Brent chooses its path

Investors are assessing whether the 2022 or 2025 oil scenario will play out.

Releasing reserves will not necessarily lower oil prices.

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🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly negative 📉

Most major stocks are trading in the red, indicating the dominance of risk-off sentiment.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares remain unchanged at 0.00%, while Apple (AAPL) shares are down -0.24%.

In the finance sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.20%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are down -0.59%.

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are down -0.31%, while Microsoft (MSFT) shares are virtually unchanged, down -0.03%.

Given the decline in the prices of the largest liquid companies, the premarket reflects a flight from risk within the US market. This creates fertile ground for short-term demand for defensive dollar assets and may provide moderate support for the US dollar exchange rate.

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/03/12 (GMT)

09:30 🇬🇧 BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Claims — Exp: 214K Actual: 213K

12:30 🇺🇸 Continuing Claims — Exp: 1850K Actual: 1850K

12:30 🇺🇸 Trade Balance — Exp: -66.6B Actual: -54.5B

12:30 🇺🇸 Building Permits — Exp: 1420K Actual: 1376K | -5.4%

12:30 🇺🇸 Housing Starts — Exp: 1340K Actual: 1487K | 7.2%

12:30 🇨🇦 Trade Balance — Exp: -1.2B Actual: -3.6B


[Updated in real time]

Boeing Wave Analysis – 5 March 2026

- Boeing falling inside impulse wave iii

- Likely to fall to support level 207.85

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Alcoa Wave Analysis – 11 March 2026

- Alcoa reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 68.20

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▶️ Silver. Heading up? #tradelikeapro #trading #silver #silverprice #tradingshorts #tradingshortvideo

Today is Thursday, the 12th of March 2026.

Right now, silver is probably one of the hottest markets, maybe second only to oil, which is clearly being driven by news.

#tradelikeapro #trading #silver #silverprice #tradingshorts #tradingshortvideo

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Oil is now a key macro factor

Oil proved to be more important than inflation for the dollar.

USDJPY is approaching the intervention zone of 162–164.

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⚠️ USA — Unemployment Claims at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 214K

🕒 Exp: 214K

🎯 Fact.: 213K 📈

🇺🇸 US pre-market: Mostly negative 📉

Pressure concentrated on the largest companies.

In the finance sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.42%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are down -1.47%.

In the electronics sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are down -0.72%, while Broadcom (AVGO) is down -1.05%.

In the Technology Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are down -0.78%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is down -0.46%.

The prevailing decline in the prices of large-cap stocks indicates a moderate shift away from risk within the US market: interest in defensive dollar assets and Treasury bonds is growing, which is providing background support for the dollar, although the scale of the movement remains modest for now.

The crypto market has stopped noticing stock market problems

The crypto market has been holding steady at around $2.4 trillion for the third day in a row. Current values are slightly above those from seven days ago ($2.35 trillion) and slightly below those from 30 days ago ($2.45 trillion), meaning that, for over a month now, prices have been stuck in a narrow range after the collapse in the second half of January. This lull may well continue. For comparison, the previous consolidation took more than two months, even though it occurred in a wider corridor.

Bitcoin is feeling more confident at levels near $70K, settling at the upper limit of the consolidation range of the last four weeks. It is difficult for Bitcoin to grow amid a strengthening dollar and falling stock indices. But the very fact that it is holding steady against this backdrop supports hopes for a fundamental change in sentiment compared to previous months, when almost any news was a reason to sell BTC.

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/03/13 (GMT)

07:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.2% | 0.3% Actual: 0.0% | 0.2%

07:00 🇬🇧 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.2% | 0.6% Actual: -0.1% | 0.4%

07:00 🇬🇧 Manufacturing Production — Exp: 0.2% | 1.5% Actual: 0.1% | 1.3%

07:00 🇬🇧 Goods Trade Balance — Exp: -22.1B Actual: -14.4B

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 1.4% Actual: 0.7%

12:30 🇺🇸 Core Personal Consumption Expenditure — Exp: 2.7% Actual: 2.7%

12:30 🇺🇸 GDP Price Index — Exp: 3.6% Actual: 3.8%

12:30 🇺🇸 Durable Goods Orders — Exp: 1.1% | 0.5% Actual: 0.0% | 0.4%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Core PCE Price Index — Exp: 0.4% | 3.1% Actual: 0.4% | 3.1%

12:30 🇺🇸 Personal Spending — Exp: 0.3% Actual: 0.4%

12:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Employment Change — Exp: 10.3K Actual: -83.9K

12:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 6.6% Actual: 6.7%

12:30 🇨🇦 Part-Time Employment Change Actual: -108.4K | 24.5K

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ JOLTs Job Openings — Exp: 6760K Actual: 6950K

14:00 🇺🇸 UoM Consumer Sentiment — Exp: 55.0 Actual: 55.5


[Updated in real time]

Qualcomm Wave Analysis – 12 March 2026

- Qualcomm broke support level 133.40

- Likely to fall to support level 125.00

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EURNZD Wave Analysis – 12 March 2026

- EURNZD reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.9800

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Disney Wave Analysis – 12 March 2026

- Disney reversed from resistance level 102.50

- Likely to fall to support level 98.35

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AUDCAD Wave Analysis – 12 March 2026

- AUDCAD reversed from resistance area

- Likely to fall to support level 0.9600

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⚠️ UK — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.1% | 0.1%

🕒 Exp: 0.2% | 0.3%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% 📉 | 0.2% 📉

Bitcoin, facing headwinds, may not have enough strength

The crypto market cap has risen 2% over the past 24 hours, to $2.43T, close to the upper limit of last month's range and slightly below last week's mid-range. We continue to note the positive momentum in cryptocurrencies, in contrast to the pressure on the Nasdaq 100 and gold prices. However, we believe this divergence is short-term and will only continue until traditional markets begin to collapse. At the same time, the markets are now testing key technical support levels, forcing cryptocurrency traders to stay on guard.

Bitcoin has exceeded $71.5K, approaching its 50-day moving average. External factors are acting as a headwind, including rising oil and dollar prices, as well as the Nasdaq100 and S&P 500 indices falling to their 200-day lows. We doubt Bitcoin will have the strength to withstand the wind for long, and internal resistance may soon become a significant obstacle to growth.

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The euro weighs up the risks

The fate of the eurozone economy depends on oil prices.

Japan warns of currency interventions.

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