The Nifty 50 erased 1.33 percent from its intraday high of 23,120 to close 0.34 percent lower on October 21, extending its losses for a second consecutive session. The persistently weak broader market structure and elevated oil prices are likely to keep bearish sentiment intact. According to experts, if the index manages to hold above the Bollinger Bands’ midline at 22,790 on a closing basis, a rebound toward the 22,900–23,000 zone is possible. The 23,200 level remains a crucial hurdlefor any further sharp upside. However, a break below 22,790, followed by sustained trading below this level, could increase the likelihood of a further decline toward 22,600–22,500.



Key Levels For The Nifty 50 (22,811)

Resistance based on pivot points: 23,041, 23,152, and 23,332
Support based on pivot points: 22,681, 22,570, and 22,390

Special Formation: The Nifty 50 formed a long bearish candle with sizeable upper and lower shadows on the daily chart, indicating persistent weakness amid volatility. After falling below the 20-day EMA, the index traded below all key moving averages, although it managed to hold marginally above the midline of the Bollinger Bands, which generally acts as a support level. The RSI declined to 46.27but remained above its signal line. Meanwhile, the MACD maintained its uptrend above the reference line, although the green histogram bar contracted after expanding over the previous four sessions. Overall, these technical indicators suggest that bearish momentum is strengthening, while the index is attempting to hold near-term support, leaving room for a potential recovery if buying interest emerges.

Key Levels For The Bank Nifty (54,977)

Resistance based on pivot points: 55,628, 55,904, and 56,351

Support based on pivot points: 54,733, 54,457, and 54,009

Resistance based on Fibonacci retracement: 55,657, 56,238

Support based on Fibonacci retracement: 55,049, 54,053

Special Formation: The Bank Nifty fell 0.92 percent and formed a long bearish candle on the daily chart, slipping decisively below its short-term moving averages and indicating rising selling pressure. The index is now trading below all key moving averages as well as the midline of the Bollinger Bands, signalling a weakening technical structure. The RSI declined to 43.51 and is nearing a bearish crossover. Meanwhile, the MACD moved lower but remained above its signal line, while the green histogram bar contracted for the second consecutive session. Overall, these technical indicators point to increasing bearish momentum.

🌍 Global & Geopolitical Updates
🔹 Russia-Ukraine Peace Deal: US President Donald Trump said Washington may be close to a peace deal with Russia to end the Ukraine war. He indicated that imposing sanctions during delicate negotiations could affect progress.
🔹 Core Sector Growth: India's eight core industries recorded 7.9% growth in September, the fastest pace in the new data series, supported by strong iron ore, electricity and cement production. Growth stood at 3.1% in September last year and 5.9% in August 2026.
🔹 Crude Oil: Oil prices surged amid supply concerns following fresh attacks in Saudi Arabia. Brent crude rose 1.09% to $110.01 per barrel, while WTI gained 0.87% to $98.00.
🇺🇸 Wall Street
US markets closed higher on Wednesday, led by AI-related stocks.
🟢 Dow Jones: +0.69% at 52,856.09
🟢 S&P 500: +0.58% at 7,757.17
🟢 Nasdaq: +1.05% at 26,702.86
🇮🇳 Indian Market Recap
🔴 Sensex: -143.21 points (-0.19%) at 73,709.69
🔴 Nifty 50: -77.60 points (-0.34%) at 22,811.35
Market sentiment remains cautious amid elevated crude oil prices, geopolitical uncertainties and weak broader-market participation. Analysts recommend a selective, stock-specific approach with balanced positioning.
🌏 Asian Markets
Asian markets traded mixed on Thursday.
🔴 Nikkei 225: -0.35%
🟢 Topix: +0.24%
🔴 Kospi: -0.90%
🔴 Kosdaq: -1.16%
🔴 Hang Seng Futures: Indicated a lower opening.
📌 Key Things to Track Today
Crude Oil Prices: Sustained prices above $110 could pressure Indian equities, inflation and the rupee.
Global Market Cues: Mixed Asian markets and overnight gains on Wall Street may create stock-specific opportunities.
Geopolitical Developments: Progress on Russia-Ukraine negotiations and developments in Saudi Arabia could influence risk sentiment.

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