The yen needs a helping hand

The US dollar has prioritised geopolitics over inflation.

Only the BoJ has the power to halt USDJPY gains.

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⚠️ USA — Producer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: -0.1% | 5.5%

🕒 Exp: 0.2% | 4.9%

🎯 Fact.: 0.0% 📉 | 4.7% 📉

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⚠️ USA — Core PPI at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.4% | 4.7%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 4.2%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% 📉 | 4.2%

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mixed 📊

Mixed, but broadly positive, trends are prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.
In the Information Technology sector, Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.42%, while Oracle (ORCL) is down 0.44%.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.72%, while Morgan Stanley (MS) is up 1.02%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) is down 0.71%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.25%.
A moderate risk-on sentiment within the US is driving the upward trend in mega-cap shares. Demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited: the short-term USD trend remains largely neutral with no clear momentum toward appreciation, while interest in US equities and Treasuries as core assets persists.

▶️ Oil. Current situation

Today is Thursday, the 13th of August, and we'll discuss the oil market, what's happening there and what to expect by the start of autumn. So, I'd like to remind you that over the last 18 years, oil has formed this massive triangle, and we are, essentially, at the starting point. Here we have Waves 1 and 2, pointing towards global growth

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Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 13 August 2026

– Nasdaq-100 broke daily down channel

– Likely to rise to resistance level 30770.00

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NVIDIA Wave Analysis – 13 August 2026

– NVIDIA broke resistance level 225.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 235.00

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⚠️ Australia — RBA Governor Michele Bullock Speaks at 23:30 GMT

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/15 (GMT)

09:00 🇪🇺 Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.4% | 1.0% Actual: 0.4% | 1.0%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Retail Sales — Exp: 0.1% | 0.2% Actual: -0.6% | -0.3%

14:00 🇺🇸 UoM Consumer Sentiment — Exp: 54.5 Actual: 51.0


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market has again stepped back on strong stocks

The crypto market has pulled back to the lower end of the consolidation range in place since May. The upward trend seen in the first week of the month failed to gain momentum, repeating the pattern seen in June and July when bullish attempts also faded. It appears that the theory of an inverse correlation between cryptocurrencies and the stock market has once again been confirmed, with the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 reaching new record highs. The fact that buyers have focused on the broader market highlights a rotation away from tech stocks towards traditional sectors. Among the most actively traded cryptocurrencies, Cosmos (+10%) surged over the past 24 hours, while the majority declined, with the biggest losses recorded by Aptos (-4.7%), Bitcoin Cash (-4.5%) and NEAR Protocol (-4.4%).

Bitcoin plummeted below $63K, retreating to the lows seen at the start of last week and below the 50-day moving average. We had previously viewed the price’s ability to hold above this level as a sign of market strength. Overall, this is the prolonged consolidation around the 200-week moving average that we have repeatedly warned about. Based on historical patterns, this period of low market activity could last between 18 and 70 weeks, and we are only nine weeks in.

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The dollar is losing ground, but will it last?

Weak inflation and labour market figures have led to a fall in the USD index.

The strength of the UK economy and the pound is most likely only temporary.

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⚠️ USA — Retail Sales at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.2% | -0.2%

🕒 Exp: 0.1% | 0.2%

🎯 Fact.: -0.6% 📉 | -0.3% 📉

🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Positive 📈

The US stock market is showing positive momentum in pre-market trading.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.30%, Broadcom (AVGO) is up 0.33%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.07%.
In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is up 0.17%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is up 0.08%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.21%.

The current picture points to moderate risk appetite, with capital flowing into major US shares. Against this backdrop, demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset is limited, and the dollar is likely to remain neutral without significant upward momentum until economic data and Fed signals set a new direction.

▶️ Pro News Weekly: The Fed Is Watching Oil

Welcome to Pro News Weekly!

💵 The U.S. dollar recovers after softer inflation data reduces expectations for a September Fed rate hike, while rising oil prices could put inflation back in focus.

📈 Stock markets remain close to record highs as strong corporate earnings and renewed AI optimism support equities, although Bank of America warns of a potential earnings slowdown.

🪙 Gold pulls back below $4,400 as a stronger dollar, tariffs and fading stagflation fears weigh on the precious metal.

₿ Bitcoin continues to consolidate as strong ETF inflows support the bulls, while major token sales and weaker correlation with stocks create fresh pressure.

📊 Next week, investors will focus on global business activity, Australian labour data, inflation in Japan and Canada, and a busy UK calendar featuring employment, inflation and retail sales.

🔔 Like, share, and subscribe for more weekly updates from FxPro!

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Uniswap Wave Analysis – 14 August 2026

– Uniswap broke support zone

– Likely to fall to support level 3.080

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Cardano Wave Analysis – 14 August 2026

– Cardano reversed from resistance zone

– Likely to fall to support level 0.155

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MasterCard Wave Analysis – 14 August 2026

– MasterCard reversed from support zone

– Likely to rise to resistance level 580,00

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Chevron Wave Analysis – 14 August 2026

– Chevron broke resistance level 196.75

– Likely to rise to resistance level 305.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/17 (GMT)

23:50 🇯🇵 ⚡️ Gross Domestic Product — Exp: 0.5% | 2.0% Actual: 0.3% | 1.1%

23:50 🇯🇵 GDP Price Index — Exp: 2.3% Actual: 2.6%

07:00 🇨🇳 Fixed Asset Investment — Exp: -6.2%

07:00 🇨🇳 Industrial Production — Exp: 5.0%

07:00 🇨🇳 NBS Press Conference


[Updated in real time]