Chainlink Wave Analysis – 15 July 2026

- Chainlink broke resistance zone

- Likely to rise to resistance level 8.62

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⚠️ Canada — Overnight Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 2.25%

🕒 Exp: 2.25%

🎯 Fact.: 2.25%

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Zcash Wave Analysis – 15 July 2026

- Zcash broke resistance level 528.75

- Likely to rise to resistance level 674.00

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⚠️ USA — Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh Testifies at 14:00 GMT

AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 15 July 2026

- AUDUSD broke resistance level 0.6960

- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.7050

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⚠️ Canada — BOC Press Conference at 14:30 GMT

Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 15 July 2026

Dow Jones: ⬆️ Buy

- Dow Jones reversed from support zone

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/07/17 (GMT)

12:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims — Exp: 217K Actual: 208K

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Retail Sales — Exp: 0.2% | 0.0% Actual: 0.2% | -0.2%

12:30 🇺🇸 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index — Exp: 12.7 Actual: 41.4

14:00 🇺🇸 Pending Home Sales — Exp: -0.5% Actual: -5.4% | -0.3%

01:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ President Donald Trump Speaks


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ UK — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -0.1% | 0.8%

🕒 Exp: 0.0% | 0.5%

🎯 Fact.: 0.1% 📈 | 0.7% 📈

The Pound: From Outsider to Favourite

• Rumours of a less profligate Treasury than expected have boosted GBPUSD.

• The US dollar is falling as the likelihood of monetary tightening by the Fed has diminished.

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Crypto market at $2.23T: a bullish pause above the 50-day MA

The crypto market has stabilised at levels around $2.23T, remaining there for the second day running. The market is in a fairly bullish consolidation above the area of previous local highs and the 50-day moving average, signalling a smooth transition to a bull market: without dizzying rallies, but with a steady upward trend. The major cryptocurrencies are generally holding their ground, while there is a greater tendency towards profit-taking among the weaker altcoins. The top gainers over the past 24 hours were Theta Network (+2.3%), Stellar (+1.9%) and Zcash (+1.8%). The biggest fallers were Bitcoin Cash (-5.6%), Aave (-3.1%) and Polkadot (-2%).

Bitcoin has settled down, consolidating above $64K and the 50-day moving average, but lacks the momentum to break through $65K. This lull is not yet a cause for concern. The market is likely geared towards cautious buying of the leading cryptocurrency at current levels, forming a bottom that could hold for many months or even years to come. As always, there is a risk of a sudden sell-off amid financial market shocks, which could send BTC or global stock indices into a tailspin, but waiting for such moments is a thankless task. In such conditions, buying in a quiet market at less than half of peak levels looks like a perfectly reasonable tactic for the coming days or weeks.

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⚠️ USA — Retail Sales at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 1.0% | 1.0%

🕒 Exp: 0.2% | 0.0%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% | -0.2% 📉

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed trading is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with a moderate upward trend driven by the largest technology companies.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 1.76%, Apple (AAPL) is up 0.36%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.93%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is up 0.40%.

In the Health Care sector, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is up 0.70%, while Merck (MRK) is up 1.10%.

The market is in a moderately risk-on mode, with major technology and pharmaceutical companies trading higher, supporting interest in risk assets. For the dollar, this implies a neutral backdrop, as demand for safe-haven dollar instruments is limited.

▶️ Oil. Rise

Today is Thursday, the 16th of July, and let's talk about the oil market.

There's been a change in the scenario, a shift to an alternative one.

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⚠️ USA — President Donald Trump Speaks at 01:00 GMT

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/07/18 (GMT)

12:30 🇺🇸 Building Permits — Exp: 1400K Actual: 1367K | -3.0%

12:30 🇺🇸 Housing Starts — Exp: 1310K Actual: 1427K | 19.0%

13:15 🇺🇸 Industrial Production — Exp: 0.2% Actual: 0.1%

14:00 🇺🇸 UoM Consumer Sentiment — Exp: 51.0 Actual: 54.4


[Updated in real time]

A false bullish breakout for Bitcoin?

The crypto market capitalisation fell by 2.7% to $2.16T amid growing nervousness in traditional financial markets, where concerns over AI spending have intensified. The crypto market has returned to the levels seen at the start of the week, while the Nasdaq 100 is testing the region of its June lows. Furthermore, the crypto market capitalisation is trading near its 50-day moving average as the Nasdaq 100 is being sold off with alarming determination after dipping below it. At present, the situation appears to be a short-term sign of strength for cryptocurrencies following several months of pressure; however, sustained declines in shares and bonds have repeatedly forced investors to rebalance their portfolios, leading to painful selloffs in cryptocurrencies. Among the top coins, the biggest fallers include Zcash (-6.4%), Near Protocol (-5.3%) and Tezos (-5%). Polkadot (+1.1%), Litecoin (-0.2%) and Bitcoin Cash (-0.8%) are temporarily outperforming the market.

Bitcoin has lost 2.9% over the past 24 hours, falling back to $62.8K. Due to external pressure, the leading cryptocurrency has failed to confirm a reversal of the downtrend, as higher highs were not formed, and the price quickly fell back below the 50-day MA, returning to the downtrend channel in place since June. The lower boundary of this range is currently near $56K, but support should also be expected near $61K and $59K, at previous local lows.

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The dollar: don’t bet against the US

The US economy is strong and outperforming its rivals.

USDJPY could reach 170, as FX interventions are not a concern.

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