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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/09/07 (GMT) 09:00 All OPEC-JMMC Meetings [Updated in real time]Β»
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/09/08 (GMT) 03:02 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Trade Balance β€” Exp: 99.4B | 750B Actual: 102.3B | 733B [Updated in real time]Β»
What is next: US CPI, ECB Rate

The key events of the second week of September will be the ECB meeting and the publication of US inflation data for August. The European Central Bank is expected to leave its deposit rate at 2%. Nordea predicts that the cycle of monetary expansion is over. This contrasts with the view of Bloomberg experts, whose consensus estimate suggests that another step should be expected in 2025.

Credit Agricole expects the deposit rate to rise by 75 basis points in 12 months, amid an acceleration in the European economy, thanks to fiscal stimulus. Divergence in monetary policy will keep the EURO USD pair on an upward trend.

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Cryptocurrency market uncertainty as a sign of suppressed retail risk appetite

Cryptocurrency market capitalisation has gained 2.5% over the past seven days to $3.85 trillion, demonstrating a very modest and erratic recovery without buyer euphoria or significant volumes. The crypto market capitalisation remains below its 50-day moving average, indicating the prevalence of bears in the market. This is a very worrying indicator of underlying risk appetite in financial markets. Although stocks are offsetting the weakness in the labour market with growth in anticipation of Fed dovishness, the weakness of the economy is still negative for retail customers, the driving force behind prices.

The sentiment index fell into fear territory on Sunday at 44, but returned to a neutral 51 on Monday, reflecting a wait-and-see stance.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market

πŸ“ˆThe US stock market is showing mostly positive dynamics in premarket trading.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.19%, and AVGO (AVGO) shares are up +1.28%.

In the Finance sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.22%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up +0.06%.

In the Technology Services sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up +0.61%, while Oracle (ORCL) shares are up +2.95%.

Broad growth in technology and related segments is contributing to a steady inflow of capital, which is supporting the dollar and contributing to its moderate strengthening against a background of positive market expectations for key companies.
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▢️ Oil. Declining. Target below $50

Check out our new short video with wave technical analysis.
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Don’t expect much from the Fed while markets are at their highs

For the second month in a row, US employment data has been disappointing, not only in terms of the headline figure but also due to a significant revision of previous data. As a result, the economic picture looks increasingly bleak.

In August, the economy created 22K new jobs, compared to the expected 75K. But more importantly, there was a reduction of 13K in June, although the initial report spoke of an increase of 147K. The labour market has been limping since May, which is entirely consistent with the shock of sanctions. This has radically changed the description of the labour market in recent months.

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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2025/09/09 (GMT) 11:50 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ ⚑️ SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel Speaks [Updated in real time]Β»
⚠️ Switzerland β€” SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel Speaks at 11:50 GMT
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market

πŸ“ˆThe US stocks are showing mixed dynamics.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.46%, while Apple (AAPL) shares are down -0.12%.

In the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up +0.03%, while Walmart (WMT) shares are down -0.12%.

In the Healthcare sector, Eli Lilly (LLY) shares are up +0.19%, while Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) shares are down -0.22%.

Selective dynamics with moderate gains are supporting the dollar by attracting targeted investment flows.
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