⚠️ UK — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.4% | 3.6%

🕒 Exp: 0.0% | 3.5%

🎯 Fact.: -0.2% 📉 | 3.2% 📉

The crypto rebound fades with a 40% drop possible

The crypto market capitalisation has changed little over the past 24 hours to $2.96T, remaining close to its late November lows. In the short term, the situation suggests that the rebound has run its course, and we should prepare for a new downward momentum, similar to what was observed in early October. If it falls below $2.75T, it will open a direct path to the $1.8T area, according to the Fibonacci extension pattern. Very close by, in the $1.8T–$1.9T area, is the area of local lows for 2024, which reinforces its importance.

Bitcoin rose to $88K on Tuesday and then returned below $87K on Wednesday afternoon. As with the market as a whole, we are seeing impressive selling pressure with short pauses for a rebound. Bitcoin is still underperforming the stock market. However, this time we see it more as a sign of internal weakness in the crypto market and widespread profit-taking, rather than a bad omen for stocks, but it cannot be completely ruled out.

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🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mixed 📈 📉

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are up 0.29%, while Microsoft (MSFT) shares are up 0.12%.

In the finance sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up 0.46%, while Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down slightly by 0.01%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) shares are down 0.46%, while in the Retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up 1.00%.

Mixed dynamics in key sectors and the absence of a clear trend among companies with the largest market capitalisation maintain uncertainty regarding the investment climate, which creates short-term instability for the dollar.

The labour market did not scare the Fed

The Fed is in no hurry to cut rates, and Hassett is unlikely to accelerate the Fed's cycle.

The yen is concerned about the carry trade, while the ECB breathed a sigh of relief.

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Silver Wave Analysis – 17 December 2025

- Silver broke resistance zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 70.00

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Platinum Wave Analysis – 17 December 2025

- Platinum broke resistance level 1800.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 2000.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/12/18 (GMT)

00:00 🇦🇺 MI Inflation Expectations Actual: 4.7%

12:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75%

12:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes — Exp: 0-5-4 Actual: 0-5-4

12:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Monetary Policy Summary

12:30 🇬🇧 ⚡️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

13:15 🇪🇺 ⚡️ ECB Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 2.15% Actual: 2.15

13:15 🇪🇺 Deposit Facility Rate — Exp: 2.00% Actual: 2.00%

13:15 🇪🇺 Marginal lending facility — Exp: 2.40% Actual: 2.40%

13:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Claims — Exp: 225K Actual: 224K

13:30 🇺🇸 Continuing Claims — Exp: 1940K Actual: 1897K

13:30 🇺🇸 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index — Exp: 2.5 Actual: -10.2

13:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: | 3.1% Actual: 0.2% | 2.7%

13:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Core CPI — Exp: | 3.0% Actual: 0.2% | 2.6%

13:45 🇪🇺 ⚡️ ECB Press Conference

21:45 🇳🇿 Trade Balance — Exp: -1185M

23:30 🇯🇵 ⚡️ National Consumer Price Index

23:30 🇯🇵 National Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food — Exp: 3.0%


[Updated in real time]

Comcast Wave Analysis – 17 December 2025

- Comcast broke resistance area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 31.00

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Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 17 December 2025

Dow Jones: ⬇️ Sell

- Dow Jones reversed from resistance level 49000.00

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⚠️ New Zealand — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -1.0% | -1.1%

🕒 Exp: 0.9% | 1.3%

🎯 Fact.: 1.1% 📈 | 1.3%

⚠️ UK — Bank of England Interest Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.00%

🕒 Exp: 3.75%

🎯 Fact.: 3.75%

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⚠️ UK — MPC Official Bank Rate Votes at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0-4-5

🕒 Exp: 0-5-4

🎯 Fact.: 0-5-4

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⚠️ UK — BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks at 12:30 GMT

⚠️ EU — ECB Interest Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 2.15%

🕒 Exp: 2.15%

🎯 Fact.: 2.15

The dollar’s wings have been clipped

Christopher Waller's dovish rhetoric halted the bears' attack on EURUSD.

Slowing British inflation caused the pound to fall, while the Bank of Japan is preparing to raise rates.

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 237K

🕒 Exp: 225K

🎯 Fact.: 224K 📈

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⚠️ USA — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.3% | 3.0%

🕒 Exp: | 3.1%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% | 2.7% 📉

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⚠️ USA — Core CPI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | 3.0%

🕒 Exp: | 3.0%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% | 2.6% 📉

Bitcoin is holding, while Solana is on the edge

The crypto market capitalisation fell to $2.91T (-2.4% for the day). The surge at the start of the US session on Wednesday only fuelled the bears, who drove the market down to $2.89T by the end of the day, retreating only slightly from these lows. Under intense pressure, the major old altcoins — Ethereum, XRP, and Solana — retreated to multi-month lows, losing about 4% over the past 24 hours.

Bitcoin is trading near $87K, roughly where it was the day before. A sharp jump in price above $90K hit a wall of selling, and now just above this round level is a significant short-term resistance line, which was support until 14 December. However, it is also difficult for the market to find reasons to go below the $85K level, from which the price has been rebounding since the beginning of the week. Additionally, it is worth noting that BTC is trading significantly above its late November lows of $80K, outperforming major altcoins.

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⚠️ EU — ECB Press Conference at 13:45 GMT

🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly positive 📈

In the technology sector, Apple (AAPL) shares are up +0.29%, and NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +2.02%.

In the communications services sector, Meta Platforms (META) shares are up 1.00% and Netflix (NFLX) shares are up 0.51%.

In the retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up 1.82% and Home Depot (HD) shares are up 1.21%.

The prevalence of growth among the largest companies and high activity in the technology and retail segments are helping to attract investment capital to US assets and supporting the strengthening of the dollar.

▶️ GBPUSD. Current situation #tradelikeapro #trading #tradingstrategy #tradingshorts #gbpusd #gbp

Today is Thursday, the 18th of December, and we'll be talking about the British pound market where the upward forecast is playing out very well.

#tradelikeapro #trading #tradingstrategy #tradingshorts #gbpusd #gbp

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