GBPJPY Wave Analysis – 13 July 2026

- GBPJPY reversed from support zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 218.00

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The dollar: Will the CPI and Warsh decide everything this week?

• Geopolitics, Kevin Warsh and inflation data are likely to cause sharp fluctuations in the USD index.

• Gold is under pressure from real Treasury yields.

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S&P 500: within touching distance of a record high

Investors continue stock rotation and await corporate earnings.

The correlation between the stock indices and other asset classes is falling.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Negative 📉

Negative sentiment is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with the largest technology and industrial companies mostly trading lower, reflecting risk aversion and profit-taking.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 1.49%, Broadcom (AVGO) is down 1.65%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.59%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.52%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.43%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.40%.

The predominance of declines among the largest companies points to risk-off sentiment within the US market. Against this backdrop, demand for safe-haven dollar assets is rising, providing short-term support for the dollar and creating conditions for moderate USD appreciation against risk-sensitive currencies.

Ebay Wave Analysis – 13 July 2026

- Ebay reversed from strong resistance level 118.15

- Likely to fall to support level 111.55

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Exxon Mobil Wave Analysis – 13 July 2026

Exxon Mobil: ⬆️ Buy

- Exxon Mobil broke resistance zone

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/07/15 (GMT)

08:45 🇬🇧 ⚡️ BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: -0.1% | 3.8% Actual: -0.4% | 3.5%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Core CPI — Exp: 0.2% | 2.8% Actual: 0.0% | 2.6%

13:00 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh Testifies

20:00 🇬🇧 BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

02:00 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Real GDP — Exp: 4.5% Actual: 4.3%

02:00 🇨🇳 ⚡️ Real GDP (YTD) — Exp: 4.5% Actual: 4.7%

02:00 🇨🇳 Fixed Asset Investment — Exp: -5.0% Actual: -5.7%

02:00 🇨🇳 Industrial Production — Exp: 4.7% Actual: 5.3% | 5.4%

02:00 🇨🇳 NBS Press Conference


[Updated in real time]

Ethereum is showing resilience, but a key test at $1,850 lies ahead

The crypto market capitalisation has remained close to the $2.16T level, having recovered from a dip to $2.13T at its lows during US trading on Monday and at the start of the Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure on the market came from the escalation of the conflict between the US and Iran, which triggered a risk-off reaction and a strengthening of the dollar. That said, the market dynamics are not straightforward, with no shortage of altcoins rising over the past 24 hours. Among the most popular coins, the top performers were NEAR Protocol (+5.3%), Uniswap (+2.5%) and SushiSwap (+1.8%), while Dash (-3.3%), Basic Attention Token (-2.6%) and IOTA (-2.5%) lagged.

Bitcoin dipped below $62K but soon rebounded, trading near $62.6K at the start of active European trading. Technically, the leading cryptocurrency remains in bearish territory, facing increased selling pressure as it approaches its 50-day moving average from below, while the previous area of local highs lies approximately $3K above the current price. However, the bears also have something to prove, and they will need to push the price below $58K to confirm the downtrend's continuation.

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⚠️ UK — BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks at 08:45 GMT

▶️ USDCHF. Strong growth

Today's Tuesday, the 14th of July, and we're going to talk about the CHF market.

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Gold: the edge of the precipice is drawing ever closer

An unfavourable background is weighing on gold prices.

The Fed has not ruled out a July rate hike.

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⚠️ USA — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.5% | 4.2%

🕒 Exp: -0.1% | 3.8%

🎯 Fact.: -0.4% 📉 | 3.5% 📉

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⚠️ USA — Core CPI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | 2.9%

🕒 Exp: 0.2% | 2.8%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% 📉 | 2.6% 📉

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

The US stock market is showing mixed trends in pre-market trading, with a slight upward bias.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 1.94%, Broadcom (AVGO) is up 2.80%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is down 3.19%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.22%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) is up 0.97%, while Amazon (AMZN) is up 0.19%.

The market's behaviour points to risk-on sentiment: appetite for risk is driven primarily by large-cap technology and consumer names, limiting demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. In the short term, the dollar may remain in a neutral range without significant upward momentum, while exchange rate moves will depend largely on Fed expectations and the broader news backdrop.

⚠️ USA — Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh Testifies at 14:00 GMT

▶️ Pro News Flash: Oil Bulls Take Control Again

🛢️ Brent crude has climbed to monthly highs after renewed concerns over disruption in the Strait of Hormuz reignited fears of tighter global oil supplies. The return of the "NACHO" trade, short for "Not A Chance Hormuz Opens", has fuelled the strongest rally since the pandemic.

🚢 Transport costs are rising as the US plans to charge for escorting oil tankers through the region, while investors reassess whether markets had become too complacent about easing Middle East tensions.

📉 Global oil inventories continue to tighten. US strategic petroleum reserves have fallen to their lowest level since 1983, while the International Energy Agency reports significant declines in worldwide stockpiles, reducing the market's ability to absorb future supply shocks.

🏦 Goldman Sachs believes new pipeline projects will eventually reduce reliance on the Strait of Hormuz, allowing much larger volumes of oil to bypass the region. However, these infrastructure upgrades are expected to take several years before providing meaningful relief.

⚠️ Although weaker Chinese demand and slower global consumption growth may limit Brent's upside over the longer term, supply risks remain firmly in focus, keeping oil prices supported in the near term.

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USDCHF Wave Analysis – 14 July 2026

- USDCHF reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 0.8000

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GBPAUD Wave Analysis – 14 July 2026

- GBPAUD reversed from resistance zone

- Likely to fall to support level 1.9115

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Baidu Wave Analysis – 14 July 2026

- Baidu reversed from key resistance level 119.00

- Likely to fall to support level 100.00.

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Euro Stoxx 50 Wave Analysis – 14 July 2026

Euro Stoxx 50: ⬆️ Buy

- Euro Stoxx 50 reversed from key resistance level 119.00

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