⚠️ USA — Gross Domestic Product at 12:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 1.5%

🕒 Exp: 1.5%

🎯 Fact.: 2.2% 📈

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⚠️ USA — Core PCE Price Index at 12:30 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.1% | 3.0%

🕒 Exp: 0.3% | 3.3%

🎯 Fact.: 0.2% 📉 | 3.0% 📉

🇺🇸 Pre-market trading trends on the US stock market

📈 Following the inflation figures, the US stock market is showing a moderately positive trend in pre-market trading.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.65%, Micron Technology (MU) is up 1.38%, while Microsoft (MSFT) is up 0.21%.

In the Communication Services sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) is up 1.35%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 0.21%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.25%.

From a foreign exchange perspective, the current rise in the shares of the largest technology and retail companies reflects a risk-on sentiment: demand for safe-haven dollar assets is limited, and the dollar's performance remains largely neutral, with no clear momentum toward appreciation.

Gold seizes the chance to make a comeback

• Equity investors are hedging their risks by selling the precious metal.

• Falling oil prices, Treasury yields and the US dollar will help gold.

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Comcast Wave Analysis – 30 September 2026

– Comcast reversed from key support level 21.60

– Likely to rise to resistance level 23.00

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EURAUD Wave Analysis – 30 September 2026

– EURAUD broke daily down channel

– Likely to rise to resistance level 1.6490

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Ford Wave Analysis – 30 September 2026

– Ford broke key support level 12.60

– Likely to fall to support level 11.50

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AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 30 September 2026

– AUDJPY reversed from key support level 109.00

– Likely to rise to resistance level 111.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/10/02 (GMT)

08:00 🇪🇺 Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 52.7 Actual: 52.9

08:00 🇬🇧 BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks

12:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims — Exp: 200K Actual: 197K

13:30 🇨🇦 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Actual: 51.5

13:30 🇪🇺 ECB President Christine Lagarde Speaks

14:00 🇺🇸 ⚡️ ISM Manufacturing PMI — Exp: 55.0 Actual: 54.5

15:30 🇨🇭 ⚡️ SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel Speaks


[Updated in real time]

Crypto: calm before the storm?

The crypto market has been hovering at the same market capitalisation level for some time now, remaining close to $2.86T for the eighth day in a row. However, it is worth noting that since the start of this trading week, price action has been more concentrated at the lower end of the range. We do not yet see this as a sign of a bearish reversal, but rather as growing caution amid uncertainty, which is driving demand for the dollar. Among the most liquid coins over the past 24 hours, the top gainers were IOTA (+7.8%), NEAR (+4.6%) and AAVE (+3.4%). The biggest fallers were Internet Computer (−4.3%), Filecoin (−3.5%) and Ethereum Classic (−1.9%).

Bitcoin has once again failed to hold above $85K, as the upward momentum triggered by weaker-than-expected inflation figures quickly fizzled amid an ongoing sell-off in global government bonds. The leading cryptocurrency is caught between pressure from a strengthening dollar and the desire among some investors to temporarily steer clear of falling assets. The persistence of the bond sell-off is a very worrying sign, capable of triggering a sell-off across all markets almost overnight. It is easy to find periods in history when turmoil in traditional finance has benefited crypto. Still, it is impossible to predict when the market will shift from caution to panic.

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The euro has slipped out of its range

Rising political risks in France are tying the ECB’s hands.

The US economy is capable of withstanding high interest rates, which is strengthening the dollar.

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🇺🇸 Pre-market trading trends on the US stock market

📈 A moderately positive trend is prevailing in pre-market trading in the US stock market.

In the Information Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is up 0.91%, while Intel (INTC) is down 0.48%.

In the Financials sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) is down 0.05%, while Bank of America (BAC) is down 0.29%.

In the Consumer Discretionary sector, Amazon (AMZN) is up 0.99%, while in the Consumer Staples sector, Walmart (WMT) is up 0.36%.

In the foreign exchange market, the current picture is consistent with a risk-on environment: the predominance of gains among large-cap technology and consumer companies is sustaining interest in market assets.

Still, it is not generating significant demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Under such conditions, the dollar generally trades with little volatility, while short-term exchange rate fluctuations depend more on expectations regarding Fed interest rates and broader external news flow.

⚠️ USA — ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 54.6

🕒 Exp: 55.0

🎯 Fact.: 54.5 📉

▶️ Natural Gas. Forecast Correction

Today is Thursday, the 1st of October and let’s talk about the gas market, where I’ve switched to an alternative scenario that I’ve been discussing for several episodes in a row. I’m referring to this particular section of the market, which I suggested might take the form of a triangle or a sideways pattern.

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⚠️ Switzerland — SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel Speaks at 15:30 GMT

CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 1 October 2026

– CHFJPY reversed from key support level 187.70

– Likely to rise to resistance level 192.15

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EURCHF Wave Analysis – 1 October 2026

– EURCHF reversed from long-term resistance level 0.9445

– Likely to fall to support level 0.9300

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2026/10/03 (GMT)

09:00 🇪🇺 Consumer Price Index — Exp: 3.7% Actual: 3.8%

09:00 🇪🇺 Consumer Price Index - Core — Exp: 2.5% Actual: 2.5%

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Non-Farm Employment Change — Exp: 90K Actual: 29K

12:30 🇺🇸 ⚡️ Unemployment Rate — Exp: 4.1% Actual: 4.2%

12:30 🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings — Exp: 0.3% | 3.2% Actual: 0.1% | 3.0%

12:30 🇺🇸 Change in Private Payrolls — Exp: 85K Actual: 46K


[Updated in real time]

Bitcoin has rallied ahead of the news

The crypto market has risen by 1.4% over the past 24 hours to $2.92T, after briefly peaking at $2.94T as stop orders were triggered at the start of the Asian session. Although the dollar strengthened, the move was driven by a flight from European assets, while the likelihood of an October policy tightening by the Fed continued to decline. This is the fourth consecutive month to start on a positive note, and October is historically a positive month for cryptocurrencies. Having consolidated in recent days, cryptocurrencies may attempt a fresh breakout, surpassing September's highs. Among the most popular coins, the top performers over the past 24 hours were Aave (+11.8%), Aptos (+7.2%) and Litecoin (+4.8%). The worst performers over this period were NEAR Protocol (−5.8%), IOTA (−1.3%) and Cosmos (−1.2%), with the ratio of rising to falling coins close to 3:1.

Bitcoin is attempting to break higher. On Thursday, it failed to hold above $85K, but on Friday morning, it pushed into the $86–87K range, coming close to the highs seen at the start of last week. If successful, the bulls may return to the previous scenario of a Fibonacci impulse extension with potential up to $94K. The release of US labour market statistics could, in theory, either accelerate the rally or reverse the trend. If the report is very strong, markets may once again price in a Fed rate rise in October, reducing demand for risk assets. And Bitcoin may prove to be quite sensitive to this.

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