🔴 ⚠️ BREAKING: US PPI YOY ACTUAL 6.3% (FORECAST 5.4%, PREVIOUS 5.4%) $MACRO ...
CANADIAN MANUFACTURING SALES MOM ACTUAL 1.5% (FORECAST 1.1%, PREVIOUS -0.4%) $MACRO ...
🔴 US CORE PPI MOM ACTUAL 0.7% (FORECAST 0.3%, PREVIOUS 0.2%) $MACRO ...
US PHILLY FED BUSINESS INDEX ACTUAL 20.9 (FORECAST 28, PREVIOUS 37.8) $MACRO ...
US PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX (OCT) ACTUAL: 20.9 VS 37.8 PREVIOUS; EST 28.0 ...
*US SEPT. PRODUCER PRICES RISE 6.3% Y/Y; EST. +5.4%
*US SEPT. PRODUCER PRICES RISE 1.3% M/M; EST. +0.6%
*US SEPT. RETAIL SALES RISE 0.8% M/M; EST. +0.3% ...
*US SEPT. PRODUCER PRICES RISE 1.3% M/M; EST. +0.6%
*US SEPT. RETAIL SALES RISE 0.8% M/M; EST. +0.3% ...
US CONTINUING JOBLESS CLAIMS ACTUAL: 1710K VS 1716K PREVIOUS; EST 1709K ...
JAPAN'S FIN. MIN. KATAYAMA: G20 REAFFIRMED PAST COMMITMENTS ON FOREIGN EXCHANGE ...
US RETAIL SALES YOY ACTUAL 6.29% (FORECAST -, PREVIOUS 6.01% ,REVISION 5.36%) $MACRO ...
👍1
JAPAN'S FIN. MIN. KATAYAMA TO G20: WE NEED TO MONITOR MKT MOVES WITH HIGH URGENCY. ...
U.S. ECONOMIC DATA — OCTOBER 15, 2026
INFLATION — SEPTEMBER PPI
🔸 HEADLINE PPI MOM: +1.3% (EST. +0.6%)
🔸 HEADLINE PPI YOY: +6.3% (EST. +5.4%)
🔸 CORE PPI MOM: +0.7% (EST. +0.3%)
🔸 CORE PPI YOY: +5.0% (EST. +4.4%)
🔸 PPI EX-FOOD, ENERGY & TRADE: +0.5% MOM, +5.0% YOY
🔸 ENERGY PRICES: +10.8%
🔸 FOOD PRICES: +1.2%
🔸 GOODS PRICES: +2.6%
🔸 SERVICES PRICES: +0.8%
🔸 TRADE SERVICES: +1.4%
CONSUMER SPENDING — SEPTEMBER
🔸 RETAIL SALES: +0.8% MOM (EST. +0.3%)
🔸 RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS: +0.9% (EST. +0.5%)
🔸 RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS & GAS: +0.2%
🔸 RETAIL SALES CONTROL GROUP: +0.1%
🔸 AUGUST RETAIL SALES: REVISED TO +1.1%
🔸 AUGUST EX-AUTOS: REVISED TO +1.3%
🔸 AUGUST CONTROL GROUP: +1.2%
LABOR MARKET
🔸 INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 199K (EST. 200K; PRIOR 198K, REVISED FROM 197K)
🔸 CONTINUING CLAIMS: 1.710M (PRIOR 1.714M, REVISED FROM 1.716M)
MANUFACTURING — OCTOBER
🔸 NY EMPIRE STATE INDEX: 25.5 (PRIOR 7.6)
🔸 NY PRICES PAID: 59.5 (PRIOR 63.1)
🔸 NY NEW ORDERS: 23.2 (PRIOR 2.0)
🔸 NY EMPLOYMENT: 10.3 (PRIOR 10.6)
🔸 PHILADELPHIA FED INDEX: 20.9 (EST. 28.0)
🔸 PHILADELPHIA PRICES PAID: 43.2 (PRIOR 48.6)
THE KEY TAKEAWAY: PRODUCER INFLATION SIGNIFICANTLY EXCEEDED EXPECTATIONS, CONSUMER SPENDING REMAINED STRONG, AND JOBLESS CLAIMS STAYED LOW — REINFORCING CONCERNS THAT THE FED MAY NEED TO TIGHTEN MONETARY POLICY FURTHER. ...
INFLATION — SEPTEMBER PPI
🔸 HEADLINE PPI MOM: +1.3% (EST. +0.6%)
🔸 HEADLINE PPI YOY: +6.3% (EST. +5.4%)
🔸 CORE PPI MOM: +0.7% (EST. +0.3%)
🔸 CORE PPI YOY: +5.0% (EST. +4.4%)
🔸 PPI EX-FOOD, ENERGY & TRADE: +0.5% MOM, +5.0% YOY
🔸 ENERGY PRICES: +10.8%
🔸 FOOD PRICES: +1.2%
🔸 GOODS PRICES: +2.6%
🔸 SERVICES PRICES: +0.8%
🔸 TRADE SERVICES: +1.4%
CONSUMER SPENDING — SEPTEMBER
🔸 RETAIL SALES: +0.8% MOM (EST. +0.3%)
🔸 RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS: +0.9% (EST. +0.5%)
🔸 RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS & GAS: +0.2%
🔸 RETAIL SALES CONTROL GROUP: +0.1%
🔸 AUGUST RETAIL SALES: REVISED TO +1.1%
🔸 AUGUST EX-AUTOS: REVISED TO +1.3%
🔸 AUGUST CONTROL GROUP: +1.2%
LABOR MARKET
🔸 INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS: 199K (EST. 200K; PRIOR 198K, REVISED FROM 197K)
🔸 CONTINUING CLAIMS: 1.710M (PRIOR 1.714M, REVISED FROM 1.716M)
MANUFACTURING — OCTOBER
🔸 NY EMPIRE STATE INDEX: 25.5 (PRIOR 7.6)
🔸 NY PRICES PAID: 59.5 (PRIOR 63.1)
🔸 NY NEW ORDERS: 23.2 (PRIOR 2.0)
🔸 NY EMPLOYMENT: 10.3 (PRIOR 10.6)
🔸 PHILADELPHIA FED INDEX: 20.9 (EST. 28.0)
🔸 PHILADELPHIA PRICES PAID: 43.2 (PRIOR 48.6)
THE KEY TAKEAWAY: PRODUCER INFLATION SIGNIFICANTLY EXCEEDED EXPECTATIONS, CONSUMER SPENDING REMAINED STRONG, AND JOBLESS CLAIMS STAYED LOW — REINFORCING CONCERNS THAT THE FED MAY NEED TO TIGHTEN MONETARY POLICY FURTHER. ...
US RETAIL SALES ADVANCE (M/M) SEP: 0.8% (EST 0.3%; PREV 1.13%)
- RETAIL SALES EX AUTO (M/M): 0.9% (EST 0.5%; PREV 1.4% PREVR 1.28%)
- RETAIL SALES EX GAS/AUTOS: 0.2% (PREV 1.2%)
- RETAIL SALES CONTROL GROUP 0.1% (EST 0.3%; PREV 1.4%) ...
- RETAIL SALES EX AUTO (M/M): 0.9% (EST 0.5%; PREV 1.4% PREVR 1.28%)
- RETAIL SALES EX GAS/AUTOS: 0.2% (PREV 1.2%)
- RETAIL SALES CONTROL GROUP 0.1% (EST 0.3%; PREV 1.4%) ...