The dollar awaits the rate forecast

The fate of the US dollar depends on capital flows and hawkish rhetoric from the Fed.

Japan's economic weakness is weighing on the yen, while the RBA is expected to keep rates at 3.6%

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▶️ Gold. Current situation #tradelikeapro #trading #tradingstrategy #gold #goldprice #tradingshorts

Today is Monday, December 8th, and we will talk about the gold market.

Let's take a look at what's happening there.

#tradelikeapro #trading #tradingstrategy #gold #goldprice #tradingshorts

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/12/09 (GMT)

03:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 3.60% Actual: 3.60%

03:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Rate Statement

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Media Conference

09:00 🇯🇵 ⚡️ BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda Speaks

13:15 🇺🇸 ⚡️ ADP Weekly Employment Change Actual: 4.8K

14:15 🇬🇧 Monetary Policy Report Hearings

15:00 🇺🇸 JOLTs Job Openings — Exp: 7200K Actual: 7660K

15:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ JOLTs Job Openings — Exp: 7140K Actual: 7670K

19:10 🇳🇿 RBNZ Governor Anna Breman Speaks


[Updated in real time]

USDJPY Wave Analysis – 8 December 2025

- USDJPY reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 158.00

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Dogecoin Wave Analysis – 8 December 2025

- Dogecoin reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 158.00

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Tesla Wave Analysis – 8 December 2025

- Tesla reversed from pivotal resistance level 464.00

- Likely to fall to support level 420.00.

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Comcast Wave Analysis – 8 December 2025

- Comcast reversed from key resistance level 28.00

- Likely to fall to support level 26.00

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⚠️ Australia — RBA Interest Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 3.60%

🕒 Exp: 3.60%

🎯 Fact.: 3.60%

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⚠️ Australia — RBA Media Conference at 04:30 GMT

⚠️ Japan — BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda Speaks at 09:00 GMT

Crypto market awaits the final battle of the year

The crypto market lost just over 1% in 24 hours to $3.08T, falling back to the consolidation levels of late November. Attempts to shake up the market at the beginning of this month were unsuccessful for both bulls and bears. Excluding this impulse, the market has been treading water for almost two weeks, hovering around the 23.6% correction rebound line from the October-November decline. Such a shallow rebound could be a sign of a strong bear market, but this will only be confirmed if November's lows of $2.73T are updated.

Bitcoin is trading near $90K, having crossed this level for the fifth consecutive day. An upward trend line can be drawn through the lows of late November, but BTC is now trading dangerously close to this line. At the same time, horizontal resistance has formed in the $92K area, bringing the positions of bulls and bears closer together over time and promising a decisive battle by the end of this week. It could not only be the last significant battle of the year but also determine the trend for the coming months.

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Gold spooked by Fed’s hawkish stance

Gold has retreated from local highs amid concerns about the Fed's hawkish stance on further rate moves. The futures market does not doubt that policy will be eased following the FOMC meeting on 9–10 December. However, to find a compromise within the Committee, Jerome Powell will most likely opt for hawkish rhetoric during the press conference. Precious metals risk losing their key advantage as the dollar strengthens.

Bears are counting on gold prices falling below $4,000 as the cycle of monetary policy easing begins to lose momentum. Derivatives are expecting two rate cuts in 2026, although a week ago, they were expecting three. According to the Bank for International Settlements, the Fed's policy easing was the primary contributor to the 60% increase in gold prices in 2025.

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⚠️ USA — ADP Weekly Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -13.5K

🎯 Fact.: 4.8K

🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly negative 📉

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up 0.31%, while Broadcom (AVGO) is down 0.38%.

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are down 0.66%, and Microsoft (MSFT) shares are down 0.18%.

In the Finance sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down 0.03%, while Visa (V) is down 0.05%.

The prevalence of declines in large-cap technology and service companies could trigger a partial exit of investors from stocks, creating additional pressure on the dollar in the near term.

⚠️ USA — JOLTs Job Openings at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 7660K

🕒 Exp: 7140K

🎯 Fact.: 7670K 📈

The dollar is vulnerable to shocks

Tariffs have changed the status of the dollar, and the Fed may help it.

The ECB and RBA could hike rates in 2026.

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EURJPY Wave Analysis – 9 December 2025

- EURJPY broke key resistance level 182.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 184.00

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Ethereum Wave Analysis – 9 December 2025

- Ethereum broke daily down channel

- Likely to rise to resistance level 3600.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/12/10 (GMT)

01:30 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: 0.7% Actual: 0.7%

01:30 🇨🇳 Producer Price Index — Exp: -2.0% Actual: -2.2%

10:55 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

13:30 🇺🇸 Employment Cost Index — Exp: 0.9% Actual: 0.8%

14:45 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Overnight Rate — Exp: 2.25% Actual: 2.25%

14:45 🇨🇦 ⚡️ BOC Rate Statement

15:30 🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories — Exp: -1200K Actual: -1812K

19:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ FOMC Rate Decision — Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75%

19:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ FOMC Economic Projections

19:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ FOMC Statement

19:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ FOMC Press Conference

23:50 🇯🇵 BSI Manufacturing Index — Exp: 4.2


[Updated in real time]