FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!πŸš€

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Following the Official Cash Rate announcement, the asset experienced a sharp decline. The RSI is in the oversold zone, but the sell-off has now paused, and the price is showing a slight rebound.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”Ό If the price breaks above the local high and holds above 0.5615, a short-term recovery could follow, with the price partially filling the FVG.

πŸ”½ However, if the price breaks and holds below 0.5599, the decline could continue toward 0.5570.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ How will the Fed change the rate today?
Anonymous Poll
14%
πŸ“ˆ 0.50% hike
19%
πŸ“ˆ 0.25% hike
59%
⛔️ No change
13%
πŸ”ͺ 0.25% cut
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Federal Funds Rate:

🟒Actual β€” 4.00%
🟠Expected β€” 4.00%
🟠Previous β€” 4.00%
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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

🍫 JPMorgan sees further downside risk for gold prices. The global central bank rate hiking cycle has not yet peaked, according to the bank. Elevated interest rates and bond yields could continue to put pressure on XAUUSD.

πŸ›’ UBS raised its Brent forecast to $110 per barrel by the end of 2026. The bank cited unstable Middle East supply, declining inventories, and record high freight rates.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ The Bank of Canada raised its policy rate to 2.5% from 2.25%. The central bank warned that further hikes may be necessary if elevated energy prices continue to add to inflationary pressures.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US oil production is on track to reach a new record high. According to the EIA, average output could reach 13.8 million barrels per day in 2026, surpassing the previous record of 13.7 million barrels set in 2025.

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί The ECB is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 2.5% at today’s meeting. Most analysts surveyed by Bloomberg and Reuters expect a hold in October, although persistent inflationary pressures and higher energy prices leave the door open to a further rate hike in December.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 29.10.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD β€” Advance GDP q/q β€” 15:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD β€” Core PCE Price Index m/m β€” 15:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR β€” Main Refinancing Rate β€” 16:15 GMT+3
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR β€” Monetary Policy Statement β€” 16:15 GMT+3
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR β€” ECB Press Conference β€” 16:45 GMT+3

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❗️❗️❗️❗️

Gold showed a short-term recovery, but the price failed to hold above the 4075 resistance level. It is now declining again and testing a local ascending trendline around 4020.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”½ If the price breaks and holds below 4020, the decline could continue;
🎯 Target: 3989.

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πŸ˜›πŸ€—πŸ˜‡πŸ˜œ

The asset remains in a downtrend. The price is currently testing the local low, which coincides with the 1.3973 support level.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”½ If the price breaks below 1.3973, the decline could continueβ„–
🎯 Target: 1.3925.

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸ˜œ

After reaching 112.30, the asset moved into a sideways range. The price is currently trading between the 112.30 resistance level and the 109 support level.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”½ If the price breaks below 109, the decline could continue toward 106.43.

πŸ”Ό However, if the 109 support level holds, a local rebound toward the upper boundary of the range and the 112.30 resistance level is possible.

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πŸ•“ Scalping: Quick Profits, Faster TradesπŸ•“

πŸ”₯ Scalping is a strategy for small, fast profitsβ€”traders enter and exit trades in minutes. Perfect for those who thrive on speed and precision!

Key Points:
🟒 Small Timeframes: Focus on 1M, 5M, and 15M charts.
🟒 Volatile Assets: Trade Gold (XAUUSD) and major FX pairs like EURUSD, GBPUSD.

Pro Tips:
🟠 Use indicators like Moving Averages and Bollinger Bands.
🟠 Stick to highly liquid assets for smoother trades.
🟠 Use small lots per trade!
🟠 Always set a stop loss to manage risks!
🟠 Master your psychology and disciplineβ€”it’s key to consistent success

#Education

⚑️ Scalping = Timing + Focus. Are you ready to take on the charts?

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US PCE inflation accelerated in September. The headline index rose by 0.5% m/m, versus expectations of 0.3%, while annual inflation reached 3.6%, up from 3.4% previously. Core PCE also accelerated to 3.1% y/y from 3.0%. Higher inflation is adding to concerns over further pressure on Fed monetary policy.

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί The ECB kept all three key interest rates unchanged. The main refinancing rate remained at 2.65%, the deposit facility rate at 2.5%, and the marginal lending facility rate at 2.9%. The central bank noted that rising energy prices are adding to inflation risks, although core inflation remains relatively stable.

🚨 Binance has faced what could become the largest hack in crypto market history. Preliminary estimates put the damage at around $6.3 billion. According to the exchange, approximately $3 billion has already been frozen, and all user losses will be compensated. Amid the incident, BTC briefly fell below $77,000.

πŸ“‰ Nasdaq is approaching its September lows as Big Tech stocks face heavy selling pressure. Investors reacted negatively to Alphabet's quarterly results and rising spending by technology companies on AI development. The Nasdaq fell 1.37% on Thursday.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate unchanged at 1.25%. The central bank also reported that underlying inflation had reached its 2% target for the first time since the target was introduced in 2013. Markets are now focused on the Japanese central bank's next moves.

πŸ₯ˆ Silver has fallen to an 11 month low. XAGUSD dropped to around $50.90, extending its sharp decline as rate expectations are reassessed and precious metals remain under pressure.
#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 30.10.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD β€” Advance GDP q/q β€” 15:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD β€” Core PCE Price Index m/m β€” 15:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR β€” Main Refinancing Rate β€” 16:15 GMT+3
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR β€” Monetary Policy Statement β€” 16:15 GMT+3
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR β€” ECB Press Conference β€” 16:45 GMT+3

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πŸ˜›πŸ˜€πŸ™Œ

The index remains in a downtrend, maintaining its current market structure. Following the release of earnings reports from major technology companies, selling pressure has intensified and the decline has accelerated. The price is currently testing the key 28735 support level.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”½ If the price breaks and holds below 28735, the downward move could continue;
🎯 Target: 28550.

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❗️❗️❗️❗️

πŸŽ‰ Yesterday’s signal reached its expected target, delivering a 3,100-point move. Congratulations!

Gold has now moved below the 4000 mark and is currently testing the 3975 support level. If the price fails to reclaim 4000, this could reinforce the bearish outlook.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”½ If the price breaks and holds below 3975, the decline could continue;
🎯 Target: 3920.

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❀29πŸ‘8πŸ”₯6πŸ₯°5
πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China reported a significant increase in its gold, nickel, and rhenium reserves. According to the Ministry of Natural Resources, a reassessment of deposits revealed additional gold resources equivalent to 50 large deposits and nickel resources equivalent to another 30. Rhenium reserves have more than doubled.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ The Bank of Japan Governor has once again signaled readiness to continue raising interest rates. According to Kazuo Ueda, Japan is gradually approaching the sustainable achievement of its 2% inflation target, strengthening the case for further monetary policy tightening.

πŸ₯‡ October 2026 was the worst October for gold since 2008. According to COMEX data, gold futures lost around 6.9% over the month, ending trading near $3,899 per ounce.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Prediction markets are increasingly betting on Democrats gaining control of the US Congress. As of November 1, Polymarket put the odds of Democrats securing a majority in the House of Representatives at around 94%, and in the Senate at 69%. These figures reflect market participants' expectations, not actual election results.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 30.10.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD β€” ISM Manufacturing PMI β€” 18:00 GMT+3

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸ˜œ

The price has held above the 1.1122 support level. The asset is now showing strong upward momentum and moving toward the key 1.1222 resistance level.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”Ό If the price manages to break and hold above 1.1222, the upward move could continue;
🎯 Target: 1.1226.

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πŸ˜›πŸ€ πŸ€—πŸ˜œ

The price was moving higher but failed to update its local high and hold above the 0.7060 resistance level. The asset has now formed a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern and is testing the key 0.7009 support level.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”½ If the price breaks below this support level, the decline could continue;
🎯 Target: 0.6975.

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βšͺ️ ETHUSD

The asset remains in a bearish market structure. The price failed to break above the 2305 resistance level and is now showing signs of further downside.

πŸ”½ If the price breaks below the local low at 2260, the downward move could continue;
🎯 TP1: 2225;
🎯 TP2: 2140.

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πŸ”₯ Fibonacci Retracement

πŸ“ For professional traders, Fibonacci retracement isn’t just a toolβ€”it’s a strategic method for identifying high-probability trade setups based on institutional liquidity levels.

❓Why Fibonacci Works?

Fibonacci helps traders anticipate potential reversal points by identifying areas where institutional players may be active.

🎯 61.8% - The Golden Ratio β†’ A critical turning point where price frequently reverses.
πŸ•― 38.2% & 50% - Shallow Retracements β†’ Indicate strong trend continuation when respected.
πŸ“ˆ 78.6% - Deep Retracement β†’ A level where liquidity is often swept before a major move.

πŸͺ™Fibonacci in professional trading:

βœ”οΈ Fibonacci levels align with strong structural zones, such as previous highs/lows or key support/resistance.
βœ”οΈ Price exhibits reactionary behavior at the levelβ€”wicks, consolidations, or momentum shifts confirming its significance.
βœ”οΈ Institutional order flow confirms the setup, often seen through volume spikes, liquidity sweeps, and fair value gaps (FVGs).

🎁 Advanced Insight: Many experienced traders also reference ICT Fibonacci levels, particularly the 62% equilibrium level, which varies slightly from the traditional 61.8% but is highly relevant in institutional trading models. 79% and 88% retracements are often used to detect deep liquidity grabs before market reversals.

#Education

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

🍫 Global gold demand fell by 1% y/y in Q3 to 1,369 tonnes. However, central banks and other official institutions increased their net gold purchases to 321 tonnes, up 42% y/y. This marked the strongest quarterly buying since Q4 2024. Year to date, central bank purchases reached 675 tonnes, up 6% y/y. Inflows into gold ETFs also resumed in Q3, adding 211 tonnes.

πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its policy rate to 4.85% from 4.60%. The decision was in line with market expectations. The RBA revised its GDP growth and inflation forecasts higher and expects interest rates to remain above neutral in the near term. The central bank also warned that inflation will remain elevated.

πŸ“‰ The Nasdaq 100 has fallen 10% from its October highs. The index has entered correction territory amid heavy selling in technology stocks and growing investor concerns about the returns on massive AI investments.

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK manufacturing activity accelerated in October. The Manufacturing PMI rose to 52.8 from 51.9 in September, reaching its highest level in five months. Output recorded its strongest growth in more than two years, supported by improving domestic and international demand.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 03.11.2026

⚠️ USD β€” Congressional Elections β€” All Day

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❗️❗️❗️❗️

Gold remains in a global downtrend. The price failed to update its local high and is showing signs of further downside. The asset is now approaching the key 3895 support level.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”½ If the price breaks and holds below 3895, the downward move could continue;
🎯 Target: 3870.

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πŸ˜›πŸ€—πŸ₯ΉπŸ˜œ

The asset is showing signs of recovery. Following an impulsive upward move, the price is approaching its local high and the key 158.24 resistance level.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”Ό If the price breaks and holds above 158.24, the upward move could continue;
🎯 TP1: 158.60;
🎯 TP2: 158.83.

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