FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

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๐Ÿ˜›โ˜บ๏ธ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜œ

The asset remains in a downtrend. The price tested the 1.1314 support level and is showing signs of a rebound. Bullish engulfing patterns are forming on the chart, while the Parabolic SAR indicator is giving a bullish signal. The price is currently testing the key 1.1350 resistance level.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ If the price breaks and holds above 1.1350, a corrective move higher could begin;
๐ŸŽฏ TP1: 1.1372;
๐ŸŽฏ TP2: 1.1390.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜‡๐Ÿ˜œ

Globally, the asset is in an uptrend. The price has already attempted to break above the 1.4200 resistance level three times, but each attempt has been unsuccessful. Locally, the price is moving within a sideways range and testing its lower boundary, which coincides with the 1.4175 support level.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ฝ If the price holds below 1.4175, a local market structure break will occur, after which a corrective decline could be expected;
๐ŸŽฏ TP1: 1.4159;
๐ŸŽฏ TP2: 1.4133.

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๐Ÿช™ ๐Ÿ…ฑ๏ธ#๏ธโƒฃ*๏ธโƒฃโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

The asset continues to decline. Each new high and low is forming below the previous one, indicating continued selling pressure. However, the price is holding the 82940 support level and has so far managed to stay above it.

The price is currently testing the descending trendline.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ If the price manages to break above the trendline and the 84300 resistance level, and then holds above this level, an upside move toward 87145 could begin.

๐Ÿ”ฝ However, if the price fails to break above the trendline and holds below the 82940 support level, the decline could continue toward 81820.

โค๏ธ - you're bullish, ๐Ÿ‘ - you're bearish!

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๐Ÿ’ Parabolic SAR

The Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) is a widely used trend-following indicator that helps traders identify potential entry and exit points. Developed by J. Welles Wilder, this tool places dots above or below price action to indicate the current market trend:

๐Ÿ“ˆ Dots below price โ†’ Uptrend, signaling potential long opportunities
๐Ÿ“‰ Dots above price โ†’ Downtrend, suggesting possible short positions

๐Ÿค” How to Use the Parabolic SAR Effectively?
โœ”๏ธ Trend identification โ€“ Follow the dots to determine the market direction.
โœ”๏ธ Reversal signals โ€“ A shift in dot placement suggests a potential trend change.
โœ”๏ธ Stop-loss placement โ€“ Traders use the dots as trailing stop levels to protect profits.

โšก๏ธ Best Parabolic SAR Combos for Stronger Signals!

1๏ธโƒฃ Parabolic SAR + Moving Average โ†’ Confirms trend direction! If SAR signals an uptrend above the 200 EMA, itโ€™s a strong buy!
2๏ธโƒฃ Parabolic SAR + RSI โ†’ Filters false reversals! SAR flip + RSI exiting overbought/oversold zones = high-probability trade!
3๏ธโƒฃ Parabolic SAR + MACD โ†’ Confirms momentum! The trend is strong if SAR signals an uptrend and MACD crosses bullish!

#Education

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Swiss inflation slowed in September. CPI was unchanged m/m, while annual inflation rose to 1% from 0.8% previously.

๐Ÿ“ˆ US100 futures are approaching record highs during the Asian session, maintaining strong momentum in US tech stocks.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Goldman now expects a Fed rate hike in December rather than October. Bets on an October hike fell sharply after the release of the August US PCE inflation report.

๐Ÿ›ข US oil production hit a new record high, according to the US Energy Department. High production levels are keeping global supply elevated.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 01.10.2026

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง GBP โ€” BOE Gov Bailey Speaks โ€” 11:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD โ€” Unemployment Claims โ€” 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EUR โ€” ECB President Lagarde Speaks โ€” 16:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD โ€” FOMC Member Waller Speaks โ€” 17:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD โ€” ISM Manufacturing PMI โ€” 17:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ CHF โ€” SNB Chairman Schlegel Speaks โ€” 18:30 GMT+3
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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜œ

The price attempted to move higher but failed to hold above the 1.3288 resistance level. It is now showing another impulsive decline toward the 1.3206 support level.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ฝ If the price manages to hold below 1.3206, the downside move could continue;
๐ŸŽฏ TP1: 1.3176;
๐ŸŽฏ TP2: 1.3150.

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

The market is currently in a state of uncertainty, with participants focused on tomorrowโ€™s NFP release. Gold has formed a symmetrical triangle, and a breakout through either boundary could determine the assetโ€™s next direction.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ If the price breaks above 4185 and the upper boundary of the triangle, further upside could be expected;
๐Ÿ”ฝ However, if the price breaks below the lower boundary of the pattern and the 4145 support level, a further decline could follow.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿ˜€๐Ÿ™Œ

Globally, the asset remains in an uptrend, while locally, the price is consolidating within a small sideways range. At the same time, the index is trading near record levels and is currently testing the key 30785 resistance level.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ If the price manages to break and hold above 30785, the upside move could continue with a new all-time high;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 31185.

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๐ŸŽฏ 161.8% Fibonacci Should Be Your Target!

๐Ÿ”„ Market recovery ahead? The Fibonacci 161.8% level can be a key target for traders looking to take advantage of the recovery phase.

๐Ÿ“Š What makes 161.8% important?
This level is critical during market retracements, often acting as a strong resistance or support zone. When the market recovers after a dip, prices often gravitate toward this level before deciding whether to continue or reverse the trend.

๐Ÿ’ก Why focus on 161.8%?
๐ŸŸขPrecision: The 161.8% level is a key Fibonacci point where trends will likely face resistance.
๐ŸŸขRisk Management: It helps set clearer exit points, minimizing risk and maximizing gains.
๐ŸŸขStrategic Target: The 161.8% level is crucial in both market recoveries and trend reversals, offering traders a clear target for potential price action.

โ“ How can you use it?
In trend reversals, draw the Fibonacci levels from the recent high to the low. Once the price breaks the 100.0% Fibonacci level, you can enter a trade with a take profit target at 161.8%, as this level often marks a strong extension point.

#education

๐Ÿ’ฟ Save this advice and share with friends to master Fibonacci levels!

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ต The US Dollar has reached a 17-month high against the euro. The global bond selloff is pushing yields higher and increasing demand for US assets, while concerns over Franceโ€™s fiscal position are adding pressure on the euro.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Capital is shifting toward US government bonds. The move comes amid a broader global bond rout, with investors seeking relatively safer assets as inflation and fiscal concerns weigh on markets.

โš ๏ธ Geopolitical tensions are also back in focus. The US is preparing to deploy a third aircraft carrier strike group and additional troops to the Middle East, while Trump is reportedly considering renewed strikes on Iran after the midterm elections.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Manufacturing PMI rose to 55.9 in September from 53.9 previously, pointing to stronger manufacturing activity.

โ‚ฟ Citi raised its 12-month Bitcoin target to $113,000 from $82,000. The bank cited stronger crypto activity, a supportive macro backdrop and renewed ETF inflows as key factors behind the revision.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 02.10.2026

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EUR โ€” Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y โ€” 12:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EUR โ€” CPI Flash Estimate y/y โ€” 12:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD โ€” Average Hourly Earnings m/m โ€” 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD โ€” Non-Farm Employment Change โ€” 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD โ€” Unemployment Rate โ€” 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿ™ƒ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜œ

After the decline, the asset moved into a local sideways range. The price is now near the upper boundary of the range at the 61.52 resistance level. The market remains relatively inactive as participants are waiting for the NFP release.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ If the price holds above the 61.52 resistance level, further upside toward 62.64 could be expected;

๐Ÿ”ฝ However, if the price fails to hold above this level, it could decline toward the lower boundary of the range at the 60.14 support level.

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โ“ How do you expect XAUUSD to react after the NFP report?
Anonymous Poll
57%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Bullish
38%
๐Ÿ“‰ Bearish
5%
โš–๏ธ Neutral
8%
๐Ÿ‘€ View results
๐Ÿ‘26โค15๐Ÿ’ฏ6๐Ÿ˜4
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โšก๏ธUS NFP RELEASEโšก๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Average Hourly Earnings m/m:
Actual โ€” 0.1%
Expected โ€” 0.3%
Previous โ€” 0.3%

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ NFP m/m:
Actual โ€” 29K
Expected โ€” 89K
Previous โ€” 162K

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Rate:
Actual โ€” 4.2%
Expected โ€” 4.1%
Previous โ€” 4.1%
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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ3๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

The asset is in a downtrend, however, after the release of the US labor market data, the price reacted with an upward move. The price is now testing the descending trendline and approaching the key resistance level at 51630.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ If the price breaks and holds above the descending trendline resistance and 51630, the local structure could shift to an uptrend. In this case, further upside could be expected;
๐ŸŽฏ TP1: 52035;
๐ŸŽฏ TP2: 52350.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿฆ Global investors poured nearly $11 billion into US government bonds last week, four times more than the previous week, according to BofA/EPFR. The selloff in Treasuries paused as high yields attracted fresh demand.

๐Ÿ›ข Oil is showing little reaction to the G7โ€™s new interventions, as markets may be pricing in the risk of renewed US military action against Iran.

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japanโ€™s services PMI fell to 51.3 in September from 52.5 previously, while the Composite PMI declined to 52.3 from 53.5, pointing to a slowdown in private-sector activity.

๐Ÿ›ข OPEC+ agreed to keep November oil production targets unchanged. The group will maintain September production levels in November, with the next meeting scheduled for November 1.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 05.10.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD โ€” ISM Services PMI โ€” 17:00 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜œ

The asset held the 1.3183 support level and is now showing a slight upside move. The price is testing the local high and the 1.3238 resistance level. If the price holds above and updates this local high, the structure will shift to bullish.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ If the price holds above the 1.3238 level, the upside move will continue.
๐ŸŽฏ TP1: 1.3270;
๐ŸŽฏ TP2: 1.3290.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜œ

The asset has stopped making new local lows, which could indicate weakening selling pressure. The price is currently testing the 0.6969 resistance level. A Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern has also formed on the chart, which could signal strengthening buying pressure.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ If the price holds above 0.6969, the local structure could shift to bullish, after which further upside could be expected;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 0.7010.

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

Gold is in a downtrend. The asset is unable to make new local highs, indicating weakness among buyers. The price is currently moving toward the 4130 support level.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ฝ If the price holds below the 4130 support level, the decline will continue;
๐ŸŽฏ TP1: 4115;
๐ŸŽฏ TP2: 4095.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ The Triple Top pattern ๐Ÿ”ฅ

๐Ÿ“Š The Triple Top pattern is a technical chart pattern that signals a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. It occurs when an asset's price reaches a resistance level three times, forming three consecutive peaks at nearly the same level.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Fibonacci retracement is a powerful tool that helps identify potential support and resistance levels based on the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern in nature and financial markets.

๐Ÿ“Here's how you can use this powerful combination:

1๏ธโƒฃ Identify an uptrend on the chart and notice a Triple Top pattern's formation;
2๏ธโƒฃ Use Fibonacci retracement to draw retracement levels from the highest point;
3๏ธโƒฃ Wait for the third peak to be confirmed after the price crosses 0.78 Fibo level;
4๏ธโƒฃ Enter the market when the price breaks below the neckline of the Triple Top pattern and retests it;
5๏ธโƒฃ Close your position when the price reaches the 1.61 Fibo level.

Smash โค๏ธ if you use patterns in your trading!

#Education

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ“ˆ US big tech stocks are outperforming the rest of the S&P 500 by the widest margin in history. The rally in AI and mega cap technology stocks continues to drive the index higher despite growing pressure in the bond market.

โš ๏ธ Ray Dalio warns that the US could face a debt crisis within three years. He points to rising borrowing costs and weaker demand for US Treasuries from major foreign holders as key risks.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The selloff in US Treasuries continues during the Asian session. The 30 year Treasury yield reached 5.70%, its highest level in 24 years, as investors remain concerned about inflation, debt and rising government borrowing costs.

๐Ÿ›ข The US continues to draw down its Strategic Petroleum Reserve at a record pace. SPR inventories fell to 283 million barrels, the lowest level since 1982, according to US Energy Department data.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 06.10.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CAD โ€” Ivey PMI โ€” 17:00 GMT+3

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