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Risk-on, but not for Crypto

The crypto market capitalisation grew by 0.67% over the past day to $2.99 trillion. Bulls are seeking to take advantage of increased risk appetite in traditional markets but are facing increased selling pressure as they approach the $3 trillion mark. Of course, this is not one big β€˜battle for crypto,’ but a series of separate battles in cryptocurrencies, where the flagships are doing slightly better, with Ethereum, BNB, XRP, and Solana gaining about 1.5% over the past 24 hours.

Bitcoin is up 0.6% on the day, trading above $88K, having encountered increased selling pressure over the last two days in attempts to climb above $89K, despite the collapse of the dollar, which has already helped the stock and metals markets. At times, it seems that speculators' capital and attention are now focused exclusively on precious metals (mainly gold and silver), and there is simply no strength left for crypto.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US pre-market: Mostly positive πŸ“ˆ

In the Electronic Technology sector, Apple (AAPL) shares are up +1.57%, while NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are up +0.36%.

In the retail sector, Amazon (AMZN) shares are up +0.64%, while Walmart (WMT) shares are down slightly by -0.11%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) shares are up +0.36%, while Chevron (CVX) shares are up +0.09%.

The prevalence of growth among the market's largest companies indicates an increase in risk appetite, which limits the short-term potential for the dollar to strengthen.
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⚠️ USA β€” CB Consumer Confidence at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 94.2

πŸ•’ Exp: 90.6

🎯 Fact.: 84.5 πŸ“‰
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▢️ Pro News Flash: Dollar Slips as EUR/USD Targets 2021 Highs

πŸ’Ά EUR/USD is pushing toward its highest levels since 2021 as the US dollar comes under broad pressure from capital rotation and rising macro uncertainty.

πŸ“‰ The dollar index has returned to last year’s lower bound, driven by portfolio diversification away from US assets, slowing growth concerns, and aggressive unwinding of carry trades. ETF data shows $17 billion flowing out of US-focused funds, while emerging markets attract record inflows.

🌍 Capital is moving decisively offshore. Since the start of January, emerging market ETFs have pulled in $134 billion, marking the strongest start to a year since 2012. Europe and Japan are also seeing inflows, though on a smaller scale.

πŸ’± Carry trades are back in focus. With rate differentials still wide, major banks including Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Citigroup expect the strategy to remain effective through 2026, favoring currencies backed by tight monetary policy and credible central banks.

πŸ›οΈ Political risk is adding fuel. Rising odds of a US government shutdown and rumors of coordinated FX intervention between the US and Japan are weighing further on the greenback, while expectations grow for earlier Fed easing.

⚠️ With the White House openly favoring a weaker dollar to boost competitiveness, the EUR/USD rally may still have room to run.

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πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/01/28 (GMT)

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Consumer Prices Index β€” Exp: 0.7% | 3.6% Actual: 1.0% | 3.8%

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Trimmed Mean CPI β€” Exp: 0.2% | 3.2% Actual: 0.2% | 3.3%

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Weighted Median Actual: 0.2% | 3.6%

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Consumer Prices Index β€” Exp: 0.7% | 3.6% Actual: 1.0% | 3.8%

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Trimmed Mean CPI β€” Exp: 0.8% | 3.2% Actual: 0.9% | 3.4%

00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Weighted Median β€” Exp: 0.9% | 3.2% Actual: 0.9% | 3.2%

14:45 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ ⚑️ Overnight Rate β€” Exp: 2.25% Actual: 2.25%

14:45 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ ⚑️ BOC Rate Statement

14:45 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ ⚑️ BOC Monetary Policy Report

15:30 πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ ⚑️ BOC Press Conference

15:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -200K Actual: -2296K

19:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Rate Decision β€” Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75%

19:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Statement

19:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ FOMC Press Conference

21:45 πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ Trade Balance β€” Exp: 40M


[Updated in real time]
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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/01/28 (GMT) 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Consumer Prices Index β€” Exp: 0.7% | 3.6% Actual: 1.0% | 3.8% 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Trimmed Mean CPI β€” Exp: 0.2% | 3.2% Actual: 0.2% | 3.3% 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί RBA Weighted Median Actual: 0.2% | 3.6% 00:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Consumer…»
⚠️ Australia β€” Consumer Prices Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.0% | 3.4%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.7% | 3.6%

🎯 Fact.: 1.0% πŸ“ˆ | 3.8% πŸ“ˆ
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This is just a mild crypto winter

The crypto market capitalisation rose by another 1.1% over 24 hours to $3.02 trillion, mirroring the dollar's weakening during this period. But this strengthening looks pale, as high-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies often move in much larger steps. For example, along with an 8% weakening of the dollar from April to June last year, Bitcoin rose by more than 50%. Without delving too deeply into history, it is easy to see that the 4% drop in the dollar index in less than two weeks was met with a 30% jump in silver and a 15% jump in gold. The US S&P 500 is also rewriting historical highs. Against this backdrop, even a slight increase in market capitalisation looks like a mild winter for cryptocurrencies, and a deeper decline is only a matter of time.

Bitcoin continues to attempt to consolidate above $89K. This resistance level, approaching a round number, is reinforced by the 50-day moving average. BTC's position relative to this curve indicates a bearish market. Due to a relatively favourable external environment, it has managed to successfully defend support near $85K. Still, fluctuations about a third below the highs of the last two months are cause for pessimism. Neither institutional demand nor the president's pro-cryptocurrency administration has helped to overcome the accumulated fatigue after the rally of the previous three years.

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