🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/06/15 (GMT)

07:15 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

12:30 🇺🇸 Empire State Manufacturing Index — Exp: 13.2 Actual: 5.7

13:15 🇺🇸 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.3% Actual: 0.1%


[Updated in real time]

Bitcoin at $66K as US-Iran Deal Revives Risk Appetite

The crypto market capitalisation has risen by 1.8% over the past 24 hours to $2.24 trillion, spurred by the preliminary agreement between the US and Iran to end the conflict. Risk appetite has surged, pushing the crypto market towards the upper boundary of the upward channel it has been trading within since 6 June. Technically, cryptocurrencies found support on touching the 200-week moving average, indicating that the long-term positive outlook remains intact. On the other hand, the short-term view suggests that a recovery up to $2.30T could be interpreted as a corrective bounce following the downward momentum from May’s highs.

Bitcoin is trading near $66K, up 2.4% over the past 24 hours. This recovery towards the February-April lows could serve as a good test for the bulls. If the recovery stalls near current levels, there will be reason to suggest the rebound is nearing its end and that further declines are possible. If, however, the previous support level does not turn into resistance, bullish sentiment will rise significantly in the coming days.

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The yen: time for a hike!

• The Bank of Japan is ready to raise the overnight rate.

• Speculators are closing out their long positions on the US dollar.

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S&P 500: on track for a recovery

SpaceX’s success and geopolitics are driving the S&P 500 higher.

Investors are hoping for future Fed rate cuts.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Positive 📈

The US stock market is showing a positive trend in pre-market trading, with most of the largest companies by market cap trading higher, reflecting strong risk appetite.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 1.33%, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is up 3.98%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 1.45%.

In the Communication Services sector, Netflix (NFLX) is up 0.21%.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.69%, while Morgan Stanley (MS) is up 1.46%.

In the foreign exchange market, this risk-on sentiment and capital inflows into US equities are limiting demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Support for the USD from safe-haven flows is minimal, and in the short term, dollar performance may remain subdued and largely neutral as long as investor interest in risk assets persists.

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/06/16 (GMT)

02:00 🇨🇳 Fixed Asset Investment — Exp: -2.3% Actual: -4.1%

02:00 🇨🇳 Industrial Production — Exp: 4.3% Actual: 4.5% | 5.4%

02:00 🇨🇳 NBS Press Conference

03:19 🇯🇵 ⚡️ Overnight Call Rate — Exp: 1.00% Actual: 1.00%

03:19 🇯🇵 ⚡️ Monetary Policy Statement

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 4.35% Actual: 4.35%

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Rate Statement

05:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Media Conference

06:30 🇯🇵 ⚡️ BOJ Press Conference

09:00 🇩🇪 ZEW Economic Sentiment — Exp: -5.5 Actual: 10.5

09:00 🇩🇪 ZEW Survey (Current Situation) — Exp: -77.0 Actual: -81.0

09:00 🇪🇺 ZEW Economic Sentiment — Exp: -7.6 Actual: 9.5

12:30 🇺🇸 Building Permits — Exp: 1420K Actual: 1413K | -0.7%

12:30 🇺🇸 Housing Starts — Exp: 1430K Actual: 1177K | -15.4%


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ Japan — Overnight Call Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.75%

🕒 Exp: 1.00%

🎯 Fact.: 1.00%

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⚠️ Australia — RBA Interest Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.35%

🕒 Exp: 4.35%

🎯 Fact.: 4.35%

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Stellar Wave Analysis – 16 June 2026

- Stellar reversed from key support level 0.1810

- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.2500

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⚠️ Australia — RBA Media Conference at 05:30 GMT

Solana Wave Analysis – 16 June 2026

- Solana reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 80.00

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⚠️ Japan — BOJ Press Conference at 06:30 GMT

Crypto: growth without the euphoria

The crypto market capitalisation rose to $2.3 trillion by the end of Monday, before falling back to $2.27 trillion at the time of writing. The market recovery trend continues, but the relatively cautious pace of growth suggests we are far from euphoria. This looks more like a phase of asset consolidation by major players, which means the rally will have to wait a while. Among the most active coins, the growth leaders were Stellar (+14.8%), Uniswap (+14.2%) and Aave (+7%). The underperformers were Toncoin (-5.6%), Official Trump (-3.3%) and The Graph (-3.2%).

Bitcoin is trading near $66.3K, up just under 1% over the past 24 hours, but some distance from Monday’s intraday highs, which were approximately $1K higher. The price rise is occurring within a channel that formed 10 days ago. On Monday, the price confirmed this channel by touching and pulling back from its upper boundary, but it remains at the top of the range. Provided the positive momentum continues, we see the $68K area (the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level) as the nearest technical resistance to price growth. A more distant signal of market strength would be a firm consolidation above the 50-day moving average, which currently exceeds $73K.

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Brent: The key to the mystery lies in TACO

It wasn’t just the US and China that contributed to the fall in oil prices.

Traders bet that Trump always chickens out.

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▶️ Silver. Situation Update

Today is Tuesday, the 16th of June, and we're going to talk about the silver market again.

Let's take a closer look at what's happening there...

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SpaceX Stock Now Available to Trade with FxPro

We’re excited to announce that SpaceX SPCX.O is now available for trading at FxPro. In one of the most closely watched market debuts in recent history, the company raised $75 billion in the largest IPO on record.

A Historic Market Debut

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Negative 📉

Negative sentiment is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with declines clearly dominating among the largest names by market cap, setting a cautious tone ahead of the open.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.66%, Intel (INTC) is down 2.32%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is down 0.69%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.22%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 0.41%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is down 0.06%.

Pressure is clearly concentrated on the most liquid technology stocks, suggesting a risk-off market backdrop. In the foreign exchange market, this is supporting demand for safe-haven dollar assets and Treasuries, creating moderate short-term potential for the dollar to strengthen.

Gold is finding its footing

Gold has surged at its fastest pace in two months following reports that Donald Trump has called off strikes against Iran. The precious metal extended its rally on news of a deal between Washington and Tehran. With tensions easing, the outlook for Gold is improving. After dropping 18% from its highs and hitting its lowest level since November 2025, investors are once again seeing reasons for optimism.

Since the start of the geopolitical conflict, the precious metal has moved in the opposite direction to oil, so the fall in Brent has allowed gold to find its footing. Higher energy prices heighten the risks of inflation becoming entrenched at elevated levels and increase the likelihood of the Fed tightening monetary policy. This creates a headwind for gold, whilst the end of the conflict in the Middle East becomes a tailwind.

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