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⚠️ UK β€” Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.4% | 3.4%

πŸ•’ Exp: -0.5% | 3.0%

🎯 Fact.: -0.5% | 3.0%
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Bitcoin’s worrying slips down

The crypto market cap has been hovering around $2.34-2.35T for the third day in a row. Volatility seems to have been turned off in this market, while stock indices are much livelier. There, investors are actively buying up dips, relying on support in the form of important moving averages: 50-day for the Dow Jones and Russell 2000 and 200-day for the Nasdaq100. The crypto market is now below its 50- and 200-day curves by 17% and 31%, respectively. If cryptocurrencies still play a role as an indicator of risk appetite, it points to disaster.

By and large, the cryptocurrency sentiment index says the same thing, falling to 8 at the start of the day on Wednesday. The indicator has been in single digits for nine of the last fourteen days. This is worse than the darkest moments of 2020 and 2022. It seems that as the cryptocurrency market matures, it is becoming less optimistic. On the other hand, it is also becoming less volatile.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly positive πŸ“ˆ

The growth in the prices of the largest technology, energy and financial companies significantly outweighs the decline.

In the Technology Services sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up +0.37%, while Meta Platforms (META) shares are down -0.66%.

In the financial sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up +0.36%, while Bank of America (BAC) shares are down -0.09%.

In the Energy Minerals sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) shares are up +1.50%, while Chevron (CVX) shares are up +1.44%.

The prevailing growth of highly capitalised issuers is creating a risk-on environment within the US: interest in stocks and corporate risk is high, while demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is subdued. In the absence of signs of a large-scale capital outflow from the US, the short-term dynamics of the dollar are likely to remain neutral, with trading in a range without a clear trend towards strengthening.
⚠️ USA β€” FOMC Meeting Minutes at 19:00 GMT
⚠️ New Zealand β€” RBNZ Governor Anna Breman Speaks at 19:10 GMT
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/02/19 (GMT)

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Employment Change β€” Exp: 20.0K Actual: 17.8K

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Unemployment Rate β€” Exp: 4.2% Actual: 4.1%

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Part-Time Employment Change Actual: 50.5K | -32.7K

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 223K Actual: 206K

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Continuing Claims β€” Exp: 1860K Actual: 1869K

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index β€” Exp: 7.5 Actual: 16.3

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Trade Balance β€” Exp: -55.5B Actual: -70.3B

13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Goods Trade Balance β€” Exp: -86.0B Actual: -98.5B

13:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Trade Balance β€” Exp: -2.1B Actual: -1.3B

15:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Pending Home Sales β€” Exp: 1.4% Actual: -0.8% | -0.4%

17:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: 1700K Actual: -9014K

21:45 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ Trade Balance β€” Exp: -745M

23:00 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ ⚑️ RBNZ Governor Anna Breman Speaks

23:30 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ ⚑️ National Consumer Price Index

23:30 πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ National Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food β€” Exp: 2.0%


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/02/19 (GMT) 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Employment Change β€” Exp: 20.0K Actual: 17.8K 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Unemployment Rate β€” Exp: 4.2% Actual: 4.1% 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Part-Time Employment Change Actual: 50.5K | -32.7K 13:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Unemployment Claims…»
⚠️ Australia β€” Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 68.5K

πŸ•’ Exp: 20.0K

🎯 Fact.: 17.8K πŸ“‰

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⚠️ Australia β€” Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 4.1%

πŸ•’ Exp: 4.2%

🎯 Fact.: 4.1% πŸ“ˆ
Ethereum is resting on a 6-year trend

The crypto market cap fell by more than 1% in 24 hours to $2.31 trillion, approaching last week's lows but leaving the market 5% above its low point on 6 February. The market's range continues to narrow, suggesting that volatility is likely to soon break out of the $2.3-2.4T range. Given the previous dynamics and the increasingly cautious nature of growth in the US stock markets, there is a greater chance of an early update of local lows with a dip to the levels we saw in the second half of 2024.

Bitcoin is trading just above $67K, losing slightly under 1%, which is better than the market, as active selling has moved to altcoins outside the top five. BTC is trading at the bottom of the downward range of the last week and a half.

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⚠️ USA β€” Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 229K

πŸ•’ Exp: 223K

🎯 Fact.: 206K πŸ“ˆ
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly negative πŸ“‰

πŸ“‰The US stock market is experiencing negative dynamics in pre-market trading, with key indices under pressure due to declines in large technology and financial companies.

In the financial sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are down -0.61%, while Bank of America (BAC) shares are down -2.17%.

In the technology services sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are showing moderate growth of +0.07%, while Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are down -0.77%.

In the Energy Minerals sector, ExxonMobil (XOM) shares are up +1.65%, while Chevron (CVX) shares are up +1.53%.

The prevailing decline in the quotes of the largest technology and banking issuers, coupled with local growth in the oil and gas segment, indicates a shift away from risk within the US market. In the short term, this supports the dollar due to increased demand for defensive dollar assets and Treasury bonds, while the potential for risk currencies to strengthen remains limited.