Green shoots in the crypto market

The crypto market cap increased by 3% over 24 hours to $2.38 trillion, supported by the impressive stock market rebound. Officially, the market is moving within a relatively narrow range after the collapse in the second half of January. Often in such situations, a new downward trend is expected around the corner, which remains the baseline scenario for now. However, it would be unwise to overlook the early signs of the crypto market's growing interest in good news from outside, which was not the case a few months ago.

Bitcoin is testing the $70K level, gaining over 7% from the lows at the start of Monday. Buyers are becoming more confident, creating a series of higher local lows since the end of last month. The first cryptocurrency reached an important local resistance level in February. Still, bulls will need to sustain the price above the last peak at $73K, where the 50-day moving average also resides, to confirm the development of a medium-term uptrend.

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

The Fed could do what the ECB can’t

The Fed may keep rates high, while the ECB is unlikely to raise them.

Japan's economy has been hit by a double blow and needs new stimulus measures.

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

🇺🇸 US pre-market: Moderately negative 📉

Most of the largest companies are in a slight decline, while the growth of individual leaders does not compensate for the overall negative background.

In the electronics sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are down -0.34%, while Micron Technology (MU) shares are up +1.0%.

In the financial sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.30%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are under pressure and down -0.53%.

In the consumer durables sector, Tesla (TSLA) shares are up +0.46%, while General Motors (GM) shares are down -0.13%.

The prevailing decline in the prices of the largest and most liquid US companies continues to indicate risk aversion within the US market. This supports demand for safe-haven dollar assets and Treasury bonds, creating conditions for a moderate short-term strengthening of the dollar against risk currencies, with relatively neutral dynamics in cross rates with other safe-haven currencies.

US indices hit rock bottom and then rebounded

Forex and stock markets are usually driven by central bank interest rates, but recently, geopolitics and oil prices have taken the lead. Interestingly, this has not changed investors’ long-term bullish outlook. The S&P 500 has posted double-digit gains in each of the past three years, reinforcing the habit of buying every dip. Donald Trump appeared to offer just such an opportunity, saying the war with Iran is progressing faster than expected and could end soon. As a result, investors rushed back into the market, driven by FOMO, the fear of missing out.

The lifeline from the US president shifted markets from fear to greed. Until then, the Polymarket and Kalshi betting markets indicated that the armed conflict in the Middle East would continue until May. According to Capital Economics, in this scenario, oil could rise to $150 per barrel, then fall back and stabilise near $130. High oil prices led Yardeni Research to increase the odds of an S&P 500 crash by the end of the year from 20% to 35%. Meanwhile, JP Morgan has become a tactical bear.

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

▶️ Pro News Flash: Markets Rally as Oil Risks Grow

🟢 Global stock markets rebounded after comments from Donald Trump suggested the conflict with Iran could end sooner than expected. The shift helped lift investor sentiment after weeks of heavy selling across global equities.

📉 Despite recent volatility, the bullish mindset remains strong. The S&P 500 has delivered double digit gains for three straight years, reinforcing the popular “buy the dip” strategy among investors.

🛢️ Oil prices remain the key risk. According to Capital Economics, prolonged Middle East tensions could push crude as high as $150 per barrel before stabilizing near $130, raising inflation risks.

📊 Analysts are becoming more cautious. Yardeni Research raised the probability of a stock market crash this year from 20% to 35%, while JPMorgan Chase has turned tactically bearish.

🌍 If the conflict drags on, rising oil prices could increase the risk of stagflation, a mix of slower growth and higher inflation, which historically weighs on stocks like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite.

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

EURAUD Wave Analysis – 10 March 2026

- EURAUD falling inside daily down channel

- Likely to fall to support level 1.6200

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

AUDNZD Wave Analysis – 10 March 2026

- AUDNZD broke resistance zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.2100

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/03/11 (GMT)

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.3% | 2.4% Actual: 0.3% | 2.4%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Core CPI — Exp: 0.2% | 2.5% Actual: 0.2% | 2.5%

14:30 🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories — Exp: 2800K Actual: 3824K

23:50 🇯🇵 BSI Manufacturing Index — Exp: 5.5


[Updated in real time]

Halliburton Wave Analysis – 10 March 2026

- Halliburton reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 36.35

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

Zcash Wave Analysis – 10 March 2026

- Zcash reversed from round support level 200.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 250.00

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

Crypto: Bears still control the range

The crypto market cap has changed slightly over the past 24 hours, amounting to $2.38T. Growth at the start of the US session was met with increased selling, once again highlighting the importance of the current area's resistance, which includes the 50-day moving average and last week's peak. Among the top coins, the top five — BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL — are trading down compared to 24 hours ago, but smaller coins — ICP, XMR, ATOM, AVAX, BCH — have risen by 2% to 5%.

Bitcoin did not make a promising breakthrough on Tuesday, with a local peak near $71.7K, below last week's highs around $74K. In the short term, the 50-day moving average proved a formidable resistance level, preventing the bulls from swiftly turning the tide in their favour. This indicator often signals the medium-term trend, and a confident break above it would be an important turning point in the coming days.

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

The dollar acts in tandem with oil

The impact of oil on currency rates has risen sharply.

The ECB promises to prevent a repeat of the 2022 inflation shock.

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

⚠️ USA — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | 2.4%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 2.4%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% | 2.4%

———

⚠️ USA — Core CPI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.3% | 2.5%

🕒 Exp: 0.2% | 2.5%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% | 2.5%

Brent chooses its path

Investors are assessing whether the 2022 or 2025 oil scenario will play out.

Releasing reserves will not necessarily lower oil prices.

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly negative 📉

Most major stocks are trading in the red, indicating the dominance of risk-off sentiment.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares remain unchanged at 0.00%, while Apple (AAPL) shares are down -0.24%.

In the finance sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.20%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are down -0.59%.

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are down -0.31%, while Microsoft (MSFT) shares are virtually unchanged, down -0.03%.

Given the decline in the prices of the largest liquid companies, the premarket reflects a flight from risk within the US market. This creates fertile ground for short-term demand for defensive dollar assets and may provide moderate support for the US dollar exchange rate.

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/03/12 (GMT)

09:30 🇬🇧 BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Claims — Exp: 214K Actual: 213K

12:30 🇺🇸 Continuing Claims — Exp: 1850K Actual: 1850K

12:30 🇺🇸 Trade Balance — Exp: -66.6B Actual: -54.5B

12:30 🇺🇸 Building Permits — Exp: 1420K Actual: 1376K | -5.4%

12:30 🇺🇸 Housing Starts — Exp: 1340K Actual: 1487K | 7.2%

12:30 🇨🇦 Trade Balance — Exp: -1.2B Actual: -3.6B


[Updated in real time]

Boeing Wave Analysis – 5 March 2026

- Boeing falling inside impulse wave iii

- Likely to fall to support level 207.85

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

Alcoa Wave Analysis – 11 March 2026

- Alcoa reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 68.20

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost