth
The market supports the move with money. Without volume, no real growth can happen.

3๏ธโƒฃ The price breaks a key level
This is where those waiting for confirmation step in โ€” and thatโ€™s usually when the trend starts accelerating.

โšก๏ธ Every trend forms by its own rules and always leaves signals on the chart.
A traderโ€™s job is to recognize them systematically and use them to their advantage.

๐Ÿ’ฌ What do you think is the main sign of a new trend?
โค๏ธ โ€” higher lows, ๐Ÿ‘ โ€” breakout, ๐Ÿ”ฅ โ€” rising volume
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