Intel Slava
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Intel slava is a Russian News aggregator who covers Conflicts/Geopolitics and urgent news from around the world.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑMeanwhile, the ceasefire between Israel and Iran announced earlier by Trump came into effect.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโ€ผ๏ธ Times of Israel correspondent: The IDF Home Front Command says there are no changes to its guidelines for the Israeli public, after US President Donald Trump said that Israel and Iran have agreed to a ceasefire.

"The public is requested to continue to follow the instructions of the Home Front Command through official channels," the military says.

Gathering are still banned, and schools and workplaces are closed under the guidelines.

๐Ÿ”— Emanuel Fabian
Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch
#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Iranian Foreign Minister officially denies any agreement for a ceasefire between Iran and Israel!

โžก๏ธ Iran will agree to stop the fight if Israel does not resume bombing in the next 10 minutes, very paradoxical.
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๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทA faulty anti-aircraft missile crashes in Qatar during attempts to shoot down Iranian missiles heading to the Al Udeid air base.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑAccording to the new post by the head of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, who visited Vladimir Putin less than 24 hours ago, direct military action between Israel and Iran has indeed come to an end:

"The military operations of our powerful Armed Forces to punish Israel for its aggression continued until the very last minute, until 4 am.

Together with all Iranians, I thank our brave Armed Forces, who remain ready to defend our dear country until the last drop of blood and who responded to any enemy attacks until the very last minute."
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Forwarded from Nicholas J. Fuentes
My preliminary analysis based on the events of the last 48 hours are that despite the US strikes, muted Iranian response, and dubious announcement of a ceasefireโ€” the fundamental strategic situation between Israel, Iran, and the US has not changed.

Israel continues to seek regime change. Iran's nuclear program has apparently not been destroyed. And there is little hope that the United States can resume diplomacy with Iran.

Iran's retaliation and their apparent decision not to withdraw from the NPT or close the Strait of Hormuz is de-escalatory. Trump has clearly preferred a diplomatic resolution throughout the 60-day timetable and the "12-day war."

Israel cannot survive a sustained conflict of this nature with Iran. Which means they will have to escalate their tactics or sue for a temporary ceasefire.

Earlier today, the Washington Post reported that IRGC commanders received a 12-hour ultimatum from Mossad to oppose to Iranian regime or have their families killed. Israel is carrying out the most intense strikes since the war started as we speak, including assassinations.

Is this one last blow before a short reprieve? Or a last-minute sucker punch to provoke Iran into reneging on the ceasefire, assuming there was such an agreement.

Israel's attack on Iran galvanized the public against the West and rallied them to the regime. Are the IRGC assassinations and ceasefire a gambit to leave room for an "organic uprising" to breathe?

There are still conflicting reports on the ceasefire. And why would Iran trust the US and Israel after they broke similar agreements with Hamas and Hezbollah and after the surprise attacks by Israel and the US? The fog of war remains...

Much to consider, but the fact remains that the forces that drove these hostilities remain unchanged, and have probably intensified.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - โ€ฆcan someone please check and see if heโ€™s okay?
Forwarded from Fotros Resistance
๐ŸšจSirens north and Negev
Forwarded from Fotros Resistance
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Impact in the north; likely from a shrapnel
Forwarded from Fotros Resistance
๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ| BREAKING: Renewed launches of ballistic missiles from Iran towards the center
โ€”โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Incoming Tel Aviv

@Middle_East_Spectator
โ€”โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท BREAKING: Impacts in the Negev

@Middle_East_Spectator
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ“ - I genuinely have no idea whatโ€™s happening, IDF Radio is saying the ceasefire is to take place in roughly 60 minutes, Barak Ravid (Israeli reporter for Axios who is close to Trump) was saying it was supposed to take effect in roughly 10 minutes as of time of this post.
๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - The side who is desperate for this to end does not do that in the video below.

๐Ÿ”— Patarames

๐Ÿ“ Intel Slava - Largely in agreement with Patarames (Iranian defense commentator) here at this point. Israel agreeing to a ceasefire, particularly one where Iran was allowed to end the war with these launches, suggests theyโ€™re just as exhausted. It is notable the strikes yesterday only had a 50% interception rate and it was the first time the Iranians had targeted Israelโ€™s electrical grid, which is a well known weak point for them. Keep that in mind given the suddenness of the agreement.

Overall, itโ€™s too early for definitive analysis yet, and we will need to wait for satellite overflights of both countries over the next few days to get an idea of the exact battle damage of both sides.