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A slightly weaker CPI was not enough to break through the highs

The US consumer price index rose 0.3% in December, maintaining an annual growth rate of 2.7%, which is in line with analysts' average forecasts. At the same time, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, remained at 2.6% year-on-year, against an expected acceleration to 2.7%.

Initially, this data sparked a surge in risk appetite, pushing the S&P 500 towards 7,000 on the back of softer-than-expected data. However, this did not significantly affect the assessment of the Fed's key rate change in the coming months, returning stock indices and the dollar against major currencies to their previous levels.

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/01/14 (GMT)

02:24 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Trade Balance β€” Exp: 114.3B | 805B Actual: 114.1B | 809B

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Producer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.2% | 2.7% Actual: 0.2% | 3.0%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core PPI β€” Exp: 0.2% | 2.7% Actual: 0.0% | 3.0%

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Retail Sales β€” Exp: 0.5% | 0.4% Actual: 0.6% | 0.5%

15:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Existing Home Sales β€” Exp: 4.21M Actual: 4.35M | 5.1%

15:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -1700K Actual: 3391K


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/01/14 (GMT) 02:24 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Trade Balance β€” Exp: 114.3B | 805B Actual: 114.1B | 809B 13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Producer Price Index β€” Exp: 0.2% | 2.7% Actual: 0.2% | 3.0% 13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core PPI β€” Exp: 0.2% | 2.7% Actual: 0.0% | 3.0% 13:30…»
The crypto market has made a breakthrough

The crypto market capitalisation has increased by almost 5% over the past 24 hours to $3.25T. This rise above previous local highs confirms the formation of a bullish trend with a sequence of higher local highs and lows. The crypto market has few technical obstacles until it reaches $3.32T, which is the classic Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8% of the decline from the peak in early October.

The sentiment index jumped to 48. Although this is the lower half of the sentiment range, we are seeing the highest values for the indicator since the end of October, reflecting a significant change in sentiment. The crypto market did not need support from US stock indices for this, but metals and Asian markets still updated their highs.

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⚠️ USA β€” Producer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.1% | 2.8%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.2% | 2.7%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% | 3.0% πŸ“ˆ

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⚠️ USA β€” Core PPI at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.3% | 3.0%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.2% | 2.7%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% πŸ“‰ | 3.0% πŸ“ˆ

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⚠️ USA β€” Retail Sales at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -0.1% | 0.2%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.5% | 0.4%

🎯 Fact.: 0.6% πŸ“ˆ | 0.5% πŸ“ˆ
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly negative πŸ“‰

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are down 0.71%, and Broadcom (AVGO) shares are down 1.02%.

In the financial sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down 0.20%, while Bank of America (BAC) shares are showing a more significant decline of 1.72%.

In the Technology Services sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are down 0.76%, while Oracle (ORCL) is down 0.78%.

The prevalence of sell-offs among the largest companies indicates a risk aversion in the US market. This could lead to a strengthening of the dollar in the short term due to increased demand for USD-denominated safe-haven assets, including Treasury bonds. At the same time, the intensification of negative sentiment is putting pressure on risk assets and emerging market currencies.
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/01/15 (GMT)

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.1% | -0.2% Actual: 0.3% | 0.1%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Industrial Production β€” Exp: 0.1% | -0.4% Actual: 1.1% | 2.3%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Manufacturing Production β€” Exp: 0.5% | -0.3% Actual: 2.1% | 2.1%

07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Goods Trade Balance β€” Exp: -20.4B Actual: -23.7B

09:30 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ BOE Credit Conditions Survey

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 215K Actual: 198K

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Continuing Claims β€” Exp: 1897K Actual: 1884K

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index β€” Exp: -1.6 Actual: 12.6

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Empire State Manufacturing Index β€” Exp: 0.8 Actual: 7.7


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/01/15 (GMT) 07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ ⚑️ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 0.1% | -0.2% Actual: 0.3% | 0.1% 07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Industrial Production β€” Exp: 0.1% | -0.4% Actual: 1.1% | 2.3% 07:00 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Manufacturing Production β€” Exp: 0.5% | -0.3% Actual:…»
⚠️ UK β€” Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.1% | 0.0%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.1% | -0.2%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% πŸ“ˆ | 0.1% πŸ“ˆ
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Bitcoin aims to break out of a corrective rebound

The crypto market capitalisation has shown a slight increase to $3.26T over the past 24 hours, as it paused its growth, releasing steam after rallying to a total capitalisation of $3.30T. The recovery to a two-month high still keeps the market within a typical corrective rebound of 61.8% of the initial downward momentum. Although it would be too hasty to ignore the sequence of rising local lows, it is still worth being prepared for the recovery momentum to lose steam.

Bitcoin rose to $98K on Wednesday, gaining for the third day during the US session, while Asian and European trading saw a correction and lull, respectively. The price of BTC touched the 61.8% level of the decline from the peak of $126K to the November lows of $80K. Further growth from these levels, especially exceeding $100K, will be an important signal that the decline in October and November may have been a deep correction, but did not break the bull market.

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⚠️ USA β€” Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 207K

πŸ•’ Exp: 215K

🎯 Fact.: 198K πŸ“ˆ
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly positive πŸ“ˆ

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up 1.41%, while Broadcom (AVGO) shares are up 2.69%.

In the finance sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down 0.04%, while Bank of America (BAC) shares are up 0.23%.

In the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up 1.31%, while Walmart (WMT) shares are down 0.10%.

The largest companies by market capitalisation are showing growth, reflecting investors' optimistic mood. In the absence of a pronounced flight from risk, the dollar remains neutral with no clear drivers for strengthening or weakening.