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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!🚀

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⌛️ Four market phases that you can use in the Smart Money concept!

🔋 First up is the accumulation phase.

During this phase, prices are low, and smart money investors are starting to accumulate the asset. This is the phase where the market is building a base before an uptrend, the absolutely best time to Buy.

📈 Uptrend.

The uptrend phase is the second phase, where prices rise. This is when the market is making higher highs and higher lows, and more and more investors start to jump in.

🤑 Distribution.

The third phase is the distribution phase. During this phase, prices are high, and smart money investors start to sell their holdings. Be ready to Sell here!

📉 Downtrend.

The final phase is the downtrend phase, where prices fall. This is when the market makes lower lows and lower highs, and investors panic and sell.

🖼️ Remember, the market builds a base before a trend in the accumulation and distribution phases. In the uptrend and downtrend phases, the market is making higher highs or lower lows, respectively.

💬 Do you, guys, use ICT concepts in your trading?

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🌉 Gold fell below $4,400/oz as strong US jobs data and Middle East tensions boosted Fed rate-hike bets.

🇹🇷Turkey cut its 2027 GDP growth forecast to 4.2% from 4.3% and slashed its 2026 outlook to 3.3% from 3.8%.

🛢Goldman says oil could surge to $120/bbl if Middle East shipping attacks intensify, with natural gas and diesel also likely to benefit.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 07.09.2026

🇺🇸 Bank Holiday- All day;

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👉🥇🇻🇦🛸👈XAUUSD ALERT!

🥇 Gold has rebounded and may fall further, which would confirm the AO and close the imbalance on the downside.

🔽 We are considering selling XAUUSD if it falls below 4400;
🎯 Target: 4345.

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5️⃣ The US500 on the H2 chart has broken through the uptrend line and looks like it could drop at any moment. Momentum is below 100.0.

🔽 Consider selling the US500 if it falls below 7710;
🎯 Target 1: 7670;
🎯 Target 2: 7650.

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🛢 Brent is once again testing strong resistance, forming a pattern resembling a cup with a handle. The price has broken out of the cloud, Tenkan is above Kijun, and a break above the nearest fractal will open the way upward.

📈 We are considering buying XBRUSD if the price rises above 96.00;
🎯 Target: 107.00.

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The asset failed to break and hold above the 67.15 resistance level, and the price has once again shown strong downward momentum toward the 65.48 support level. The local trend remains bearish.

🔽 If the price breaks and holds below 65.48, the decline is likely to continue.
🎯 Target: 63.69

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❓ How we choose entry points in a trade

After a recent poll, we decided to clarify something - how we actually choose entry points in a trade. A correct entry often determines the outcome of the entire position, so it’s important to know where to look for signals.

1️⃣ Breakout entry
The price breaks a key support or resistance level. Confirmation comes from a solid candle close beyond the level and rising volume. This lets you catch the move from the very start. But be careful with false breakouts, when the price seems to break through but then quickly returns. Always wait for volume confirmation or a clear hold above/below the level.

2️⃣ Retest entry
After a breakout, the price often returns to the broken level, which now acts as support or resistance. Confirmation comes from a bounce off the level with a strong candlestick reaction. This type of entry is safer and gives more confidence in the move.

3️⃣ Consolidation trading
The price moves in a narrow range. Entry points are at the boundaries of the channel or range. Confirmation comes from a repeated bounce off the boundary and reduced volatility.

4️⃣ Trend-Following entry
Enter in the direction of the main trend after impulse confirmation. Confirmation comes from movement above/below a moving average or breaking a local high/low in the trend direction.

💬 Which entry style do you prefer?

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🇺🇸 Markets now price in more than a 60% chance of a Fed rate hike next week, according to CME FedWatch

🛢 Oil prices continue to rise as the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked and Yemen’s Houthis target Saudi energy infrastructure

🇨🇳 China continues to cut its holdings of US government bonds, with its Treasury holdings falling to the lowest level in 25 years, according to LSEG

#MarketNews

🇬🇧GBP - Monetary Policy Report Hearings - 16:15.

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💶 EURUSD has formed a double top bearish pattern, and the price is going down fast; a Break of Structure has already occurred.

🔽 We are considering selling EURUSD if it falls below 1.16055
🎯 Target: 1.15828

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The asset is playing with the trendline near 4390, and the price has once again shown strong downward momentum if you look at the area above. The local trend remains bearish.

🔽 If the price breaks and holds below the level of 4388, the downtrend might continue
🎯 Target: 4365 and lower to the lower area

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🇨🇭 USDCHF has broken through the upper resistance line (0.81070), and the price is testing the imbalance zone. If the price rises above the nearest fractal, the uptrend may continue.

📈 We are considering buying USDCHF only if the price rises and holds above the resistance of 0.81100
🎯 Target: 0.81264

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✋ TRAILING STOP

➕ If you're in profit but don’t want to lose it, use a Trailing Stop-loss.

What is it?

🔓 A trailing stop is a dynamic stop-loss that automatically follows the price in a profitable direction. If the market turns, it locks in your gains.

How it works (example):

1️⃣ You buy at $100
2️⃣ You set a trailing stop of $10
3️⃣ Price rises to $115 → stop moves up to $105
4️⃣ Price falls to $105 → trade closes
5️⃣ Result: you lock in $5 profit — no manual action needed

Pros:

➕ Secures and multiplies your profits
➕ Removes emotions
➕ Great for trending markets

Cons:

➖ Can trigger too early in volatile conditions
➖ Less effective in sideways markets

Tips:

• Don’t set it too tight, give the trade some room
• Best used during the news, breakouts, or in strong trends
• Combine with trend or volatility indicators for better results

A trailing stop is like a smart bodyguard. It lets you ride the trend and pulls you out before it turns ugly.

🖥 Save this guide and send it to friends to secure your profits! ❤️
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🛢 Brent approaches $100/bbl as Middle East tensions drive oil prices higher. Prices are up almost 10% this month following US-Iran strikes and Houthi attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure. A move toward $100–120 could follow if the conflict escalates further.

💵 The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains near a 14-year support level, with a breakout potentially setting the next major market direction. Dollar strength is historically bearish for risk assets such as stocks and crypto, while a weaker dollar tends to support them.

📉 Only 42% of S&P 500 stocks trade above their 50-day MA, the lowest level in five months. BofA expects weakness into mid-September, followed by a historically strong Q4, while experts see potential for a pre-election rally in US stocks and crypto.

#MarketNews

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The asset is moving higher and has broken above the descending trendline. Price has formed a Change of Character (CHoCH), with each new high and low forming above the previous one. This indicates strong buying pressure. The price is currently testing the 1.1649 resistance level.

🔼 If the price breaks and holds above 1.1649, the upside move could continue;
🎯 TP1: 1.1673;
🎯 TP2: 1.1705.

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The asset is currently trading within a local sideways range. The price is now testing the lower boundary of the range at the 29,474 support level. Against the backdrop of rising oil prices and weakness in the US stock market, the index could continue to decline.

🔽 If the 29,474 support level is broken, the price could continue moving lower;
🎯 Target: 29,195.

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Globally, the price has formed a Bearish Flag pattern. The asset also tested the MA-100, failed to break above it, and then showed a rejection.

The price is currently testing the 1.3542 support level, which coincides with the lower boundary of the flag.

🔽 If the price breaks and holds below 1.3542, and the flag breaks to the downside, the decline could continue;
🎯 Target: 1.3509.

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The asset is trading within a sideways range. The price is moving between the 65.47 support level and the 67.15 resistance level. A breakout of either level could trigger further movement in the corresponding direction.

🔼 If the 67.15 resistance level is broken, the price could continue higher toward 70.70.
🔽 However, if the price breaks and holds below the 65.48 support level, a decline toward 63.69 is likely to begin.

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💡The Psychology of Trading: Why It Matters 💡

Trading isn't just a game of numbers — it's a test of nerves. Managing fear, greed, and stress is crucial for making rational decisions.

Tips:
1️⃣ Recognize Fear: Don't let it paralyze your decisions or force you to hold onto losing trades.
2️⃣ Manage Greed: Set realistic profit goals and avoid overtrading.
3️⃣ Avoid FOMO: Stick to your trading plan and avoid jumping into impulsive trades.

Note:
📝Building emotional discipline takes time, but staying aware of your emotions and their impact on your trades is crucial for long-term success.

#Education

⭐️ Want to level up your trading? Join FBS, get more insights and start your journey 👇

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🏦 Analysts Reutersexpect the Fed to keep rates unchanged on September 16. However, markets still price around a 60% chance of a hike, keeping the decision highly uncertain.

🛢 Goldman warns oil could reach $120/bbl if Middle East attacks continue to escalate. Brent is already trading above $100 as disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz raise supply concerns.

🇺🇸 US Treasury yields keep rising despite the Treasury’s $6B bond buyback plan. The 10 year yield reached 4.85%, its highest level since November 2023, as the bond selloff continues.

🍏 Apple shares fell 1.5% despite the launch of the first foldable iPhone Duo and new iPhone 18 Pro models. The muted market reaction suggests investors may have already priced in the new products.

🇯🇵 Short positions in the yen remain near record levels, keeping USDJPY in focus. At the same time, the yen has strengthened sharply in September as expectations for faster BOJ tightening grow.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 10.09.2026

🇪🇺 Main Refinancing Rate - 15:15 GMT+3;
🇪🇺 Monetary Policy Statement - 15:15 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 Core PPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 PPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇪🇺 ECB Press Conference - 15:45 GMT+3;

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Gold has formed a Bullish Flag pattern and has already broken above its upper boundary, indicating that buyers remain in control.

The price is currently testing the 4425 resistance level.

#TradeIdea

🔼 If the price breaks and holds above 4425, the upward move could continue;
🎯 Target: 4495.

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