🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/10/18 (GMT)

13:00 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

13:30 🇬🇧 ⚡️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ UK — BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks at 13:30 GMT

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/10/19 (GMT)

21:45 🇳🇿 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.8% | 3.0%


[Updated in real time]

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/10/20 (GMT)

01:00 🇨🇳 Loan Prime Rate — Exp: 3.00% | 3.50% Actual: 3.00% | 3.50%

02:00 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Real GDP — Exp: 4.7% Actual: 4.8%

02:00 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Real GDP (YTD) — Exp: 5.1% Actual: 5.2%

02:00 🇨🇳 Fixed Asset Investment — Exp: 0.1% Actual: -0.5%

02:00 🇨🇳 Industrial Production — Exp: 5.0% | 6.1% Actual: 6.5% | 6.2%

02:00 🇨🇳 NBS Press Conference

21:45 🇳🇿 Trade Balance


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ New Zealand — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.5% | 2.7%

🕒 Exp: 0.9% | 3.0%

🎯 Fact.: 1.0% 📈 | 3.0%

⚠️ China — Real GDP at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 5.2%

🕒 Exp: 4.7%

🎯 Fact.: 4.8% 📈

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⚠️ China — Real GDP (YTD) at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 5.3%

🕒 Exp: 5.1%

🎯 Fact.: 5.2% 📈

The crypto market rebounded from the 200-day MA, confirming the bull trend

The crypto market cap grew by 3.9% over the past 24 hours to $3.77 trillion. The decline was interrupted in the middle of the day on Friday as it approached the 200-day moving average. At this important long-term trend line, cryptocurrencies saw an influx of buyers. This could be confirmation of the prevailing strategy of buying on dips, but it could also turn out to be a temporary reload for the bears. The latter scenario will be confirmed if the market fails to exceed $3.95 trillion, the area of recent highs.

The cryptocurrency sentiment index is at 29 (fear) for the last two days, with a dip into extreme fear on Friday and Saturday. According to the logic of the index creators, a dip into extreme fear is a good buying opportunity. So far, this logic has worked, but it would have been wrong in February, as the market was under pressure until April.

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Oil prices could fall another 15% by the end of the year

Crude oil prices fell 0.7% on Monday after three consecutive weeks of decline. Global production is growing while global economic growth is slowing, putting pressure on prices. In addition, the risk premium on signing the gas agreement and intensifying efforts to resolve the Ukrainian conflict has begun to decline. At the same time, oil prices are far from oversold, leaving room for further decline in the coming months.

Baker Hughes reported on Friday that 418 oil rigs are operating in the US, the same as a week earlier, undermining the recovery trend seen since August. However, America is increasing production efficiency, extracting more oil from each well.

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🇺🇸 US pre-market

📈The US stocks show mostly positive dynamics before the regular session opens.

In the Electronic Technology sector, Apple (AAPL) shares are up +1.82%, while AMD (AMD) shares are up +1.78%.

In the Finance sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up +0.24%, while Goldman Sachs (GS) shares are up +0.57%.

In the Technology Services sector, Google (GOOGL) shares are up +0.42%, while Meta Platforms (META) shares are up +0.50%.

Broad growth among sector leaders and an increase in the capitalization of the largest companies support investor interest in the US stock market. They may stimulate the strengthening of the dollar due to new investment flows into US assets.

EURCHF Wave Analysis – 20 October 2025

- EURCHF reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9270

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FTSE 100 Wave Analysis – 20 October 2025

FTSE 100: ⬆️ Buy

- FTSE 100 reversed from key support level 9330.00

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Amazon Wave Analysis – 20 October 2025

- Amazon reversed from support level 210.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 220.00

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XRP Wave Analysis – 20 October 2025

- XRP reversed from key support level 2.200

- Likely to rise to resistance level 2.650

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/10/21 (GMT)

11:00 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

12:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: -0.1% | 2.3% Actual: 0.1% | 2.4%

12:30 🇨🇦 Core CPI Actual: 0.2% | 2.8%

12:30 🇨🇦 Common Core CPI — Exp: 2.6% Actual: 2.7%

12:30 🇨🇦 Trimmed Core CPI — Exp: 3.0% Actual: 3.1%

12:30 🇨🇦 Median Core CPI — Exp: 3.0% Actual: 3.2%


[Updated in real time]

Bitcoin: bull market may be in its final stages

The crypto market capitalisation fell by 3.1% to $3.65 trillion during the day. The bulls failed to push the market above the recent highs of $3.95 trillion, and we are seeing the formation of an active short-term downtrend. This will be confirmed if the next local low is $3.35 trillion. These levels are already below the 200-day average, which will attract the attention of long-term sellers. So, we continue to closely monitor market dynamics near $3.5 trillion, where a meaningful moving average is located.

Bitcoin at $108K has again fallen to its 200-day moving average. It is pointing upwards and is now 30% higher than the levels seen in March-April, when BTC last dipped below it. The spring scenario of prolonged consolidation around a critical line and a further breakout now looks like a hopeful scenario for bulls. However, there are still risks that the first prerequisites for the next prolonged bear market are forming.

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