🚨 Markets are poised for a powerful rebound in upcoming days—but then what?
Considering the sum of market factors, events over the past three days have no historical equivalents.
🔘 Never before in market history has the US market lost almost $10 trillion in just three days (based on intraday highs and lows).
— For comparison, the total market losses from October 2007 through March 2009 totaled about $8.7T—but over 1.5 years. In 2020 it was around $12T, but it took a month. Here, it's just three trading sessions!
🔘 In percentage terms, the scale of the market collapse is unprecedented, having occurred only three times in the past 80 years (March 2020, October 2008, and October 1987).
🔘 The trading volume recently was extraordinary, hitting an all-time historical high—around 2.5 times greater than the average turnover over the last three months. For the US market, deviations this sizable are extremely rare.
🔘 Sell density reached 98% of market-cap-weighted companies by the latest trading session, clearly indicating total panic selling.
🔘 Volatility levels hit numbers comparable to March 2020—and before that, the only comparable volatility spike was from September 2008 to March 2009.
🔘 According to a complex set of technical indicators, the market oversold conditions observed right now have occurred only three times over the past 80 years (March 2020, October 2008, October 1987).
All objective control indicators show that the market is already in crisis territory, dominated by panic-driven, chaotic selling—even though no formal triggers exist within monetary markets, debt markets, macroeconomic statistics, or corporate news.
There’s no formal reason, yet it feels like markets found itself inside an insane asylum (given the decision-making quality of the current White House administration) and expectations around a potentially severe disruption of global trade, bringing far-reaching consequences.
The market already fell by 16.2% in just three days, amplifying volatility dramatically. While that does not guarantee a sustained uptrend, it almost certainly signals a strong impulsive move on the market within the next 5 trading days.
Given institutional market depth, stabilizers will step in to limit the collapse (usually the Fed or primary dealers step onto the stage), or Trump may be forced into a temporary postponement (45–60 days) of extensive new tariffs under negotiation pretexts. Reasons could be plentiful.
We previously outlined the market’s long-term strategic perspectives: no new market highs under Trump are expected. The market strategically entered a bear phase—participants will downgrade economic expectations and corporate profits. The market’s “bubble” will deflate back to historical average returns—but that remains a 2-year perspective.
Short-term, expect a powerful corrective recovery followed by eventual new lows ahead.
Considering the sum of market factors, events over the past three days have no historical equivalents.
🔘 Never before in market history has the US market lost almost $10 trillion in just three days (based on intraday highs and lows).
— For comparison, the total market losses from October 2007 through March 2009 totaled about $8.7T—but over 1.5 years. In 2020 it was around $12T, but it took a month. Here, it's just three trading sessions!
🔘 In percentage terms, the scale of the market collapse is unprecedented, having occurred only three times in the past 80 years (March 2020, October 2008, and October 1987).
🔘 The trading volume recently was extraordinary, hitting an all-time historical high—around 2.5 times greater than the average turnover over the last three months. For the US market, deviations this sizable are extremely rare.
🔘 Sell density reached 98% of market-cap-weighted companies by the latest trading session, clearly indicating total panic selling.
🔘 Volatility levels hit numbers comparable to March 2020—and before that, the only comparable volatility spike was from September 2008 to March 2009.
🔘 According to a complex set of technical indicators, the market oversold conditions observed right now have occurred only three times over the past 80 years (March 2020, October 2008, October 1987).
All objective control indicators show that the market is already in crisis territory, dominated by panic-driven, chaotic selling—even though no formal triggers exist within monetary markets, debt markets, macroeconomic statistics, or corporate news.
There’s no formal reason, yet it feels like markets found itself inside an insane asylum (given the decision-making quality of the current White House administration) and expectations around a potentially severe disruption of global trade, bringing far-reaching consequences.
The market already fell by 16.2% in just three days, amplifying volatility dramatically. While that does not guarantee a sustained uptrend, it almost certainly signals a strong impulsive move on the market within the next 5 trading days.
Given institutional market depth, stabilizers will step in to limit the collapse (usually the Fed or primary dealers step onto the stage), or Trump may be forced into a temporary postponement (45–60 days) of extensive new tariffs under negotiation pretexts. Reasons could be plentiful.
We previously outlined the market’s long-term strategic perspectives: no new market highs under Trump are expected. The market strategically entered a bear phase—participants will downgrade economic expectations and corporate profits. The market’s “bubble” will deflate back to historical average returns—but that remains a 2-year perspective.
Short-term, expect a powerful corrective recovery followed by eventual new lows ahead.
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EASY Bots // Speeding Up ⚡
Stage 1 is coming out this week ⚙️, while Stage 2 is planned within the next 30 days. We’re preparing for major tests in speed and scalability 🚀.
If you’ve ever built a large multi-component system (WebSocket, HTTP APIs, multiple databases, AI models), you know how tough it is to keep everything running smoothly without delays. We’ve tackled the main architectural challenges, and now we’re ready to make EASY Bots even faster.
At the core of EASY Bots are several modules:
• 🤖 Trading algorithm
• Interaction with an AI model
• Initialization system with license checks
• Cloud-based .set files application
• Data exchange for trade logs and statistics
Stage 1 focuses on boosting communication with our AI model. Hundreds of user bots can be installed on hundreds of charts, generating thousands of requests to our Node.js server every second. //comment: ultra-low latency is a top priority.
But what if we want to be faster than broker ticks? Enter Stage 2: we’ll deploy the AI model right on the user’s VPS via MT5 Services. This means each bot on each chart talks to its locally hosted AI model instead of sending every single request to our central server. /result: far fewer requests and a big speed boost!/
• We sped up AI calls on every tick.
• We optimized network processes (license checks, log sending, trade analysis).
• MT5 Services will reduce load on our main server and improve scalability.
Stage 1 rolls out in just a few days. Stage 2 should launch within 30 days. Join the EASY Bots ecosystem – we’re not just building another trading robot, but a complete infrastructure designed by a team of professionals. We’re scaling to handle thousands of users!
Message @fxroboteasyteambot now, and our team (we speak many languages!) will help you with all the details 🤝
//Hashtags
#ForexRobot #TradingRobot #MetaTrader5 #ForexEA #ExpertAdvisor #FXAutomation #AITrading #HighSpeedForex #MT5Upgrade #AIBasedTrading #NodeJSIntegration #RoboticTrading #EASYBots #ForexTech #ScalableForexSystem
Stage 1 is coming out this week ⚙️, while Stage 2 is planned within the next 30 days. We’re preparing for major tests in speed and scalability 🚀.
If you’ve ever built a large multi-component system (WebSocket, HTTP APIs, multiple databases, AI models), you know how tough it is to keep everything running smoothly without delays. We’ve tackled the main architectural challenges, and now we’re ready to make EASY Bots even faster.
At the core of EASY Bots are several modules:
• 🤖 Trading algorithm
• Interaction with an AI model
• Initialization system with license checks
• Cloud-based .set files application
• Data exchange for trade logs and statistics
Stage 1 focuses on boosting communication with our AI model. Hundreds of user bots can be installed on hundreds of charts, generating thousands of requests to our Node.js server every second. //comment: ultra-low latency is a top priority.
But what if we want to be faster than broker ticks? Enter Stage 2: we’ll deploy the AI model right on the user’s VPS via MT5 Services. This means each bot on each chart talks to its locally hosted AI model instead of sending every single request to our central server. /result: far fewer requests and a big speed boost!/
• We sped up AI calls on every tick.
• We optimized network processes (license checks, log sending, trade analysis).
• MT5 Services will reduce load on our main server and improve scalability.
Stage 1 rolls out in just a few days. Stage 2 should launch within 30 days. Join the EASY Bots ecosystem – we’re not just building another trading robot, but a complete infrastructure designed by a team of professionals. We’re scaling to handle thousands of users!
Message @fxroboteasyteambot now, and our team (we speak many languages!) will help you with all the details 🤝
//Hashtags
#ForexRobot #TradingRobot #MetaTrader5 #ForexEA #ExpertAdvisor #FXAutomation #AITrading #HighSpeedForex #MT5Upgrade #AIBasedTrading #NodeJSIntegration #RoboticTrading #EASYBots #ForexTech #ScalableForexSystem
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EASY Bots v8.13 // SpeedMode(ON)
New Release: Faster Execution ⚡ with the Same Trading Logic
Hello, trader! If you thought our previous versions were already fast, v8.13 will definitely amaze you with even quicker code execution. No tricky algorithmic revamp — just pure acceleration for stage_1.
What’s the highlight? We carefully reworked some key parts of the program /* without breaking the trading logic */. Now EASY Bots operates at a notably higher speed, keeping all your trusted settings in place. That means your existing strategies remain untouched, yet they “fly” at a whole new level of performance.
Head to your personal account(https://forexroboteasy.com/account/easy-apps) and download the latest build right now to feel the speed boost. In the bot settings, you’ll see a -=Web DATA=- section; by default, every parameter is set to false. If you want to share your trading history with our database, just flip these to true (only needed on one chart where the bot is running). That gives you real-time analytics in your personal dashboard — //super handy for deep insights!
We’re always improving EASY Bots, with more updates coming soon to boost both performance and profitability. We love your ideas (and we speak many languages!). /* Drop us your suggestions anytime! */
Final note: upgrade to v8.13, enable Web DATA settings if you wish, and enjoy a smoother, faster trading experience. Need help or want to chat? Contact our bot: @fxroboteasyteambot.
#EASYBots #ForexRobot #TradingRobot #MetaTrader5 #ExpertAdvisor #ForexEA
#AutomatedTrading #AlgorithmicTrading #MT5Update #SpeedUpgrade #PerformanceBoost
#ForexBots #TradingSoftware #ForexSystem #ForexServices #FastForexTrading
New Release: Faster Execution ⚡ with the Same Trading Logic
Hello, trader! If you thought our previous versions were already fast, v8.13 will definitely amaze you with even quicker code execution. No tricky algorithmic revamp — just pure acceleration for stage_1.
What’s the highlight? We carefully reworked some key parts of the program /* without breaking the trading logic */. Now EASY Bots operates at a notably higher speed, keeping all your trusted settings in place. That means your existing strategies remain untouched, yet they “fly” at a whole new level of performance.
Head to your personal account(https://forexroboteasy.com/account/easy-apps) and download the latest build right now to feel the speed boost. In the bot settings, you’ll see a -=Web DATA=- section; by default, every parameter is set to false. If you want to share your trading history with our database, just flip these to true (only needed on one chart where the bot is running). That gives you real-time analytics in your personal dashboard — //super handy for deep insights!
We’re always improving EASY Bots, with more updates coming soon to boost both performance and profitability. We love your ideas (and we speak many languages!). /* Drop us your suggestions anytime! */
Final note: upgrade to v8.13, enable Web DATA settings if you wish, and enjoy a smoother, faster trading experience. Need help or want to chat? Contact our bot: @fxroboteasyteambot.
#EASYBots #ForexRobot #TradingRobot #MetaTrader5 #ExpertAdvisor #ForexEA
#AutomatedTrading #AlgorithmicTrading #MT5Update #SpeedUpgrade #PerformanceBoost
#ForexBots #TradingSoftware #ForexSystem #ForexServices #FastForexTrading
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👆 Recommended update for all EASY Bots users!
Version 8.13 is significantly faster than any previous release — our fastest build yet.
We’ve also started prepping for Stage_2 of our network infrastructure: a multi-phase transition we plan to complete in the next 30 days. You might wonder why we didn’t jump straight to Stage_2? Technology evolves through iteration: if we don’t try one route first, we can’t discover better ways. We could have skipped Stage_1, but then you’d never know there was more to improve. We do — and since we use these systems ourselves, we’re not ready to stop innovating!
You can now fully work with version 8.13, which is already blazing fast. The difference between Stage_1 and Stage_2 might be just a few hundred milliseconds — not a big deal for humans, but it can give the bot an edge in a volatile market.
#ForexRobot #TradingBot #MetaTrader5 #ExpertAdvisor #ForexEA
#AutomatedTrading #AlgorithmicTrading #ForexServices #TradeSmarter
Version 8.13 is significantly faster than any previous release — our fastest build yet.
We’ve also started prepping for Stage_2 of our network infrastructure: a multi-phase transition we plan to complete in the next 30 days. You might wonder why we didn’t jump straight to Stage_2? Technology evolves through iteration: if we don’t try one route first, we can’t discover better ways. We could have skipped Stage_1, but then you’d never know there was more to improve. We do — and since we use these systems ourselves, we’re not ready to stop innovating!
You can now fully work with version 8.13, which is already blazing fast. The difference between Stage_1 and Stage_2 might be just a few hundred milliseconds — not a big deal for humans, but it can give the bot an edge in a volatile market.
#ForexRobot #TradingBot #MetaTrader5 #ExpertAdvisor #ForexEA
#AutomatedTrading #AlgorithmicTrading #ForexServices #TradeSmarter
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Scalperology Bot: /* Adapting to Chaos 🤖 */
(Our account stays profitable despite insane market turbulence. See our detailed review and screenshots.)
Anyone who has ever traded in a volatile environment knows how unpredictable results can be. But we don’t fear chaos—we analyze it.
We’ve put our EASY Scalperology Bot through its paces all week, even as the market was in total turmoil. Last week brought a small loss, but now we’re stabilizing. Our AI model quickly adapted to fresh data, so most of our trading accounts powered by Scalperology are back in profit. This proves how S1_Profit (configured for 12 currency pairs) automatically adjusts to new conditions.
Check the attached screenshots for performance from 2025.01.23 until today (04.07). We started with a $10,000 deposit, and now our balance stands at $17,171.94 with a total profit of $8,100.94. This week alone brought in $1,147.48, and we withdrew $929 earlier. While chaos in the market has destroyed fortunes, we stayed afloat. Even better, any EASY Bots user can replicate our results: the exact settings and configuration files we use are available to everyone.
We continuously track every trade, evaluate top-performing parameters, and update them in real time. That means you don’t need to worry if the market shifts—the robot automatically uses new settings whenever it detects a market cycle change.
/* Final Note: We want to see your progress, too! Contact @fxroboteasyteambot (our team speaks multiple languages). Join Scalperology and try out our S1_Profit settings today. */
#ScalperologyAI #S1_Profit #AdaptiveTrading #ForexEA #ExpertAdvisor #MT5 #ForexRobot #TradingRobot #ForexTrading #AlgorithmicTrading #ScalperBot #CodingForTraders #MarketInChaos
(Our account stays profitable despite insane market turbulence. See our detailed review and screenshots.)
Anyone who has ever traded in a volatile environment knows how unpredictable results can be. But we don’t fear chaos—we analyze it.
We’ve put our EASY Scalperology Bot through its paces all week, even as the market was in total turmoil. Last week brought a small loss, but now we’re stabilizing. Our AI model quickly adapted to fresh data, so most of our trading accounts powered by Scalperology are back in profit. This proves how S1_Profit (configured for 12 currency pairs) automatically adjusts to new conditions.
Check the attached screenshots for performance from 2025.01.23 until today (04.07). We started with a $10,000 deposit, and now our balance stands at $17,171.94 with a total profit of $8,100.94. This week alone brought in $1,147.48, and we withdrew $929 earlier. While chaos in the market has destroyed fortunes, we stayed afloat. Even better, any EASY Bots user can replicate our results: the exact settings and configuration files we use are available to everyone.
We continuously track every trade, evaluate top-performing parameters, and update them in real time. That means you don’t need to worry if the market shifts—the robot automatically uses new settings whenever it detects a market cycle change.
/* Final Note: We want to see your progress, too! Contact @fxroboteasyteambot (our team speaks multiple languages). Join Scalperology and try out our S1_Profit settings today. */
#ScalperologyAI #S1_Profit #AdaptiveTrading #ForexEA #ExpertAdvisor #MT5 #ForexRobot #TradingRobot #ForexTrading #AlgorithmicTrading #ScalperBot #CodingForTraders #MarketInChaos
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ChaosMarketView() // +10.77% in one session 🤯
"Record-Breaking Volatility, Yet We Still Seek Profit with EASY Bots"
Yesterday, the US market soared by 10.77% from the intraday low to the high — something that has only happened once in history (on 10/28/2008 with 11.27%). The final close was +9.51%, exceeded only by two dates in 2008. Trading volume also set a record at 845.4 billion, with Nvidia at 66.3 billion, Tesla at 55.8 billion, and Apple at 35 billion. Such massive activity 💥 signals an extremely high level of market engagement.
Volatility remains sky-high: 20% lower than the April 7 peak, yet still many times above February levels. The S&P 500 has sunk 21.4% from its February peak, and the NASDAQ 25.6%. We saw similar dramatic drops and rebounds in 2008, 2020, and 2022, when the market quickly “bounced” after severe losses. Does this guarantee a new bull run? 🚧 Hard to say, as history shows further lows can follow big rallies.
Our EASY Set Analyze doesn’t create profit from thin air — it carefully studies the market to find effective setups for EASY Bots. While chaos can be intimidating, we rely on real analytics to adapt to sudden price swings. The system offers ready-made configuration files, or you can do your own analysis. 🤓 No magic, just numbers and tested data.
Fact 1: +10.77% in one day — only the second time in 15 years.
Fact 2: Peak volatility (about 14 times higher than in February).
Fact 3: Reminiscent of 2008, when the market once jumped +19.9% in one session.
Even in such chaos, we still manage to earn. The chance of success grows when you have the right tool. Message us at @fxroboteasyteambot (we speak many languages) and explore our live analytics tables!
"Record-Breaking Volatility, Yet We Still Seek Profit with EASY Bots"
Yesterday, the US market soared by 10.77% from the intraday low to the high — something that has only happened once in history (on 10/28/2008 with 11.27%). The final close was +9.51%, exceeded only by two dates in 2008. Trading volume also set a record at 845.4 billion, with Nvidia at 66.3 billion, Tesla at 55.8 billion, and Apple at 35 billion. Such massive activity 💥 signals an extremely high level of market engagement.
Volatility remains sky-high: 20% lower than the April 7 peak, yet still many times above February levels. The S&P 500 has sunk 21.4% from its February peak, and the NASDAQ 25.6%. We saw similar dramatic drops and rebounds in 2008, 2020, and 2022, when the market quickly “bounced” after severe losses. Does this guarantee a new bull run? 🚧 Hard to say, as history shows further lows can follow big rallies.
Our EASY Set Analyze doesn’t create profit from thin air — it carefully studies the market to find effective setups for EASY Bots. While chaos can be intimidating, we rely on real analytics to adapt to sudden price swings. The system offers ready-made configuration files, or you can do your own analysis. 🤓 No magic, just numbers and tested data.
Fact 1: +10.77% in one day — only the second time in 15 years.
Fact 2: Peak volatility (about 14 times higher than in February).
Fact 3: Reminiscent of 2008, when the market once jumped +19.9% in one session.
Even in such chaos, we still manage to earn. The chance of success grows when you have the right tool. Message us at @fxroboteasyteambot (we speak many languages) and explore our live analytics tables!
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Guys, 🤐 no further comments. This market is the craziest 🤪 one we've ever run EASY Bots on. And guess what—our trading robots seem to love it: trade after trade, some losses, some wins, but overall we’re on the rise! 🚀
/* Stay tuned */
We’ll share more detailed reports on Scalperology Ai MT5 and Breakopedia Ai MT5 soon. ⏳
#ForexTrading #AlgoTrading #MT5EA #TradingRobot #AutomatedForex #EASYBots #ScalperologyAi #BreakopediaAi #HighVolatility #TradeAnalysis
/* Stay tuned */
We’ll share more detailed reports on Scalperology Ai MT5 and Breakopedia Ai MT5 soon. ⏳
#ForexTrading #AlgoTrading #MT5EA #TradingRobot #AutomatedForex #EASYBots #ScalperologyAi #BreakopediaAi #HighVolatility #TradeAnalysis
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‼️ High-Impact News Alert ‼️
Today, we have many Red Flag News, which could bring even more volatility to an already turbulent week. 📉📈 Expect sharp market movements!
If you're trading manually or using EAs, exercise extreme caution or consider staying out of the market today. Risk management is key! 🚨🙏🏻
https://forexroboteasy.com/economic-calendar/
Today, we have many Red Flag News, which could bring even more volatility to an already turbulent week. 📉📈 Expect sharp market movements!
If you're trading manually or using EAs, exercise extreme caution or consider staying out of the market today. Risk management is key! 🚨🙏🏻
https://forexroboteasy.com/economic-calendar/
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MegaProfit_Breakdown();
/* The hottest stats from EASY Scalperology Bot in a chaotic market ⚡ */
Hey everyone! Today we’re breaking down our real trading account, where EASY Scalperology Bot is the star. The attached screenshots will show you all the trade details, risk parameters, and recent profit figures.
Despite a small loss last week, we’re seeing an impressive surge in results. Market turbulence is off the charts (chaos, massive losses everywhere 😱), but our bot managed to adapt and stabilize. The biggest proof of its adaptive nature? We just had the most profitable day ever on our S1_PayOFF account, with today’s profit hitting +$2742.64.
What’s the secret? It’s simple: our AI model loads fresh data weekly and automatically updates the bot’s settings. No manual optimization needed, because everything comes from the cloud. Zero hassle, just truly EASY adaptive trading! In the screenshots, you’ll see how the bot traded 12 currency pairs using the S1_PayOFF set-file. Overall profit is $14,037.15 from a $10,000 deposit. The balance stands at $20,188.15, even after a withdrawal of -$3,848.00.
/* Key facts:
Trading started on 2025.01.23 (today is 04.07).
The bot changes its strategy based on market cycles.
The same settings are used by us and our clients. */
Don’t believe in any “magic bullet” – we provide real analytics and powerful tools so you can thrive in the toughest conditions. Want to connect to EASY Bots? Drop a message to @fxroboteasyteambot (our team speaks multiple languages).
// Hashtags
#S1_PayOFF #ForexEA #TradingRobot #ExpertAdvisor #MetaTrader5 #ForexProfit #AdaptToMarket #ScalpingBot #EASYBots #BotAnalytics #ForexTrading
/* The hottest stats from EASY Scalperology Bot in a chaotic market ⚡ */
Hey everyone! Today we’re breaking down our real trading account, where EASY Scalperology Bot is the star. The attached screenshots will show you all the trade details, risk parameters, and recent profit figures.
Despite a small loss last week, we’re seeing an impressive surge in results. Market turbulence is off the charts (chaos, massive losses everywhere 😱), but our bot managed to adapt and stabilize. The biggest proof of its adaptive nature? We just had the most profitable day ever on our S1_PayOFF account, with today’s profit hitting +$2742.64.
What’s the secret? It’s simple: our AI model loads fresh data weekly and automatically updates the bot’s settings. No manual optimization needed, because everything comes from the cloud. Zero hassle, just truly EASY adaptive trading! In the screenshots, you’ll see how the bot traded 12 currency pairs using the S1_PayOFF set-file. Overall profit is $14,037.15 from a $10,000 deposit. The balance stands at $20,188.15, even after a withdrawal of -$3,848.00.
/* Key facts:
Trading started on 2025.01.23 (today is 04.07).
The bot changes its strategy based on market cycles.
The same settings are used by us and our clients. */
Don’t believe in any “magic bullet” – we provide real analytics and powerful tools so you can thrive in the toughest conditions. Want to connect to EASY Bots? Drop a message to @fxroboteasyteambot (our team speaks multiple languages).
// Hashtags
#S1_PayOFF #ForexEA #TradingRobot #ExpertAdvisor #MetaTrader5 #ForexProfit #AdaptToMarket #ScalpingBot #EASYBots #BotAnalytics #ForexTrading
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Why Did the Dollar Weaken While Treasury Yields Rose During Market Panic?
It is worth looking separately at the Treasury market.
It turned out that many market participants, operating under the old paradigm, assumed that financial market instability would activate the longstanding principle: “in times of risk, move into the dollar and Treasuries.” That approach isn’t working now.
Yes, this was usually the case in the modern architecture of the financial system. For example, during the 2008 crisis, the dollar surged by 25% (!) against major currencies; during the rate hike cycle starting in 2015, the dollar also climbed by 25%; and in the acute phase of the COVID crisis, it jumped nearly 9% within a couple of weeks.
However, this time the dollar is falling. If we take the point of rising tension in late February 2025, the dollar at one point lost almost 6%, and is currently down about 4.5%. At the height of panic starting April 3, the dollar dropped 2.8% in the moment and 1.5% by April 9.
Even more surprising (under the old paradigm) are the moves in the Treasury market. For instance, 10-year Treasuries rallied (their yields fell) from 4.2% to 3.9% by April 4, but as of the morning of April 7, a sharp collapse sent yields spiking from 3.9% to 4.5% at one point—a move not seen since 2020.
Even bigger swings hit the long-term 30-year Treasuries, which went from 4.35% to 5% in just two days. The collapse was so severe that it nearly derailed scheduled Treasury auctions.
In the past, any tension in the financial system, economy, or geopolitics would lead to a rally in government bonds (lower yields), but not this time. So why?
▪️ First, the madness of Trump and his team is not just a figure of speech, but a very real, disruptive factor causing numerous problems.
Trump provokes chaos, instability, and uncertainty, breaking the rules and laws by which the system functioned. Money does not like the ignorant, reactionary, or unpredictable. Money prefers tranquility, stability, and predictability, where long-term planning is possible.
By creating flashpoints of tension everywhere—rampaging like a deranged buffalo—Trump destabilizes a fragile system, preventing liquidity from flowing into long-term instruments.
What is Trump doing? He’s shrinking the horizon for investment and planning from 30 years down to … one day (yes, just one!). Nobody knows what this man will come up with each morning, or what “surprise” he’ll deliver in the evening. A 125% tariff on the largest trading partner with a turnover above $600 billion? Why not 250% or 500%? Tariffs today, canceled tomorrow, only to be reinstated again. That’s how everything works now.
And there is neither logic, nor strategy, nor calculation nor backing in any of Trump’s actions—just pure adolescent or, on the contrary, senile voluntarism, whipped up by aggressive narcissism and settling scores with imaginary enemies.
Money is about being smart, calculating, and farsighted—planning ahead and weighing risks. The financial market sees Trump’s team as bullies with a progressing mental deficiency and votes against them.
▪️ The second major reason is rising inflation risks. These stem directly from shifting trade costs, provoking secondary negative effects and fueling inflation expectations against the backdrop of a potential slide into prolonged stagflation.
▪️ The third reason is the likely exit of large foreign investors (primarily China and Europe) from dollar assets, following Trump’s rude, subversive, and openly hostile maneuvers on the international stage and in negotiations with key U.S. allies. I wrote about this back in November (right after Trump’s victory).
▪️ The fourth reason (not the main one, and more of a short-term, technical factor) is the wave of margin calls. Many traders and hedge funds were forced to sell any assets to cover current market positions, especially since Treasuries no longer serve as a “safe haven.”
It is worth looking separately at the Treasury market.
It turned out that many market participants, operating under the old paradigm, assumed that financial market instability would activate the longstanding principle: “in times of risk, move into the dollar and Treasuries.” That approach isn’t working now.
Yes, this was usually the case in the modern architecture of the financial system. For example, during the 2008 crisis, the dollar surged by 25% (!) against major currencies; during the rate hike cycle starting in 2015, the dollar also climbed by 25%; and in the acute phase of the COVID crisis, it jumped nearly 9% within a couple of weeks.
However, this time the dollar is falling. If we take the point of rising tension in late February 2025, the dollar at one point lost almost 6%, and is currently down about 4.5%. At the height of panic starting April 3, the dollar dropped 2.8% in the moment and 1.5% by April 9.
Even more surprising (under the old paradigm) are the moves in the Treasury market. For instance, 10-year Treasuries rallied (their yields fell) from 4.2% to 3.9% by April 4, but as of the morning of April 7, a sharp collapse sent yields spiking from 3.9% to 4.5% at one point—a move not seen since 2020.
Even bigger swings hit the long-term 30-year Treasuries, which went from 4.35% to 5% in just two days. The collapse was so severe that it nearly derailed scheduled Treasury auctions.
In the past, any tension in the financial system, economy, or geopolitics would lead to a rally in government bonds (lower yields), but not this time. So why?
▪️ First, the madness of Trump and his team is not just a figure of speech, but a very real, disruptive factor causing numerous problems.
Trump provokes chaos, instability, and uncertainty, breaking the rules and laws by which the system functioned. Money does not like the ignorant, reactionary, or unpredictable. Money prefers tranquility, stability, and predictability, where long-term planning is possible.
By creating flashpoints of tension everywhere—rampaging like a deranged buffalo—Trump destabilizes a fragile system, preventing liquidity from flowing into long-term instruments.
What is Trump doing? He’s shrinking the horizon for investment and planning from 30 years down to … one day (yes, just one!). Nobody knows what this man will come up with each morning, or what “surprise” he’ll deliver in the evening. A 125% tariff on the largest trading partner with a turnover above $600 billion? Why not 250% or 500%? Tariffs today, canceled tomorrow, only to be reinstated again. That’s how everything works now.
And there is neither logic, nor strategy, nor calculation nor backing in any of Trump’s actions—just pure adolescent or, on the contrary, senile voluntarism, whipped up by aggressive narcissism and settling scores with imaginary enemies.
Money is about being smart, calculating, and farsighted—planning ahead and weighing risks. The financial market sees Trump’s team as bullies with a progressing mental deficiency and votes against them.
▪️ The second major reason is rising inflation risks. These stem directly from shifting trade costs, provoking secondary negative effects and fueling inflation expectations against the backdrop of a potential slide into prolonged stagflation.
▪️ The third reason is the likely exit of large foreign investors (primarily China and Europe) from dollar assets, following Trump’s rude, subversive, and openly hostile maneuvers on the international stage and in negotiations with key U.S. allies. I wrote about this back in November (right after Trump’s victory).
▪️ The fourth reason (not the main one, and more of a short-term, technical factor) is the wave of margin calls. Many traders and hedge funds were forced to sell any assets to cover current market positions, especially since Treasuries no longer serve as a “safe haven.”
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Soon, we’ll need to hit planned issuance levels (after raising the debt ceiling), but that might not happen once key (non-resident) investors withdraw from the market. Things are about to get even more interesting.
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If you’d like to discuss economics, finance, or technology, feel free to write to our bot. Our team includes specialists from diverse backgrounds, yet we’re all united by one passion: trading!
@fxroboteasyteambot
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