🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Moderately Positive 📈

Moderately positive trends are prevailing in the US stock market pre-market.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.40%, while Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down 0.03%.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.58%, while Apple (AAPL) is down 0.07%.

In the Health Care sector, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is up 1.05%, while Abbott Laboratories (ABT) is up 0.73%.

From a currency perspective, this is consistent with a risk-on environment: gains among large-cap technology and pharmaceutical companies indicate investor willingness to take on risk within the US. Demand for the dollar as a safe haven is limited, keeping the short-term dollar trend largely neutral.

⚠️ USA — FOMC Meeting Minutes at 18:00 GMT

⚠️ USA — President Donald Trump Speaks at 18:30 GMT

⚠️ Australia — Employment Change at 01:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 80.2K

🕒 Exp: 11.7K

🎯 Fact.: -15.8K 📉

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⚠️ Australia — Unemployment Rate at 01:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.4%

🕒 Exp: 4.4%

🎯 Fact.: 4.5% 📉

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/21 (GMT)

12:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims — Exp: 210K Actual: 206K

12:30 🇺🇸 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index — Exp: 24.1 Actual: 47.4

22:45 🇳🇿 Trade Balance — Exp: -175M Actual: -1949M | -5236M

23:30 🇯🇵 ⚡️ National Consumer Price Index Actual: 2.0%

23:30 🇯🇵 National Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food — Exp: 1.8% Actual: 1.8%

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales With Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.5% | 2.2%

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.5% | 3.3%

07:15 🇫🇷 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 49.9

07:15 🇫🇷 Services PMI — Exp: 49.7

07:15 🇫🇷 PMI Composite

07:30 🇩🇪 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 52.0

07:30 🇩🇪 Services PMI — Exp: 50.2

07:30 🇩🇪 PMI Composite — Exp: 51.5


[Updated in real time]

The crypto market has broken out of its consolidation

The cryptocurrency market has risen by almost 8% over the past 24 hours to $2.37T, reaching its highest level since early June. The initial momentum came on the back of news that the US Treasury was supporting the debt market. This relatively small but timely move signalled that the government is monitoring the situation in the debt markets, spurring demand for risk assets. The rally was then fuelled by a wave of short-covering, following weeks of extremely narrow trading.

Bitcoin reached $70K, posting a 9% rally over 8 hours during the US trading session. As the new day began, the leading cryptocurrency retreated slightly to $69.6K. On Monday, BTC consolidated above the 50-day moving average, and by Wednesday, it had already tested the 200-day MA. As expected, the market’s long-compressed spring snapped back, catching those who had been range-trading and those who had been building short positions on the rise off guard. If Bitcoin does not quickly lose its recent gains, it will be a significant sign that a bull market has begun, much like in October 2023 or March 2020.

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The dollar has followed in the yen’s footsteps

The US Treasury is defending bond yields.

The dovish Fed is weakening the dollar.

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▶️ Crude Oil. Start of Growth

Today is Thursday, the 20th of August, so let’s talk about the oil market and what’s happening there.

Generally speaking, for those of you who watch my videos, I’d like to remind you that over the past 18 years, starting from a price of $147, a large triangle pattern has been developing and has now concluded.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Negative 📉

Negative sentiment is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with the largest technology and consumer companies trading lower, suggesting that investors are shunning risk in the US.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down 0.10%, Micron Technology (MU) is down 1.18%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is down 0.21%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is down 0.72%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Tesla (TSLA) is down 1.78%, while in the Energy sector, Exxon Mobil (XOM) is up 1.96%.

The prevalence of selloffs in the largest-cap shares is creating a risk-off environment, supporting demand for safe-haven dollar assets and contributing to moderate dollar strengthening in the short term, amid heightened interest in Treasuries and money markets.

⚠️ Japan — National Consumer Price Index at 23:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 1.6%

🎯 Fact.: 2.0%

🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/08/22 (GMT)

08:00 🇪🇺 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 51.8 Actual: 52.8

08:00 🇪🇺 Services PMI — Exp: 51.5 Actual: 51.7

08:00 🇪🇺 PMI Composite — Exp: 51.7 Actual: 52.1

08:30 🇬🇧 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 51.5 Actual: 51.5

08:30 🇬🇧 Services PMI — Exp: 51.8 Actual: 52.8

08:30 🇬🇧 PMI Composite — Exp: 51.5 Actual: 52.5

12:30 🇨🇦 Retail Sales — Exp: 0.4% | 0.2% Actual: 0.6% | 0.5%

13:45 🇺🇸 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 53.8 Actual: 53.2

13:45 🇺🇸 Services PMI — Exp: 54.0 Actual: 56.8

13:45 🇺🇸 PMI Composite Actual: 56.0


[Updated in real time]

Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 21 August 2026

– Bitcoin broke round resistance level 70000.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 74000.00

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Solana Wave Analysis – 21 August 2026

– Solana broke pivotal resistance level 83.30

– Likely to rise to resistance level 90.00

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Gold Wave Analysis – 21 August 2026

– Gold broke resistance level 4400.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 4600.00

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Uber Wave Analysis – 21 August 2026

– Uber reversed from resistance level 80.00

– Likely to fall to support level 74.00

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The cryptocurrency bull market has begun

The cryptocurrency market continues to rally, gaining nearly 7% over the past 24 hours to reach $2.51T. Having risen by 18% since the start of the week, the market has demonstrated a dramatic shift in investor sentiment. Since hitting a low of $2.04T in early July, market capitalisation has risen by 24%, marking the formal start of the bull market. However, a negative correlation with the Nasdaq-100 persists, where sellers remain in control despite attempts by the US Treasury Secretary to reassure investors.

The sentiment index soared to 72, just 3 points below the ‘extreme greed’ level. The index was last above this level on 5 October, when it stood at 74, and it has not sustained such levels for over a year. This provides further confirmation that the market has entered a bullish phase.

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The dollar: from debt crisis to currency crisis

• The USD index is falling against a favourable backdrop.

• Eroding confidence in the Fed is weighing on the US dollar.

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🇺🇸 US Pre-Market: Mostly Positive 📈

Positive momentum is prevailing in the US stock market pre-market, with gains in major technology and retail stocks setting the overall tone.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.59%, while Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is up 1.27%.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is up 0.85%, while Bank of America (BAC) is up 0.63%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 0.75%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is down 0.15%.

Given that the largest names by market cap are posting gains, market sentiment is distinctly risk-on: interest is shifting toward equities, while demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset remains subdued.