Bitcoin Analysis on the 4-Hour Time Frame

The pattern has been broken, and currently, Bitcoin is in the area of 86,900. If it holds this level, it may give us an opportunity to retest the breakout. We will monitor whether it breaks back above the channel and stabilizes above it, or if it is just a retest of the breakout, and we will evaluate the next movement.

One very important observation is the decrease in volume, which has been a negative factor and an indicator that there may be further correction.

✅ The most telling chart at present is the Bitcoin vs. Gold chart
✅ The decline of Bitcoin vs. Gold has historically lasted 365 days across previous cycles
✅ The bottom for Bitcoin is expected to be reached by the end of 2026, followed by a gradual ascent towards a peak post-halving in 2028
✅ Hence, the optimal time to enter Bitcoin would be in the final quarter of 2026

Based on the total market capitalization, the weekly chart closed below the 50-period moving average, but it needs to retest this level before continuing its downward trend, as illustrated in the chart. Even on the daily chart, a death cross has occurred, and it will retest and bounce before resuming its decline.

However, it's likely that liquidity will exit larger coins and projects like XRP, SOL, and BNB, as most other altcoins are approaching their bottom, with weak liquidity and small market caps that can't withstand further decline.

The current situation is challenging and unstable, but it's temporary.
With market improvement, I see significant opportunities ahead.
Everything will be fine in due time. Good luck 👍🏻

Dear members,
please be extremely cautious! These are forced ads posted on the group by Telegram, likely promoting suspicious channels. Stay away from them! ❌❌❌
⚠️ This is a warning.

Based on Bitcoin's market capitalization, we've experienced a long-term trend break, making a retest essential before further decline.
I anticipate January and February could see an uptick and rebound for altcoins and Bitcoin, with the downward trend resuming in March.

Currently, most are waiting for speculative opportunities in the market to recover, even if only slightly.
However, it's advisable to wait for clearer market signals. Liquidity is extremely low in major projects, which typically offer more safety due to high trading volumes, unlike lesser-known or "alpha" coins with insufficient liquidity for reliable trading.

Any upward movement in such coins is likely driven by bots or market makers creating fake volume to attract traders' liquidity for future dumping. If trading these coins, limit exposure to 5-15% of your portfolio.
The current situation can't withstand further losses.

There's a period of stagnation, but when real opportunities emerge, they'll be announced. Patience is key. For coins promoted as "alpha" during this phase, don't risk more than the recommended percentage. Good luck.

*VVV Speculation:*
✅Stop Loss: Daily candle close ✅below support
✅Targets: Marked in green
Available on:
- COINBASE
- BYBIT
- KUCOIN