⚠️ New Zealand — RBNZ Governor Christian Hawkesby Speaks at 23:15 GMT

The crypto market has returned to the $4 trillion mark

Once again, the crypto market capitalisation has approached $4 trillion, rising by more than 2% over the past 24 hours. The whole market is managing to gain above the 50-day moving average, which the first cryptocurrency is unable to do. There are no super rallies or confetti like before, but these are still signs of an altcoin season with heavy altcoins leading the way.

Bitcoin exceeded $114K on Wednesday for the first time in 2.5 weeks after the release of weak US producer price data. On Thursday, US consumer inflation data will be released, which could also influence interest rate decisions in the coming months, thereby affecting the markets. The BTC price has approached the 50-day moving average, and the upcoming data could provide momentum for both a breakout of this resistance and an end to the recent uptrend.

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⚠️ EU — ECB Interest Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 2.15%

🕒 Exp: 2.15%

🎯 Fact.: 2.15%

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 236K

🕒 Exp: 235K

🎯 Fact.: 263K 📉

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⚠️ USA — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | 2.7%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 2.9%

🎯 Fact.: 0.4% 📈 | 2.9%

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⚠️ USA — Core CPI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.3% | 3.1%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 3.1%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% | 3.1%

⚠️ EU — ECB Press Conference at 12:45 GMT

US CPI acceleration is less important for the Fed than the growing weakness in the job market

A tougher-than-expected consumer inflation report followed a surprisingly soft producer price report. This divergence clearly reflects the price volatility facing the economy and the complexity of assessing the central bank's next steps.

The consumer price index rose 0.4% last month, the highest since January and more than the expected 0.3%. A day earlier, average forecasts were 0.4 percentage points higher than the actual producer price figures, showing a decline instead of the expected 0.3% growth. The annual rate of consumer price growth accelerated to 2.9% overall and remained at 3.1% in the core index, which excludes food and energy.

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/09/12 (GMT)

06:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.0% | 0.2% Actual: 0.0% | 0.2%

06:00 🇬🇧 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.0% | 1.1% Actual: -0.9% | 0.1%

06:00 🇬🇧 Manufacturing Production — Exp: 0.0% | 1.6% Actual: -1.3% | 0.2%

06:00 🇬🇧 Goods Trade Balance — Exp: -21.6B Actual: -22.2B

09:01 🇨🇳 New Yuan Loans — Exp: 700B Actual: 590B

10:30 🇷🇺 ⚡️ Key bank rate — Exp: 16% Actual: 17%

14:00 🇺🇸 UoM Consumer Sentiment — Exp: 58.0 Actual: 55.4


[Updated in real time]

Johnson & Johnson Wave Analysis – 11 September 2025

Johnson & Johnson: ⬆️ Buy

- Johnson & Johnson reversed from the support area

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Amazon Wave Analysis – 11 September 2025

- Amazon reversed from the resistance area

- Likely to fall to support level 225.00

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Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 11 September 2025

- Bitcoin broke daily down channel

- Likely to rise to resistance level 116755.00

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AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 11 September 2025

- AUDUSD broke resistance area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6700

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⚠️ UK — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.4% | 0.3%

🕒 Exp: 0.0% | 0.2%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% | 0.2%

The dollar needs a global shock to revive

Political crises in France and Japan have undermined the strength of the US dollar's main competitors, the euro and the yen. The resignations of the French and Japanese prime ministers and Paris's move towards parliamentary elections are temporarily allowing the dollar to forget about monetary policy. The chances of further steps to ease Fed policy are growing rapidly after a record revision of employment data for the year in March, which took 911K jobs off previous estimates, and an unexpected decline in producer price indices for August.

A federal court ruling allowing Fed member Lisa Cook to attend the September FOMC meeting is helping the US currency. Donald Trump wants to weaken the US dollar, so any failure by the president serves as a signal to buy the US currency. This includes as part of the strategy of trading the Fed's independence.

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▶️ Pro News Weekly Video: Dollar Strikes Back, Stocks Hit Records & Gold Shines

In this episode of Pro News, we cover the biggest stories moving global markets:

💵 US Dollar – Political turmoil in Europe & Japan lifts the greenback, while Fed policy expectations add momentum.

📈 Stocks – The S&P 500 logs its 23rd record close of 2025, with Oracle soaring 36% in one day.

🥇 Gold – Geopolitical tensions drive gold to fresh record highs despite a stronger dollar.

🪙 Bitcoin – Crypto recovers after late summer lows, with stock market gains offering support.

👉 Plus, a preview of the upcoming central bank meetings that could set the stage for September.

🔔 Like, share and subscribe for more weekly updates from FxPro!

Gold is vulnerable to sell-the-fact pattern next week

Gold reacts strongly to geopolitics and has reached another record high, rising for the fourth week in a row. Washington is ready to wage economic war on the Kremlin's main allies, India and China, if Brussels supports it. As a result, there is an increased risk that central banks will step up their gold purchases as part of their reserve diversification and de-dollarisation processes.

Geopolitics has made the precious metal less sensitive to the Fed's monetary policy. Even the resurgent US dollar has been unable to put a spoke in gold's wheel. Neither could the White House's announcement that it would exclude this asset from the list of potential tariffs.

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⚠️ Russia — Key bank rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 18%

🕒 Exp: 16%

🎯 Fact.: 17% 📈

BNB Wave Analysis – 12 September 2025

- BNB broke resistance level 895.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 950.00

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Ethereum Wave Analysis – 12 September 2025

- Ethereum reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 4750.00

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