$BTC options are turning less defensive as put/call ratios and short-dated skew fall, while volatility stays compressed.
Here's what BTC options data reveals about positioning, volatility, and sentiment beneath the surface.👇
The $BTC options OI put/call ratio has fallen sharply to ~0.52, down from ~0.76 in late June. Call open interest is gaining share relative to puts, signalling an unwind in defensive positioning as price stabilises near $67K.
https://glassno.de/4wDxt6J
$BTC ATM implied volatility remains compressed across the curve, with 1W at 34.3% versus 6M at 40.8%. The upward-sloping term structure shows near-term event risk is being discounted, while longer-dated uncertainty retains a modest premium.
25-delta skew has fallen sharply at the front end, with 1W dropping near 4%, while 3M–6M remain around 11–12%. Near-term downside hedging is unwinding, but longer-dated options retain a defensive premium.
https://glassno.de/4fCt2Sf
Here's what BTC options data reveals about positioning, volatility, and sentiment beneath the surface.👇
The $BTC options OI put/call ratio has fallen sharply to ~0.52, down from ~0.76 in late June. Call open interest is gaining share relative to puts, signalling an unwind in defensive positioning as price stabilises near $67K.
https://glassno.de/4wDxt6J
$BTC ATM implied volatility remains compressed across the curve, with 1W at 34.3% versus 6M at 40.8%. The upward-sloping term structure shows near-term event risk is being discounted, while longer-dated uncertainty retains a modest premium.
25-delta skew has fallen sharply at the front end, with 1W dropping near 4%, while 3M–6M remain around 11–12%. Near-term downside hedging is unwinding, but longer-dated options retain a defensive premium.
https://glassno.de/4fCt2Sf
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Speculative supply is thinning while dormant coins climb. Our 3Q26 Charting Crypto report with Coinbase Institutional outlines how the macro liquidity cycle is steering price, and where early accumulation signals are forming.
Download the report
Download the report
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$BTC rebounded from $64K to $65.1K but remains range-bound. Softer leverage, ETF outflows and muted on-chain activity signal cautious consolidation despite resilient holders.
Read this week’s Market Pulse👇
Read this week’s Market Pulse👇
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The market has gone very quiet: spot volumes, exchange flows, and vols are sitting at the extremes.
Meanwhile treasuries have out-yielded the crypto carry trade for only the second time on record.
Read the full Week on Chain Report "Paid to Wait" here
Meanwhile treasuries have out-yielded the crypto carry trade for only the second time on record.
Read the full Week on Chain Report "Paid to Wait" here
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This bear market is 49% deep. Every prior one bottomed far below that.
By depth, it is the mildest on record so far. By the clock it isn't finished: prior bear markets ran about 1/3 longer before reaching the lows
See more in our report "Paid to Wait"
By depth, it is the mildest on record so far. By the clock it isn't finished: prior bear markets ran about 1/3 longer before reaching the lows
See more in our report "Paid to Wait"
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Glassnode
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$BTC has slipped back to $62.6K, unwinding much of July’s rebound and returning to the lower end of its range. Yet options positioning is rebuilding while implied volatility remains subdued, signalling continued market complacency.
Short-dated ATM volatility has fallen sharply, with 1-week IV near 34% versus ~42% at six months. The steepening term structure signals muted near-term risk, but persistent uncertainty further out.
https://glassno.de/4pLcTOQ
Call OI has rebounded to ~$23B while put OI sits near ~$11B, pulling the put/call ratio towards 0.5. Positioning remains call-heavy, signalling stronger upside participation than demand for protection.
https://glassno.de/4fxt3bd
Bitcoin options open interest has rebuilt to ~$34B from June’s ~$25B low as BTC recovered towards $65K. Positioning is returning, but remains below 2025 peaks, signalling renewed engagement without excessive leverage.
https://glassno.de/4pQvcCt
Wrap-up:
Positioning has rebuilt, but volatility markets remain notably relaxed despite renewed price weakness. Call-side OI dominates, while low DVOL suggests traders are still pricing limited near-term movement.
Short-dated ATM volatility has fallen sharply, with 1-week IV near 34% versus ~42% at six months. The steepening term structure signals muted near-term risk, but persistent uncertainty further out.
https://glassno.de/4pLcTOQ
Call OI has rebounded to ~$23B while put OI sits near ~$11B, pulling the put/call ratio towards 0.5. Positioning remains call-heavy, signalling stronger upside participation than demand for protection.
https://glassno.de/4fxt3bd
Bitcoin options open interest has rebuilt to ~$34B from June’s ~$25B low as BTC recovered towards $65K. Positioning is returning, but remains below 2025 peaks, signalling renewed engagement without excessive leverage.
https://glassno.de/4pQvcCt
Wrap-up:
Positioning has rebuilt, but volatility markets remain notably relaxed despite renewed price weakness. Call-side OI dominates, while low DVOL suggests traders are still pricing limited near-term movement.
Glassnode Studio
BTC Options ATM Implied Volatility (All) Deribit - Glassnode
**Definition.** The at-the-money (ATM) implied volatility for options contracts expiring 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months from today. Implied volatility is the market's expectation of future volatility, derived by solving the option-pricing equation…
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The dollar has been rallying since May, and $BTC is taking it worse than almost any dollar rally on record.
Across every dollar rally since 2015, $BTC showed significantly more relative strength.
A flip of this relationship would be a positive signal
https://glassno.de/4c8YqXl
Across every dollar rally since 2015, $BTC showed significantly more relative strength.
A flip of this relationship would be a positive signal
https://glassno.de/4c8YqXl
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Three-month futures basis has paid less than a 2-year Treasury since February.
Only one other stretch on record has run this long: August 2022 into January 2023. It ended at the cycle low.
This also directly impacts depth and volumes across the market.
https://glassno.de/3REiIkJ
Only one other stretch on record has run this long: August 2022 into January 2023. It ended at the cycle low.
This also directly impacts depth and volumes across the market.
https://glassno.de/3REiIkJ
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An extreme day for $BTC: As the Coldcard hack news broke on Friday, eight on-chain metrics printed values well above their two-year median.
The data indicates holders are migrating their coins to new wallets rather than sending to exchanges
https://glassno.de/4g6zy54
The data indicates holders are migrating their coins to new wallets rather than sending to exchanges
https://glassno.de/4g6zy54
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$BTC has slipped to $62.6k as spot demand remains weak and derivatives stay defensive. Stronger on-chain activity, resilient holders and ETF inflows offer support, but conviction remains muted.
Read this week’s Market Pulse👇
Read this week’s Market Pulse👇
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