⚠️ AI 2027 Is Five Months Ahead

The AI Futures Project says reality is 5 months ahead of the original AI 2027 scenario, following METR’s report on Claude at Anthropic.

SAR, or Superhuman AI Researcher, is now expected in 2027 if development continues at the current pace. Its earlier estimate gave it a 50% chance in 2029. SAR would make replacing human researchers more profitable than keeping the best human team without AI.

The chance of Top-Expert-Dominating AI arriving in 2028 is now 35-65%. Analysts want an industry-wide pause, warning that companies may not build systems to control SAR in time. 2027 is 50 days away.

📊@tech