⚠️ USA — Core PCE Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | 2.9%

🕒 Exp: 0.2% | 2.9%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% | 2.9%

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⚠️ Canada — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -0.1% | 0.9%

🕒 Exp: 0.1% | 0.7%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% 📈 | 0.9% 📈

What is ahead: Nonfarm Payrolls

Don't fight the Fed. The central bank has made it clear that it will closely monitor the labour market situation. It prefers unemployment to inflation, and investors should do the same. In this regard, the US employment report for September is becoming the key event of the week leading up to October 3rd.

After non-farm payrolls slowed from more than 100K in January-March to 29K in June-August, the Fed reasonably lowered the federal funds rate. However, FOMC members are divided on its future. The median forecast suggests a drop from 4.25% to 3.75% by the end of the year. Seven officials do not see any further reduction in the cost of borrowing, while two see the need for only one reduction.

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🇺🇸 US pre-market

📈 Positive dynamics prevail in the US stocks.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.57%, while Apple (AAPL) shares are down -0.80%.

In the Technology Services sector, Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up +0.92%, while Google (GOOGL) shares are up +1.09%.

In the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up +1.21%, while Walmart (WMT) is down insignificantly by -0.05%.

The positive movement among the largest companies is contributing to a moderate inflow of capital into the market, which may support the stability of the dollar through increased investment interest and reduced volatility.

GBPCHF Wave Analysis – 26 September 2025

- GBPCHF reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.0800

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EURGBP Wave Analysis – 26 September 2025

- EURGBP reversed from long-term resistance level 0.8735

- Likely to fall to support level 0.8700

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Glencore Wave Analysis – 26 September 2025

- Glencore broke key resistance level 3.2525

- Likely to rise to resistance level 3.600

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S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 26 September 2025

S&P 500: ⬆️ Buy

- &P 500 index reversed from support level 6600.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/09/27 (GMT)

14:00 🇳🇿 Daylight Saving Time Shift


[Updated in real time]

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/09/29 (GMT)

11:30 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Christopher J. Waller Speaks

12:00 🇬🇧 BOE Deputy Governor for Markets & Banking Sir David Ramsden Speaks

14:00 🇺🇸 Pending Home Sales — Exp: 0.2% Actual: 4.0% | 3.8%


[Updated in real time]

Crypto market attempts to form a double bottom

The crypto market has been gaining since the start of the day on Friday, adding 3.5% during this time to $3.85 trillion, but still 1.3% below the level of a week earlier. The rebound is coming from roughly the same levels as in early September. Once again, altcoins are recovering stronger than BTC. Such outperformance in the early stages of recovery often indicates the future winners of the race, which in this case are altcoins.

The sentiment index fell to 28 on Friday but recovered to 50 by Monday. The approach to the extreme fear zone seems to have activated optimists, who began to buy back the drawdown. However, cautious traders will likely prefer to wait for the results of the 50-day moving average test, which is currently passing through $3.92 trillion.

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🇺🇸 US pre-market

📈The US stocks are showing positive dynamics.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.98%, and AMD (AMD) shares are up +0.56%.

In the finance sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up +0.47%, while Bank of America (BAC) shares are up +0.44%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) shares are up +1.41%, while General Motors (GM) shares are up +0.70%.

Strong growth in leading sectors and large companies is supporting a steady inflow of capital, which could strengthen the dollar by increasing demand for US assets.

Oil: producers intensify battle for market share

Bullish sentiment on global stock and commodity markets supported the prevailing positive mood in oil prices last week. However, on Friday, the price turned downwards when it touched the 200-day moving average. This is due not only to technical factors but also to a set of fundamental reasons.

The latest weekly data on stocks and production reinforce the position of oil sellers. On Friday, Baker Hughes noted an increase in the number of active oil rigs to 424 (+6 for the week and +14 from the low in early August). Although this is significantly lower than the levels at the beginning of the year, when the latest decline began, it still resembles a trend that points to increased activity among US oil producers and their renewed confidence in the need to invest in the sector.

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Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 29 September 2025

- Bitcoin reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 117325.00

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BNB Wave Analysis – 29 September 2025

- BNB reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 117325.00

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Silver Wave Analysis – 29 September 2025

- Silver broke resistance area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 48.00

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WTI Wave Analysis – 29 September 2025

- WTI reversed from resistance level 65.25

- Likely to fall to support level 61.70

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/09/30 (GMT)

01:30 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 49.6 Actual: 49.8

01:30 🇨🇳 Non-Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 50.3 Actual: 50.0

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 50.3 Actual: 51.2

01:45 🇨🇳 Markit Services PMI — Exp: 52.4 Actual: 52.9

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 3.60% Actual: 3.60%

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Rate Statement

05:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Media Conference

06:00 🇬🇧 Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.3% | 1.2% Actual: 0.3% | 1.4%

07:55 🇩🇪 Unemployment Change — Exp: 10K Actual: 14K

07:55 🇩🇪 Unemployment Rate — Exp: 6.3% Actual: 6.3%

12:00 🇩🇪 Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.1% | 2.3% Actual: 0.2% | 2.4%

12:00 🇩🇪 Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised — Exp: 0.1% | 2.2% Actual: 0.2% | 2.4%

12:50 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

13:00 🇺🇸 S&P/Case-Shiller 20 City — Exp: 1.7% Actual: 1.8%

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ JOLTs Job Openings — Exp: 7190K Actual: 7230K

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ CB Consumer Confidence — Exp: 96.0 Actual: 94.2

23:50 🇯🇵 Tankan Manufacturing Index — Exp: 14

23:50 🇯🇵 Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index — Exp: 33

23:50 🇯🇵 Tankan Large All Industry Capex

23:50 🇯🇵 Tankan Large Manufacturers Outlook — Exp: 13

23:50 🇯🇵 Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook — Exp: 29


[Updated in real time]