⚠️ USA — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -0.4% | 3.5%

🕒 Exp: 0.1% | 3.4%

🎯 Fact.: 0.1% | 3.4%

———

⚠️ USA — Core CPI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.0% | 2.6%

🕒 Exp: 0.2% | 2.5%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% | 2.5%

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Moderately Positive 📈
Following the inflation figures, the US stock market is showing a moderately positive trend in pre-market trading.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 1.43%, while Broadcom (AVGO) is up 2.05%.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.09%, while Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down 0.18%.

In the Industrials sector, Applied Materials (AMAT) is up 4.62%, while Caterpillar (CAT) is up 2.33%.

The predominance of gains among the largest companies by market cap points to a risk-on environment, supporting demand for risk assets, while the dollar maintains a largely neutral trend: interest in safe-haven dollar instruments is limited, and the direction of the exchange rate will largely depend on Fed rate expectations.

GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 12 August 2026

– GBPUSD reversed from resistance level 1.3555

– Likely to fall to support level 1.3450

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

Dogecoin Wave Analysis – 12 August 2026

– Dogecoin reversed from resistance zone

– Likely to fall to support level 0.0675

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

Cardano Wave Analysis – 12 August 2026

– Cardano reversed from resistance level 0.195

– Likely to fall to support level 0.155

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

Nikkei 225 Wave Analysis – 12 August 2026

Nikkei 225: ⬆️ Buy

– Nikkei 225 broke daily down channel

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/14 (GMT)

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Producer Price Index — Exp: 0.2% | 4.9% Actual: 0.0% | 4.7%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Core PPI — Exp: 0.3% | 4.2% Actual: 0.2% | 4.2%

12:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims — Exp: 202K Actual: 209K


[Updated in real time]

⚠️ UK — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.0% | 0.6%

🕒 Exp: 0.0% | 0.4%

🎯 Fact.: 0.3% 📈 | 0.4%

———

⚠️ UK — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.6% | 0.9%

🕒 Exp: 0.4% | 1.1%

🎯 Fact.: 0.6% 📈 | 1.2% 📈

Bitcoin: Will patience be rewarded?

The crypto market capitalisation has once again shown little change, remaining around the $2.19T ‘centre of gravity’ for the third day running, fluctuating between $2.18T and $2.20T. This marks the continuation of a protracted sideways trend that has been ongoing since early June. As traders become accustomed to a range, they tend to tighten their stop losses and increase their leverage. It is also not uncommon for the market to be pushed down during what is known as ‘final capitulation’. However, towards the end of a range-bound period, large volumes often emerge as major long-term players gradually build positions around a particular market view. In this case, they may be anticipating the passage of cryptocurrency legislation later this autumn, following the congressional recess. Our medium-term optimism does not, however, rule out the risk of a sharp pullback in the coming weeks.

Bitcoin is struggling to break away from its support level and has been hovering around $64K for the third day in a row, trading slightly below it on Thursday morning but above the 50-day moving average. The peaks of the 2021 bull market were close to these levels. Three years ago, Bitcoin’s decline generally halted at $20K, which was close to the peak of the previous bull market at the end of 2017. This supports our view that the decline may have run its course, with bearish momentum fading as Bitcoin approaches the 200-week moving average. While speculators may still be looking for a better entry price, long-term investors are steadily accumulating at current levels, as evidenced by the remarkable price stability despite fairly active price movements in other markets. At the end of 2022, the market fell nearly 25% below $20K before reversing higher, effectively offering a ‘discount’ to investors willing to take the risk. We could see something similar this time, but it would be unwise to rely on such a pullback.

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

The yen needs a helping hand

The US dollar has prioritised geopolitics over inflation.

Only the BoJ has the power to halt USDJPY gains.

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

⚠️ USA — Producer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -0.1% | 5.5%

🕒 Exp: 0.2% | 4.9%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% 📉 | 4.7% 📉

———

⚠️ USA — Core PPI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.4% | 4.7%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 4.2%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% 📉 | 4.2%

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed, but broadly positive, trends are prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.
In the Information Technology sector, Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.42%, while Oracle (ORCL) is down 0.44%.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.72%, while Morgan Stanley (MS) is up 1.02%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) is down 0.71%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.25%.
A moderate risk-on sentiment within the US is driving the upward trend in mega-cap shares. Demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited: the short-term USD trend remains largely neutral with no clear momentum toward appreciation, while interest in US equities and Treasuries as core assets persists.

▶️ Oil. Current situation

Today is Thursday, the 13th of August, and we'll discuss the oil market, what's happening there and what to expect by the start of autumn. So, I'd like to remind you that over the last 18 years, oil has formed this massive triangle, and we are, essentially, at the starting point. Here we have Waves 1 and 2, pointing towards global growth

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 13 August 2026

– Nasdaq-100 broke daily down channel

– Likely to rise to resistance level 30770.00

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

NVIDIA Wave Analysis – 13 August 2026

– NVIDIA broke resistance level 225.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 235.00

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost

⚠️ Australia — RBA Governor Michele Bullock Speaks at 23:30 GMT

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/15 (GMT)

09:00 🇪🇺 Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.4% | 1.0% Actual: 0.4% | 1.0%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Retail Sales — Exp: 0.1% | 0.2% Actual: -0.6% | -0.3%

14:00 🇺🇸 UoM Consumer Sentiment — Exp: 54.5 Actual: 51.0


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market has again stepped back on strong stocks

The crypto market has pulled back to the lower end of the consolidation range in place since May. The upward trend seen in the first week of the month failed to gain momentum, repeating the pattern seen in June and July when bullish attempts also faded. It appears that the theory of an inverse correlation between cryptocurrencies and the stock market has once again been confirmed, with the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 reaching new record highs. The fact that buyers have focused on the broader market highlights a rotation away from tech stocks towards traditional sectors. Among the most actively traded cryptocurrencies, Cosmos (+10%) surged over the past 24 hours, while the majority declined, with the biggest losses recorded by Aptos (-4.7%), Bitcoin Cash (-4.5%) and NEAR Protocol (-4.4%).

Bitcoin plummeted below $63K, retreating to the lows seen at the start of last week and below the 50-day moving average. We had previously viewed the price’s ability to hold above this level as a sign of market strength. Overall, this is the prolonged consolidation around the 200-week moving average that we have repeatedly warned about. Based on historical patterns, this period of low market activity could last between 18 and 70 weeks, and we are only nine weeks in.

——————
FxPro. Trade Like a Pro. | Subscribe | Boost