🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Negative 📉

On the day of the Fed's interest rate decision, the US stock market is showing a moderately negative trend in pre-market trading.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.58%, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is up 2.95%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is down 0.64%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.56%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down 0.04%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.25%.

The predominance of declines among the major tech giants, coupled with mixed trends in the financial sector, is supporting a partial flight from risk toward US dollar-denominated bonds. This creates a short-term foundation for moderate dollar strengthening. However, the scale of the move is constrained by the absence of a clear capital outflow from the US and largely unchanged Fed expectations.

Nikkei 225 Wave Analysis – 17 June 2026

Nikkei 225: ⬆️ Buy

- Nikkei 225 broke resistance zone

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USDJPY Wave Analysis – 17 June 2026

- USDJPY reversed from resistance level 160.500

- Likely to fall to support level 159.00

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⚠️ USA — FOMC Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 3.75%

🕒 Exp: 3.75%

🎯 Fact.: 3.75%

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⚠️ USA — FOMC Press Conference at 18:30 GMT

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/06/18 (GMT)

06:00 🇬🇧 Claimant Count Change — Exp: 25.8K Actual: 31.2K

06:00 🇬🇧 Unemployment Rate — Exp: 5.0% Actual: 4.9%

06:00 🇬🇧 Average Earnings Index — Exp: 4.0% | 3.2% Actual: 4.4% | 3.4%

07:30 🇨🇭 ⚡️ SNB Policy Rate — Exp: 0.00% Actual: 0.00%

07:30 🇨🇭 ⚡️ SNB Monetary Policy Assessment

08:00 🇨🇭 ⚡️ SNB Press Conference

11:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ Bank of England Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 3.75% Actual: 3.75%

11:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes — Exp: 1-0-8 Actual: 2-0-7

11:00 🇬🇧 ⚡️ MPC Rate Statement

12:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims — Exp: 225K Actual: 226K

12:30 🇺🇸 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index — Exp: 9.8 Actual: 10.3

22:45 🇳🇿 Trade Balance — Exp: 875M

23:30 🇯🇵 ⚡️ National Consumer Price Index

23:30 🇯🇵 National Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food — Exp: 1.4%


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ New Zealand — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.5% | 1.5%

🕒 Exp: 0.9% | 1.1%

🎯 Fact.: 0.8% 📉 | 1.5% 📈

XRP Wave Analysis – 18 June 2026

- XRP reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 1.070

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Bank of America Wave Analysis – 18 June 2026

Bank of America: ⬇️ Sell

- Bank of America reversed from resistance zone

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⚠️ Switzerland — SNB Policy Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.00%

🕒 Exp: 0.00%

🎯 Fact.: 0.00%

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⚠️ Switzerland — SNB Press Conference at 08:00 GMT

Bitcoin at $64K: sell-off triggered by hawkish comments from the new Fed chair

The crypto market capitalisation fell 2.6% over the day to $2.2T, following a global sell-off of risky assets triggered by hawkish comments from the new Fed Chair, Warsh. However, after the initial sell-off, buyers appear to be returning to the markets, in line with a recovery in risk appetite in the equity market. Whether this is good or bad, cryptocurrencies have once again become tied to the movements of the dollar and the equity market. Among the popular coins, the best performers over the last 24 hours were Stellar (+7.3%), Algorand (+1%) and Tron (+0.7%), which were rare exceptions against the backdrop of a broadly falling market. The biggest fallers were Uniswap (-14%), Zcash (-7.7%) and SushiSwap (-6.1%).

Bitcoin took a hit amid a global sell-off in risky assets, plunging below $64K and towards the lower boundary of the upward trading range in place for almost two weeks. Unless there is a rebound from current levels, we will have grounds to conclude that the rally has ended. A break below the recent lows in the $59K–$60K range would confirm that the sell-off has reached a new level, with a potential target for bears near $45K.

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⚠️ UK — Bank of England Interest Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 3.75%

🕒 Exp: 3.75%

🎯 Fact.: 3.75%

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⚠️ UK — MPC Official Bank Rate Votes at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 1-0-8

🕒 Exp: 1-0-8

🎯 Fact.: 2-0-7 📈

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▶️ Silver. Triangle complete?

Today, on Thursday, June 18th, we're discussing the silver market where there is a possibility that we have completed a major triangle.

Just to remind you, this triangle, please note, began to form back in early February 2026, and there's a strong likelihood that wave E within this triangle has taken the form of a third wave like this, and we're already in a 1-2 downside move.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Positive 📈

The US stock market is showing a predominantly positive trend in pre-market trading, with notable gains in the technology sector.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 1.46%, Broadcom (AVGO) is up 3.08%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is down 0.19%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is up 0.09%.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.76%, while Bank of America (BAC) is up 0.85%.

Taken together, the rise among the largest technology and financial companies is creating a risk-on environment: market participants are taking on more risk, limiting demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Under these conditions, the dollar's short-term trend remains largely neutral with no clear momentum toward appreciation, while near-term exchange rate moves will depend on signals from the Fed and US macroeconomic data.

The pound: a more challenging task for the BoE

The BoE-Fed policy divergence is dragging GBPUSD lower.

A weaker pound is a pro-inflationary factor for the UK.

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▶️ Pro News Weekly: Dollar Surges as Bitcoin Rebounds

Welcome to Pro News Weekly!

💵 The U.S. dollar is strengthening after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh reinforced his commitment to bringing inflation back to target. Rising expectations of further rate hikes and higher Treasury yields have boosted the greenback, with markets increasingly pricing in tighter monetary policy.

📊 Stock indices are retreating after the Fed’s hawkish stance shattered investor optimism. Growing fears that inflation can no longer be ignored have triggered profit-taking, particularly in interest-rate-sensitive sectors, while concerns are rising that the recent rally was fueled more by FOMO than fundamentals.

🪙 Gold initially came under pressure following the FOMC meeting but has managed to recover much of its losses. Falling oil prices and easing tensions in the Middle East are reducing fears of a prolonged inflation shock, while traders increasingly believe the Fed may not need to tighten policy aggressively.

₿ Bitcoin has bounced back despite the Fed-induced selloff. Standard Chartered believes the current crypto winter has already reached its bottom, with easing geopolitical risks and renewed investor appetite helping capital flow back into digital assets following the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO.

Will markets recover from the Fed's hawkish surprise, or could higher yields and persistent inflation trigger a deeper correction across stocks and risk assets?

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/06/19 (GMT)

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales With Auto Fuel — Exp: 0.5% | 1.9% Actual: 1.2% | 3.2%

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel — Exp: 0.4% | 3.3% Actual: 1.2% | 4.6%

10:30 🇷🇺 ⚡️ Key bank rate — Exp: 14.0% Actual: 14.25%

12:30 🇨🇦 Retail Sales — Exp: 0.6% | 0.8% Actual: 0.5% | 0.1%


[Updated in real time]