Will the Fed’s hike benefit the dollar?

The Federal Reserve is on the cusp of beginning a cycle of rate rises.

The USD index rally will continue if the central bank surprises markets.

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Litecoin Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026

– Litecoin reversed from resistance zone

– Likely to fall to support level 47.50

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Silver Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026

– Silver reversed from support area

– Likely to rise to resistance level 68.45

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Palladium Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026

– Palladium reversed from support level 1270.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 1400.00

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⚠️ USA — Retail Sales at 12:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: -0.5% | -0.2%

🕒 Exp: 0.8% | 0.6%

🎯 Fact.: 1.2% 📈 | 1.4% 📈

NZDCAD Wave Analysis – 16 September 2026

– NZDCAD reversed from powerful support level 0.7990

– Likely to rise to resistance level 1400.00

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Has gold overreacted to the threat?

Fed rate rises will not necessarily put pressure on gold.

The medium-term outlook for gold remains bullish.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Moderately Positive 📈

Ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision, the US stock market is showing a moderately positive trend in pre-market trading.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.75%, while Micron Technology (MU) is up 0.80%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down 0.22%, while Bank of America (BAC) is up 0.13%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 0.31%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.14%.

The predominance of gains in the most liquid technology and retail shares is creating a risk-on environment within the US.

Demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited: the dollar index may remain in a neutral range without significant upward momentum, while the performance of EURUSD and other major crosses will depend more on the differential in Fed rate expectations and external news than on domestic equity market dynamics.

⚠️ USA — FOMC Rate Decision at 18:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 3.75%

🕒 Exp: 4.00%

🎯 Fact.: 4.00%

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⚠️ USA — FOMC Press Conference at 18:30 GMT

⚠️ New Zealand — Gross Domestic Product at 22:45 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.8% | 1.5%

🕒 Exp: 0.1% | 2.3%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% 📈 | 2.6% 📈

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/09/18 (GMT)

11:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75%

11:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes — Exp: 3-0-6 Actual: 3-0-6

11:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Monetary Policy Summary

12:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims — Exp: 207K Actual: 196K

12:30 🇺🇸 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index — Exp: 31.3 Actual: 37.8

12:30 🇺🇸 Building Permits — Exp: 1410K Actual: 1394K | -2.7%

12:30 🇺🇸 Housing Starts — Exp: 1310K Actual: 1275K | -2.6%

14:00 🇺🇸 Pending Home Sales — Exp: -0.2% Actual: 0.3% | -4.7%

22:45 🇳🇿 Trade Balance — Exp: -1775M Actual: -1349M | -5442M

23:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Governor Michele Bullock Speaks

23:30 🇯🇵 ⚡️ National Consumer Price Index Actual: 1.9%

23:30 🇯🇵 National Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food — Exp: 1.8% Actual: 2.0%

02:54 🇯🇵 ⚡️ Overnight Call Rate — Exp: 1.25% Actual: 1.25%

02:54 🇯🇵 ⚡️ Monetary Policy Statement

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales With Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.2% | 1.9%

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.1% | 1.9%

06:30 🇯🇵 ⚡️ BOJ Press Conference


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market remains unfazed by interest rates

The crypto market has risen by 1.2% over the past 24 hours. The Fed’s key rate hike did not trigger a significant reaction, despite a brief spike in volatility; traders subsequently focused on buying on dips. At the same time, it is worth noting the continued growth of certain altcoins. The rapid rise driven by specific ideas is an important sign of a fundamental shift in sentiment. The top performers over the past 24 hours were NEAR Protocol (+18%), Zcash (+17.5%) and Dash (+15%). The underperformers were Filecoin (-1%), Hedera (-0.1%) and Tron (+0.1%), which clearly illustrates the market’s bullish shift over the last day.

The cryptocurrency sentiment index, by contrast, points to caution, having fallen to 50 from 51 the previous day. This is hardly a cause for alarm, as the index has been above 50 for around four weeks, following nearly a year spent in the lower half of the range (with brief exceptions).

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⚠️ UK — Bank of England Interest Rate Decision at 11:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 3.75%

🕒 Exp: 3.75%

🎯 Fact.: 3.75%

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⚠️ UK — MPC Official Bank Rate Votes at 11:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 3-0-6

🕒 Exp: 3-0-6

🎯 Fact.: 3-0-6

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The Fed surprised with its determination to hike; will the BoE do the same?

• The Fed raised interest rates and signalled its determination to tighten policy further.

• The start of the Bank of England’s monetary tightening cycle will provide support for the pound.

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▶️ Gold. After rate decision

Today is Thursday, the 17th of September, and let’s talk about the gold market following the US interest rate decision, which was raised by 25 basis points yesterday. Just a quick reminder that, on the daily chart, gold is currently in this large triangle in the fourth wave. And within this triangle, wave C is forming...

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Positive 📈

Positive trends are prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 2.10%, Broadcom (AVGO) is up 2.44%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 1.22%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is up 1.54%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 2.09%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.46%.

Market sentiment is distinctly risk-on: increased demand for major technology and retail stocks is limiting interest in safe-haven dollar assets; consequently, the short-term dollar trend appears subdued and depends largely on Fed expectations rather than domestic demand for safe-haven assets.

NEAR Wave Analysis – 17 September 2026

– NEAR broke resistance zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 3.40

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AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 17 September 2026

– AUDJPY reversed from support level 110.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 112.00

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