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⚠️ Australia β€” Consumer Prices Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.4% | 4.2%

πŸ•’ Exp: -0.3% | 4.4%

🎯 Fact.: -0.7% πŸ“‰ | 4.0% πŸ“‰
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/06/25 (GMT)

08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Ifo Business Climate β€” Exp: 85.6 Actual: 85.6

08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ IFO - Current Assessment β€” Exp: 86.4 Actual: 87.0

08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ IFO - Expectations β€” Exp: 85.0 Actual: 84.1

14:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ New Home Sales β€” Exp: 637K Actual: 580K | -7.3%

14:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories β€” Exp: -5100K Actual: -6088K

20:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Bank Stress Test Results

01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Employment Change β€” Exp: 31.2K Actual: 40.3K

01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί ⚑️ Unemployment Rate β€” Exp: 4.4% Actual: 4.4%

01:30 πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Part-Time Employment Change Actual: 5.2K | 35.2K


[Updated in real time]
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FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/06/25 (GMT) 08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Ifo Business Climate β€” Exp: 85.6 Actual: 85.6 08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ IFO - Current Assessment β€” Exp: 86.4 Actual: 87.0 08:00 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ IFO - Expectations β€” Exp: 85.0 Actual: 84.1 14:00 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ New Home Sales β€” Exp: 637K…»
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Pre-Market: Moderately Positive πŸ“ˆ

A moderately positive trend is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.59%, while Micron Technology (MU) is up 3.96%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down 0.15%, while Bank of America (BAC) is up 0.17%.

In the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is down 1.42%, while Chevron (CVX) is down 1.24%.

The predominance of gains among the largest-cap technology stocks points to risk-on sentiment within the US market. In this environment, demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited; short-term dollar performance is likely to remain neutral with no clear momentum toward sustained appreciation, while significant moves will depend on new signals regarding Fed policy and cross-market capital flows.
Bitcoin at the 200-Week MA Hints at a Long Winter

The crypto market capitalisation has stabilised at a low of $2.14T, having lost its recovery momentum in the second half of June after touching the 61.8% line. Consequently, there is a risk of a bearish expansion pattern forming, with the potential for a decline to a market capitalisation of $1.6T, a quarter below the current level. A break below the early-June lows would confirm this scenario, although increased buyer activity is evident near current levels. In any case, the stock market and the US dollar remain the key drivers, while cryptocurrencies are reacting to changes in the fundamental backdrop.

Bitcoin is trading below $63K, once again hovering near its seven-day lows. At these levels, the leading cryptocurrency remains close to its 200-week moving average. A dip towards this line in 2022 marked the start of nearly six quarters of poor performance, with prices hovering near this curve; in 2018, such a period lasted six months, and in 2015, nine. In other words, history suggests we should brace for a crypto winter rather than a rapid rebound.

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⚠️ Australia β€” Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: -40.7K

πŸ•’ Exp: 31.2K

🎯 Fact.: 40.3K πŸ“ˆ

β€”β€”β€”

⚠️ Australia β€” Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 4.5%

πŸ•’ Exp: 4.4%

🎯 Fact.: 4.4%
πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/06/26 (GMT)

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 1.6% Actual: 2.1%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core Personal Consumption Expenditure β€” Exp: 4.4% Actual: 4.4%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ GDP Price Index β€” Exp: 3.5% Actual: 3.6%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core PCE Price Index β€” Exp: 0.3% | 3.4% Actual: 0.3% | 3.4%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Personal Spending β€” Exp: 0.6% Actual: 0.7%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Durable Goods Orders β€” Exp: -4.9% | 0.5% Actual: -4.5% | 1.3%

12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims β€” Exp: 225K Actual: 215K


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned Β«πŸ—“ Economic Calendar at 2026/06/26 (GMT) 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Gross Domestic Product β€” Exp: 1.6% Actual: 2.1% 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core Personal Consumption Expenditure β€” Exp: 4.4% Actual: 4.4% 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ GDP Price Index β€” Exp: 3.5% Actual: 3.6% 12:30 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ⚑️ Core PCE…»
Bitcoin has formed a double bottom at $59K

The crypto market has fallen 1.4% over the past 24 hours, retreating to $2.12T as it continues its gradual return to the lows seen at the start of June. Notably, this time, cryptocurrencies were in no hurry to rebound alongside the stock market, preferring to wait for a more confident recovery to take shape. Over the past 24 hours, the top gainers were Aave (+14.2%), Internet Computer (+3.6%) and Gram (formerly Toncoin, +2.9%). The biggest declines were SushiSwap (-7.7%), Theta Network (-7.5%) and IOTA (-5.7%).

Bitcoin re-tested its early-June lows, touching $59K at the low point of Wednesday’s sell-off. This was followed by a decisive rebound, fuelling the bulls’ hopes of a double bottom forming. Should the rebound continue, the nearest upside potential is $67K, mirroring the movement seen in the first half of the month. For now, however, we are sticking to the β€˜boring scenario’ described earlier, involving several weeks of consolidation near the 200-week moving average. This is trending higher and currently sits near $62.2K, with a likelihood of reaching $68K by October.

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⚠️ USA β€” Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 1.6%

πŸ•’ Exp: 1.6%

🎯 Fact.: 2.1% πŸ“ˆ

β€”β€”β€”

⚠️ USA β€” Core PCE Price Index at 03:00 GMT

βœ”οΈ Prev: 0.3% | 3.3%

πŸ•’ Exp: 0.3% | 3.4%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% | 3.4%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Pre-Market: Mostly Negative πŸ“‰

Negative trends are prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.11%, while Bank of America (BAC) is up 0.45%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 1.27%, while Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is up 4.68%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, McDonald's (MCD) is down 0.10%, while Starbucks (SBUX) is down 0.49%.

Overall, the market appears to be trending lower: major large-cap technology names and some consumer stocks are trading in the red, while gains in semiconductors and select financial names are not yet offsetting the broader downward pressure. The predominance of declines among the most highly capitalised technology companies points to risk aversion within the US market, supporting demand for safe-haven dollar assets and potentially contributing to moderate dollar strengthening.